Saturday, August19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spanish Springs, NV

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:14AMSunset 7:49PM Saturday August 19, 2017 11:42 AM PDT (18:42 UTC) Moonrise 3:51AMMoonset 6:29PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spanish Springs, NV
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location: 39.67, -119.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Reno, NV
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Fxus65 krev 190953
afdrev
area forecast discussion
national weather service reno nv
253 am pdt Sat aug 19 2017

Synopsis
Thunderstorms remain possible each day through the middle of next
week. Storms this afternoon and Sunday will again develop over
the sierra, but we will see increasing coverage across the pine
nut and virginia ranges in western nevada. Flash flooding will
become more of a threat late this weekend and into early next
week. Temperatures through the weekend will remain above average
with weak afternoon breezes each afternoon.

Short term
A closed low off the southern california coast will provide chances
for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend and into early
next week. Storms will be favored again through the sierra with the
best chances occurring across alpine and northern mono counties.

We could see some increased development in western nevada this
afternoon and Sunday as moisture slowly increases through the
weekend. Favored locations for storm formation would be elevated
terrain such as the pine nut and virgina ranges.

Storms over the next couple days will have very little motion, as
the steering flow aloft remains weak. This means that storms will be
capable of producing heavy rainfall with localized areas of flash
flooding particularly in steep terrain and recent burn scars. The
flash flooding threat will increase into early next week as
moisture works its way in. If you have outdoor plans through the
weekend, monitor for thunderstorm potential in the forecast and
updates through the afternoon.

Areas such as sections of i-80 near the farad burn scar is
particularly vulnerable to flash flooding and debris flows as was
the case yesterday afternoon. Additional heavy rainfall on this
burn scar could produce the same results through the first half
of next week.

Gusty outflow winds are also expected in and near showers and storms
as storm bases remain relatively high and won't lower until deep
moisture moves into the region late Monday. In terms of eclipse
viewing, this is an encouraging sign of preventing a solid cloud
deck from obscuring the sky. So far, partly cloudy conditions
look to prevail Monday morning.

Otherwise above average highs will continue into early next week
with western nevada valleys reaching into the mid 90s while sierra
valleys warm to the mid 80s. Fuentes

Long term Tuesday and beyond...

the large scale pattern for the early part of the week features an
area of low pressure sitting off the southern california coast. This
brings increased south to southeast flow to the eastern sierra and
western nevada helping to advect modified monsoonal moisture
northward. This will bring an increase in thunderstorm coverage,
with Tuesday into Wednesday looking interesting.

On Tuesday, the position of the low allows for large scale
divergence aloft, which is excellent for thunderstorm development.

Pwats rise to around 0.8-0.9", which climatologically lends itself
to increased flash flood risk, especially given the light steering
flow. Instability continues overnight into Wednesday with showers
and embedded thunderstorms possible overnight. Wednesday also could
be another very active thunderstorm day as the low slowly opens and
shifts eastward bringing an increase to upper level lapse rates.

Pwats are forecast to increase to around 1", with light steering
flow, so once again flash flooding will be a concern. The one caveat
is that if we end up with extensive cloud cover Wednesday, which is
possible given the situation, we may not realize the full
instability potential. This may be a wait and see type day where it
could go big or it may end up cloudy, cool, and showery with
embedded isolated thunderstorms.

Heading into the end of the week, the low off the southern california
coast weakens and is absorbed into the large scale flow as a
stronger area of low pressure dives through the pacific northwest.

This will bring drier westerly flow to the region and increased
afternoon breezes. There may be enough lingering moisture and
instability across central nevada eastward for a stray
thunderstorm to form Thursday. By Friday and into the weekend,
storm chances look minimal if not non-existent as most ensemble
members are indicating a large ridge building across the west.

-dawn

Aviation
Greatest threat for aviators will be isolated showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon, mainly along the sierra and western
nevada sierra front. Storms are likely to form after 21z today,
dissipating between 03-05z. Brief periods of heavy rain, gusty and
erratic outflow winds can be expected with lesser chances for a hail
threat. Localized terrain obscuration is a concern along with short
periods of MVFR-ifr conditions under the rain core of the storms.

Chances and most likely timing for a thunderstorm to impact or be in
the vicinity of a terminal site:
krno and kcxp: 20 percent, 21z-03z
ktrk and ktvl: 25 percent, 21z-01z
kmmh: 30 percent, 21z-03z
klol and knfl: 20 percent, 00z-05z
thunderstorm chances and coverage will increase through the weekend
and into the first half of next week.

Otherwise, expectVFR conditions over the weekend with afternoon
westerly breezes of 8-12 kts. If it rains at ktrk, the airfield is
likely to see fog develop overnight into the early morning hours.

-dawn

Rev watches warnings advisories
Nv... None.

Ca... None.

For more information from the national weather service visit...

http: weather.Gov reno


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Reno, Reno Tahoe International Airport, NV17 mi48 minVar 310.00 miA Few Clouds83°F42°F24%1012.3 hPa
Reno/Stead, NV18 mi48 minSE 410.00 miFair81°F37°F21%1020.7 hPa

Wind History from RNO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3NW4Calm334W14
G21
W10W9SW4SW3W4W4S3W5W3CalmS4S5W3CalmCalmCalm3
1 day agoCalm3CalmE53Calm6NE4NE9W8W5CalmW4CalmW5SW4W3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalm3
2 days ago3N55N8Calm4
G17
CalmN10N9W3CalmNW3W3S4W3W5W6CalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalm3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Reno, NV (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Reno, NV
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.