Sunrise 5:48 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 8:22 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM

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ANZ430 Delaware Bay Waters North Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 102 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Rest of tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of tstms. A chance of showers, then showers likely late. Sun - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon. Sun night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Scattered showers in the evening. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Tue night - S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers.Wed - SE winds around 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon. Wed night - N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Showers likely with a chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Thu - N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less. Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 102 Am Edt Sun May 12 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 120530 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 130 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure over the region will move offshore this evening. Low pressure centered over Lake Huron early this afternoon will move eastward through this evening into Sunday.
High pressure builds south of the Mid-Atlantic region Sunday night into Monday. Another area of low pressure brings more unsettled weather by the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 1:15am...A decaying squall line is now moving onshore the Eastern Shore of MD and across the Delmarva region. Some intermittent flashes of lightning have occurred over the past 15 minutes, so still think there may be a few rumbles of thunder across the Delmarva region over the next hour or two.
However, the line is weakening and winds associated with the line are 30 mph or less. Further north across E PA, some light rain and misty conditions are found and will continue to overspread the remainder of the area through the early morning.
This is all due to a low approaching from the west, while being accompanied by a cold front. However, the overall strength of the system will be weakening as it nears. Rainfall up to a quarter of an inch is expected. Lows will be in the mid to upper 40s.

H5 trough with associated vorticity advection will be moving over the region on Sunday. With additional lift provided by weak warm air advection, Sunday looks to be a rather wet and cool day. Maximum temperatures are expected in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Have added drizzle and mist/patchy fog to the forecast for late tonight and Sunday given persistent southeasterly upslope flow, cloud cover and moisture.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Sunday night will feature improving conditions and the surface low continues to move away and the upper trough passes through.
It's possible that skies may become partly cloudy late giving aurora viewing possibilities. One possibility will bring patchy fog to the area if conditions become clear overnight.

Monday/Monday night... High pressure arrives during the day and a partly sunny day is expected. Temperatures will be close to normal for early May with highs in the low/mid 70s and lows (For Tue morning) in the low/mid 50s. Clouds will increase over the area Monday night.

Tuesday... Another slow moving low pressure approaches the region. Increasing clouds thru the morning with rains arriving during the day. Most models seem to agree with the overall scenario and we'll continue with chance pops for the morning then mostly likely pops for the afternoon. It's possible that the furthest east areas may escape rains until late afternoon.
Temperatures will remain seasonable with mostly low 70s for highs and 50s for lows.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Rather unsettled much of the long term as low pressure slowly deepens while moving up the Ohio Valley and then ambling across the Middle Atlantic region. Likely/categorical pops beginning Tue night and continuing Wednesday before scaling back Wed night. After a period of lesser pops Thu into Friday morning, more showers/rains overspread the region for next weekend. We'll have chance pops for Fri night and into Sat for now. There enough differences between the operational models to have less confidence with regards to next weekends fcst attm.

Normal high temperatures for our region this time of year are in the low/mid 70s with upper 60s for the southern Poconos.
We'll arrive close to these values much of the week with readings perhaps a degree or two below normal Wed and above normal for Thu/Fri. Lows will be in the 50s most days.

AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Today...VFR expected through about 08-09Z before CIGs are expected to drop to around 1500-2500 feet as rain showers move into the region. CIGs may temporarily lower to IFR at KRDG/KABE early Sunday morning. Visibilities should generally remain in the 4-6 SM range at all terminals. Periods of drizzle and mist may be possible this afternoon. SE winds around 5-10 kt.
Moderate confidence overall.

Tonight...Any lingering sub-VFR CIGs early, should give way to clearing skies as skies scatter out by 00Z-03Z. Some increase in low-level clouds will be possible into early Monday especially near KRDG/KABE. E-SE winds around 5 kt or less. Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Monday through Tuesday...No significant weather expected.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday night...Sub-VFR conditions expected with occasional showers.

Thursday... VFR probable.

MARINE
Winds and seas will remain below SCA criteria through Sunday.
Southeast winds around 10-15 kt. Seas 3-4ft.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday...No marine headlines expected.
Fair.

Tuesday through Wednesday...SCA conditions possible (30-40%) as wind gusts get near 25 kt. Seas will get near 5 feet on Wednesday. Occasional showers.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Coastal Flood Advisories were issued for tonight's high tide for coastal zones from Ocean County on south and for communities along the Delaware Bay. Minor tidal flooding is expected with some inundation of roadways possible. Elsewhere, spotty minor flooding is expected within the tidal Delaware River, tidal Raritan Bay, and along the NJ coast north of Ocean County.

Spotty minor flooding is also expected with tomorrow morning's high tide within the Chesapeake Bay. Some of the guidance suggests an advisory may be needed, but have elected to hold off for now. Stay tuned to the forecast for any further updates.

No further tidal flooding issues are expected beyond tonight/tomorrow morning's high tide.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for NJZ016.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EDT early this morning for NJZ020>027.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for DEZ001.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EDT early this morning for DEZ002>004.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Edgemoor
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Sat -- 02:58 AM EDT     6.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:30 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:37 PM EDT     5.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:23 PM EDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Edgemoor, Delaware, Tide feet

Philadelphia
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Sat -- 01:37 AM EDT     1.81 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 04:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:56 AM EDT     -1.80 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:29 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:26 PM EDT     1.37 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:24 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:12 PM EDT     -1.78 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current, knots

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