Monday, October22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pedrick, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 6:12PM Monday October 22, 2018 4:28 AM EDT (08:28 UTC) Moonrise 4:36PMMoonset 3:57AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ430 Delaware Bay Waters North Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 418 Am Edt Mon Oct 22 2018
Today..W winds around 10 kt, becoming sw. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
ANZ400 418 Am Edt Mon Oct 22 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure centered in the southern appalachians early this morning will move eastward today and out to sea tonight. A cold front is forecast to approach from the northwest on Tuesday. It should pass through our region on Tuesday night with a secondary cold front arriving on Wednesday. High pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday and Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pedrick, NJ
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location: 39.76, -75.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 220808
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
408 am edt Mon oct 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure centered in the southern appalachians early this
morning will move eastward today and out to sea tonight. A cold
front is forecast to approach from the northwest on Tuesday. It
should pass through our region on Tuesday night with a secondary
cold front arriving on Wednesday. High pressure is anticipated
to follow for Thursday and Friday. A coastal storm may affect
our region over the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
There was a deck of stratocumulus over much of eastern
pennsylvania and northern new jersey early this morning. The sky
was mainly clear over areas to the south and east. The clouds
extended back to the great lakes. They are trapped under a
temperature inversion and should be slow to erode. We are
anticipating a very gradual decrease in clouds for our northern
counties today with mostly sunny conditions in the south.

The cloud cover has kept temperatures from falling in eastern
pennsylvania and northern new jersey. The potential for freezing
temperatures in southeastern pennsylvania no longer exists, so
we have changed the freeze warning that was in effect for
locations to the northwest of philadelphia to a frost advisory.

If the clouds break, there is the possibility of frost in those
areas before sunrise. Otherwise, the remainder of the frost
advisory, as well as the freeze warning in southern new jersey,
remains in place.

We are expecting another chilly day, with afternoon
temperatures running about 10 degrees below normal. The wind
should settle into the southwest around 5 to 10 mph.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Tuesday
High pressure will continue to move out to sea tonight. Subtle
warm advection is anticipated in advance of our next weather
system. We are expecting a deck of mid level clouds to drift
over most of our region during the night. The clouds, in
combination with a light southwest to south surface flow, should
keep temperatures from falling below the 40s, except in the far
north where lows should be in the upper 30s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
Tuesday... The cold front arrives on Tuesday. Models continue to
show a clipper-like system moving out of canada and across the
great lakes before reaching our area on Tuesday. It's a pretty
fast moving system and the front quickly makes its way through
the region. Still not seeing much moisture with the frontal
passage and it could very well end up being dry. However, with
another strong upper level trough crossing the region, I am
inclined to continue the mention of some slight chance to chance
pops across areas to the north and west of the i-80 corridor as
a recent similar front was progged to be mostly dry and ended
up being a fairly robust system moving through.

Wednesday through Friday... Strong surface high pressure builds
into our area on Wednesday and persists through the end of the
work week. We should remain nice and dry through the period. The
bigger story is the return of colder air as it dips down from
the north and settles over the eastern us through Friday.

Windiest day looks to be Wednesday as the front pulls away from
the area but it doesn't look nearly as windy as Sunday was.

Saturday and Sunday... Models are continuing to show the
potential for a strong coastal system to move up the eastern
seaboard, bringing wind, rain, and potentially some snow (mainly
higher elevations). One thing the models do not show is a good
cold pool, which would help give more confidence to snow in the
forecast area. So it may end up just being a cold rainstorm.

Many of the details still need to worked out as the system
develops and the track will play a crucial role as it has been
moving close to and away from the coast over the past several
model runs.

Aviation 08z Monday through Friday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR with decreasing clouds. Southwest wind 4 to 8
knots.

Tonight...VFR with an increase in clouds. Bases should remain
above 6000 feet. Variable wind 5 knots or less.

Outlook...

Tuesday...VFR. Southwest to west wind around 10 knots.

Tuesday night...VFR. Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots.

Wednesday...VFR. Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots.

Wednesday night...VFR. Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots.

Thursday...VFR. Northwest wind around 10 knots.

Thursday night and Friday...VFR. Variable wind 6 knots or less.

Marine
High pressure is forecast to build across the coastal waters of
new jersey and delaware today, before moving out to sea
tonight.

The small craft advisory has come to an end. We are
anticipating that the wind will settle into the southwest at 10
to 15 knots for today, increasing around 15 knots for tonight.

Waves on our ocean waters should range from 2 to 4 feet, with
waves on delaware bay at 2 feet or less.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Thursday... A cold front will cross the waters
on Tuesday with a strong northwest flow behind it. Winds will
increase starting on Tuesday and gusts above 25 knots will then
continue through Thursday before starting to subside Thursday
evening. A small craft advisory will likely be needed for much
of this period.

Friday... Sub-advisory conditions are expected on the area
waters.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... Frost advisory until 9 am edt this morning for paz060-061-070-
071-101>106.

Nj... Freeze warning until 9 am edt this morning for njz013-017>022-
027.

Frost advisory until 9 am edt this morning for njz012-015-016.

De... Frost advisory until 9 am edt this morning for dez001.

Md... Frost advisory until 9 am edt this morning for mdz008.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Iovino
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... Meola
aviation... Iovino
marine... Iovino meola


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA 3 mi46 min 42°F 59°F1024.3 hPa
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 16 mi40 min W 4.1 G 7 39°F 54°F1024.7 hPa
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 17 mi40 min 61°F
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 18 mi40 min 41°F 56°F1023.8 hPa
BDSP1 23 mi40 min 42°F 58°F1024.4 hPa
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 27 mi40 min W 1.9 G 2.9 36°F 60°F1025.1 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 31 mi40 min WNW 11 G 14 44°F 62°F1024.7 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 36 mi52 min W 5.1 G 8 41°F 53°F1023.8 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 43 mi40 min W 4.1 G 5.1 40°F 52°F1024.4 hPa
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 46 mi118 min Calm 35°F 1025 hPa32°F

Wind History for Delaware City, DE
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wilmington, New Castle County Airport, DE12 mi37 minW 410.00 miOvercast36°F32°F86%1025 hPa
Philadelphia, Philadelphia International Airport, PA12 mi34 minWNW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy41°F28°F60%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from PHL (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSW4SW5SW5SW3SW6SW8--W14SW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Pedricktown, Oldmans Creek, New Jersey
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Pedricktown
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Mon -- 12:14 AM EDT     4.49 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:39 PM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:09 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.54.33.62.61.710.40.20.81.82.93.74.34.33.82.921.20.60.20.51.52.63.6

Tide / Current Tables for Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Current
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Philadelphia
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Mon -- 01:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:11 AM EDT     -1.64 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:48 AM EDT     1.24 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:41 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:33 PM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:41 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:25 PM EDT     1.26 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:19 PM EDT     1.22 knots Min Flood
Mon -- 11:55 PM EDT     1.23 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.2-0.7-1.2-1.5-1.6-1.6-1.5-0.50.71.11.11.20.7-0.3-1-1.5-1.7-1.7-1.6-0.90.41.21.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.