Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Amanda, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 9:04PM Monday June 26, 2017 3:01 PM EDT (19:01 UTC) Moonrise 7:59AMMoonset 10:18PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Amanda, OH
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location: 39.6, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 261747
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
147 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
An upper level trough swinging through the great lakes will
bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms this evening and
tonight. High pressure will provide dry weather at midweek with
increasing precipitation chances toward the end of the week as
temperatures warm to near normal.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Shortwave trof over northern wi to drop SE into the mean trof
position over southern lower mi this evening. Marginal instby
develops late this afternoon into early evening over west
central ohio. Will continue very low pop chance into the west
late in the day. Latest visible satl imagery showing diurnal
cumulus cloud development. This trend will continue with a good
deal of cloud cover during the afternoon.

Temperatures will be 5-10 degrees below normal, with highs in
the lower to mid 70s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Out ahead of the S w, a 30-35kt low level jet will combine with
500-1000 j kg of lingering CAPE cape this evening to support
showers and thunderstorms dropping E from indiana. Expect the
convection to be scattered in nature as it works across the
region. Lows tonight will be in the lower to mid 50s.

Precipitation could be lingering in the southeast early Tuesday,
but will move E into the appalachians by mid morning. Tuesday
afternoon will be dry with highs again in the lower to mid 70s.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Dry high pressure is expected to remain in control of the
weather Tuesday night through early Thursday, influencing
conditions through the middle part of the week. With a turning
of winds to the south on Wednesday, a more appreciable warmup
will begin, with temperatures returning to the 80s.

As a more progressive pattern begins to set up for Thursday and
beyond, model differences become more pronounced, leading to lower
confidence -- especially in precipitation timing near the end of the
week and into the weekend. There is agreement that a frontal zone
will set up east-to-west across the southern great lakes beginning
early Thursday, with the iln CWA in the warm sector within solid
deep-layer southwesterly flow. As convection develops at the north
end of this warm sector, and along the frontal area, there will
eventually be some propagation downstream which should impact the
iln CWA -- likely beginning on Thursday afternoon, and then again as
additional waves of precipitation occur going into Friday. How much
of the CWA remains capped is a question, as is the exact position of
the front. However, model runs have trended a little southward with
precipitation chances, increasing the probability for storms in the
iln CWA on Thursday and Friday (especially in the northern half of
the cwa). Pops have been increased slightly through this time
period, but with little change to temperatures, as there is
confidence in continued southwesterly flow through the period. In
addition, with ample instability and at least somewhat favorable
deep-layer shear, some strong to severe storms could be possible on
Thursday and Friday.

Differences in the evolution of an upstream trough going into the
weekend will preclude more than very low confidence in the forecast
Saturday into Sunday.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Mid level shortwave to drop SE into the mean trof position over
southern lower mi this evening. A good deal ofVFR cumulus
clouds around 5000 feet have developed across the TAF sites
this afternoon. Marginal instby develops late this afternoon
into early evening over west central ohio. A threat of showers
and perhaps an embedded thunderstorm to move across the taf
sites this evening. Due to low expected coverage, and with
marginal instability which diminishes, have limited any mention
in the TAF forecasts to vcsh.

Clouds will diminish with skies clearing out late tonight in
as subsidence behind the upper shortwave combines with a
building surface high pressure system to the west. Expect
continuedVFR conditions on Tuesday with only afternoon cumulus
clouds developing.

Wnw winds at 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts this afternoon
will diminish to less than 10 kts tonight.

Outlook... Showers and thunderstorms are possible Thursday and
Friday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar sites
near term... Ar
short term... Sites
long term... Coniglio hatzos sites
aviation... Ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lancaster, Fairfield County Airport, OH10 mi69 minW 9 G 1610.00 miOvercast67°F50°F55%1019.7 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH21 mi67 minW 9 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F48°F45%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from LHQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW14
G24
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NW11NW11NW4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalm4W5NW8W7NW11
G16
6W9
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1 day agoW10
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NW7W7W8W3CalmW5W4W4NW6NW6W4CalmCalmCalmCalm4W7W8W8W14
G23
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G26
2 days agoW5S8S5SW3SW3CalmCalmSW3SW6W6
G15
W5SW5SW6W8SE3S3W5SW5W7SW116W5W11
G16
W10
G18

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.