Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ship Bottom, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:33AMSunset 8:14PM Friday May 24, 2019 9:44 PM EDT (01:44 UTC) Moonrise 12:36AMMoonset 10:33AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201905251315;;411091 Fzus51 Kphi 250131 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 931 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-251315- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 931 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Rest of tonight..N winds around 10 kt, becoming e. Seas 3 to 4 ft late this evening and early morning, then 2 ft or less. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of showers early in the morning.
Sun night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 931 Pm Edt Fri May 24 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will build from the great lakes to over our area tonight, then shift offshore during Saturday. A warm front lifts north of our area Saturday night, then a weak cold front slides across our region later Sunday. Weak high pressure returns during the beginning of next week. Low pressure will track across the great lakes through the middle of next week, pushing another cold front into our region by late next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ship Bottom , NJ
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location: 39.65, -74.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 250130
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
930 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build from the great lakes to over our area
tonight, then shift offshore during Saturday. A warm front lifts
north of our area Saturday night, then a weak cold front slides
across our region later Sunday. Weak high pressure returns during
the beginning of next week. Low pressure will track across the great
lakes through the middle of next week, pushing another cold front
into our region by late next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
High pressure continues to build over our area, and this combined
with the loss of daytime heating (less mixing) the winds have
diminished quite a bit. Light winds will continue through the night,
although where enough of a breeze is maintained a more northeast to
eventually southeast wind direction will occur by daybreak.

A ridge axis this evening extends up the ohio valley and into the
eastern great lakes area. There is still northwest flow aloft over
our region as a result, and a 250 mb jet runs across new england.

There is also an area of focused warm air advection occurring at 850
mb across the central great lakes region. The combination of these
features is bringing areas of mid to high level clouds down across
our area. This should continue, although the sky should be clear at
times. Overall, a cooler night however given some cloud cover around
at various times should keep temperatures from dropping more.

For the 930 pm update, adjusted the temperature (slower drop so far
for many areas), dew point and wind grids based on the current
conditions and then trends. Also made some tweaks to the sky cover
based on the satellite trends.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
The surface high will be over our region for much of the day on
Saturday before shifting off shore by late afternoon. Meanwhile, a
low will be progressing east into the great lakes region.

Low level southerly flow is expected as our region will be
sandwiched in between these two systems through the day. While this
often promotes warm air advection, it will be working against
persistent low and mid level clouds that could limit heating. As a a
result, went with a consensus blend of short range models - with
highs mostly in the 70s across the region.

At this point, it looks like the front will be late enough that we
likely won't see many storms in the region during the afternoon
hours.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
For the long term, upper ridging will remain the story through the
medium range with an upper trough approaching late next week. A
series of shortwave troughs will cross through this semi-
persistent ridging with a round of showers or thunderstorms
likely accompanying each one. The timing of this convection
will be quite challenging to determine at this range. With that
said, it looks like there will be two distinct rounds of
showers and storms overnight Saturday night into early Sunday
morning. The first will be associated with a decaying MCS to our
north and west Saturday night and the second looks to affect
the area Sunday evening and into the overnight. Beyond the
weekend, generally kept slight chance to chance pops in the
forecast through the middle of next week do to uncertainty in
timing. With the upper ridging in place, temperatures through
the period will remain generally above normal with widespread
highs into the 80s and lows in the 60s and low 70s. Sunday and
Wednesday will be the warmest days. Highs Wednesday are likely
to make a run at 90 degrees, especially across DELMARVA and the
i-95 corridor. Dewpoints will be in the 60s so it will be a bit
sticky through much of the period. To make a long story short,
the sensible weather will be quite typical for late spring to
early summer.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR. North winds 10 knots or less, becoming mostly light
and variable.

Saturday...VFR. A late afternoon shower and thunderstorm is possible
in the vicinity of abe and rdg, however coverage and timing is less
certain. Southeast to south winds increasing to 8-12 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Sunday night... MostlyVFR. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms possible Saturday night and late Sunday, which
may briefly lower conditions.

Monday through Tuesday...VFR expected. Isolated showers or
thunderstorms possible.

Marine
Winds and seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory
criteria tonight and Saturday.

Outlook...

conditions are forecast to remain below SCA criteria through
the entire period. Generally fair weather is expected through
the middle to end of next week, however isolated to scattered
showers and storms will be possible Saturday night and Sunday
night which may be accompanied by locally gusty winds and seas.

Chances for showers and storms will return by mid-week.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Gorse staarmann
near term... Gorse
short term... Johnson
long term... Staarmann
aviation... Gorse staarmann
marine... Johnson staarmann


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 16 mi75 min NNW 1.9 70°F 1017 hPa49°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 23 mi51 min 57°F1018.4 hPa
44091 24 mi45 min 59°F4 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi51 min NE 6 G 8.9 72°F 66°F1018.8 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 46 mi69 min NE 7 G 9.9 72°F 66°F1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ20 mi49 minNNE 710.00 miFair68°F53°F59%1019.1 hPa
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ24 mi51 minN 510.00 miFair71°F52°F51%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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2 days agoNW6NW7NW3N4N5NW5CalmCalmCalmW3NW7N7N753CalmNW4NW8SE8
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Tide / Current Tables for Manahawkin Drawbridge, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey
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Manahawkin Drawbridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:11 AM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:24 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:52 PM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:27 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.711.21.31.31.10.90.60.40.20.20.20.40.70.91.11.11.10.90.70.50.40.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     -2.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 12:06 PM EDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:59 PM EDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.30.5-0.3-1-1.5-1.9-2.1-1.6-0.70.211.41.20.60-0.6-1-1.3-1.5-1.2-0.30.61.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.