Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Circleville, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:07AMSunset 8:46PM Thursday May 23, 2019 1:21 PM EDT (17:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:13AM Illumination 78% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Circleville, OH
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location: 39.64, -82.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 231500
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
1100 am edt Thu may 23 2019

Synopsis
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon into this evening as a cold front moves south through
the region. The cold front will then stall near the ohio river
by Friday morning. This front will slowly dissipate which will
result in the return of early summer like weather for the
weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Much of the region has been temporarily worked over by a now
weakened MCS now south and east of the area. A cluster of
showers storms will move across the ohio river valley through
early afternoon. Thereafter, we should recover with mlcapes
pushing around 1500 j kg ahead of a cold front moving into the
region from the northwest. Latest cams suggest that scatter
shower thunderstorms development will be greatest across the
southern half of the cwfa, particularly near the ohio river.

With moderate instability and moderate shear, a few severe
thunderstorms will be possible later this afternoon into this
evening. Damaging winds and large hail would be the primary
severe weather threats.

Winds will strengthen and gust up to 30 mph this afternoon.

Temperatures should recover to the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
Storms may continue into the evening near the ohio river.

Additional activity may develop along a cold front pushing south
into the forecast area. This will bring a brief chance of storms
to central ohio before instability diminishes. The front will
continue south through the night and stall in the far southern
part of the forecast area. The western end of the boundary will
extend northwest connecting up to a low in the midwest. Showers
and thunderstorms may develop along the front on Friday. Given
the frontal position, the greatest chance is in the tri-state.

With the boundary in the area, there will be a reasonable
gradient in temperatures. Lows will range from the mid 50s to
mid 60s with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
A warm and mostly dry Friday night will be in place with low
temperatures only dropping down into the 60s. Thunderstorms are
expected to develop during the day on Saturday with a greater chance
for thunderstorm development near and north of interstate 70. There
is the potential that some of these storms across this area will
produce damaging winds and large hail.

With a frontal boundary in the vicinity on Sunday expect additional
showers and thunderstorms to move across the region. This
precipitation has the potential to be a little more widespread and
therefore high temperatures will range from the upper 70s to middle
80s across the region.

Additional thunderstorms are possible on Monday as a disturbance
moves across the area. Storm chances will be a little more isolated
for Tuesday before a more pronounced system on Wednesday brings
gusty winds and additional thunderstorm chances to the area.

Aviation 15z Thursday through Monday
Showers and thunderstorms will sweep across the area to start
the period, clearing the terminals by 15z. There still could be
temporary MVFR conditions and a gust up to 30 kt. In the wake of
this, winds will strengthen and veer to southwest. Cumulus will
develop this afternoon with scattered storms forming, primarily
impacting the cincinnati area and perhaps kiln. Storms will
diminish towards 00z and winds will decrease and veer further.

Outlook... Thunderstorms possible Saturday through Monday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Hickman
near term... Hickman
short term...

long term... Novak
aviation...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH13 mi27 minSW 13 G 1910.00 miFair75°F66°F75%1018.6 hPa
Lancaster, Fairfield County Airport, OH14 mi29 minSW 11 G 1710.00 miA Few Clouds75°F66°F76%1018.5 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH22 mi32 minWSW 14 G 2110.00 miClear77°F66°F69%1019 hPa

Wind History from LCK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS12S8S13S10
G18
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W5NW8N4N3SE4SE4CalmCalmCalm--S5S4S5S9W11
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1 day agoSE6NE8E3NE6
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E7E8E9NE9NE6E9E6E5E7E4CalmNE5E4E6E4SE7S9S9
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2 days agoW15
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NW10NW8NW8N10
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N6N8N7N5N6N5NE4NE7NE6NE11NE8E10E10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.