Saturday, March23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Acres, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 7:13PM Saturday March 23, 2019 1:19 AM EDT (05:19 UTC) Moonrise 10:25PMMoonset 8:46AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201903231315;;773745 Fzus51 Kphi 230142 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 942 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-231315- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 942 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
.gale warning in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Overnight..W winds 20 to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sat..NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft early in the afternoon. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 12 seconds.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the ne with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ400 942 Pm Edt Fri Mar 22 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. The coastal storm which has been impacting the region will continue to pull away tonight. A cold front will also move through tonight, with gusty northwest winds continuing through Saturday. High pressure will bring dry and mild weather on Sunday. A cold front will move through Monday with showers possible. A large high pressure center will bring dry but cool weather for the middle part of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Acres, NJ
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location: 39.81, -74.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 230014
afdphi
area forecast discussion... Resent
national weather service mount holly nj
814 pm edt Fri mar 22 2019

Synopsis
The coastal storm which has been impacting the region will continue
to pull away tonight. A cold front will also move through tonight,
with gusty northwest winds continuing through Saturday. High
pressure will bring dry and mild weather on Sunday. A cold front
will move through Monday with showers possible. A large high
pressure center will bring dry but cool weather for the middle part
of next week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
The areal coverage of the showers is decreasing now and the
rain graupel showers are mostly passing offshore. Lingering
activity through 11pm or so will be covered by small chc pops or
slgt chc pops in the fcst. Snow showers will be possible in the
late overnight across the SRN poconos. Gusty W to NW winds will
continue as the deep low well offshore continues to move away.

Only minor adjustments were made to temps winds for the evening
updates.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
The low over the canadian maritimes finally lifts away late
Saturday, and high pressure will build in from the west. Dry
conditions on tap, but gusty northwest winds continue, until
finally subsiding late.

Sunny with highs in the 40s to low 50s, except in the 30s in the
southern poconos.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
Summary... A fairly quiet extended forecast across the area, with
the exception of a strong cold frontal passage Monday night. A
shortwave trough will move toward the region, driving a weak
surface low to move across the central u.S. Toward the mid-
atlantic along a cold front. This shortwave will reinforce the
longwave trough to our northeast as it does so, thus ushering in
colder air. High pressure will build across the great lakes
into the region Tuesday. By Thursday, the high will move off the
coast, leading to milder return flow as we close out the
workweek. More rain is possible as we head into Friday as a cold
front approaches from the northwest. There is some indication
that an area of low pressure may develop off the southeast coast
by Friday, however this remains uncertain and will need to
continue to be monitored.

Dailies...

Saturday night and Sunday... Quiet with temperatures
near normal. Lows Saturday in the mid 20s north to the low 30s
across southern delware. Highs recover to seasonable values as
southwesterly flow develops ahead of the next cold front. Most
locations will top out in the mid to upper 50s.

Sunday night and Monday... Precipitation overspreads the region by
early Monday morning. Mild temperatures continue with lows
staying in the 40s for the most part. Highs will range from the
mid 40s across the southern poconos to the low 60s across
southern delaware. Precip looks to stay all rain during the day
Monday, though a changeover to snow may begin by evening across
the southern poconos.

Monday night and Tuesday... Precip continues across the region as
the cold front continues to advance southward. As the freezing
line makes its way southward, rain will transition to a mix of
rain and snow, eventually transitioning to all snow. It is still
a little unclear how far south this will occur, but at this
point, it looks as if temperatures will cool enough before
precip moves out the area for some snow showers to make their
way into the greater philadelphia metro. Any accumulation would
be very light, though it is still too far out to discuss totals
at this point. Precip should move out the area by Tuesday
afternoon as skies begin to clear. However, it will be much
cooler Tuesday with highs only making it into low 40s for much
of the area.

Tuesday night through Friday night... A relatively quiet period
overall. Cold Tuesday night with lows dropping below freezing
across the area, even into the teens across the southern
poconos. Highs gradually moderating Wednesday through Friday, as
high pressure works its way from the great lakes to the western
atlantic; many locations look to make it into the upper 50s to
near 60 by Friday. Uncertainty in the exact timing of rain
Friday and Friday night, as a cold front makes its way toward
the mid-atlantic, while a wave of low pressure rides along the
stalled cold front to our south from earlier in the workweek.

Went with a blended approach for now, including only a slight
chance for showers early Saturday morning.&&

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... Lingering shower activity should dissipate soon after
0z. GenerallyVFR, although occasional MVFR ceilings possible
at rdg and abe and cannot rule out a passing snow shower at
those sites through midnight. Wnw winds remain elevated at 15 to
20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.

Saturday...VFR. NW winds still around 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 35
kt. By mid to late afternoon, winds should start to diminish with
gusts falling below 30 kt.

Outlook...

Saturday night-Sunday night...VFR, except MVFR possible late
Sunday night. Wnw winds Saturday night will become westerly then
southwesterly on Sunday and through Sunday night. Lingering
gusts of 20 to 25 kt possible early Saturday night, otherwise
speeds 5 to 10 kt.

Monday-Monday night... MVFR and possibly ifr Monday with rain
showers. Winds shifting from southwesterly to westerly to
northerly on Monday with speeds 5 to 10 kt.VFR by Monday night
with winds northerly or northeasterly at around 10 kt with gusts
to 20 kt.

Tuesday-Wednesday...VFR. Northeast winds 5 to 10 kt becoming
easterly at 5 to 10 kt on Wednesday. Gusts to 20 kt possible
Tuesday morning.

Marine
A gale warning remains in effect for all waters. Northwest
winds 20-30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt gusts through tonight.

Showers early.

Saturday... Northwesterly gales continue for much of this
period, but wind speeds should gradually drop off late Saturday
into Saturday night.

Outlook...

Sunday through Monday... Sub SCA conditions with northwesterly winds
of 10 to 15 knots. Some higher gusts possible Sunday and Monday
afternoon of 15 to 20 knots. Wave heights of 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday... SCA conditions possible with northerly winds 20 to 25 knots,
with gusts of 25 to 30 knots possible. Waves of 4-7 feet
possible.

Wednesday through Friday... Sub SCA conditions with northerly
winds of 10 to 15 knots Wednesday turning more southeasterly by
Friday with speeds dropping to 5 to 10 knots. Waves generally 2
to 4 feet.

Hydrology
Much of the precipitation is winding down across the area. It
has been more showery this evening with some graupel mixed in.

Many of the gages that were rising earlier today have crested
and are now falling. The exceptions are:
the gage at pemberton on the north branch rancocas is expected
to remain below flood stage, but slowly rise towards actions
stage tomorrow.

The gage at blackwells mills on the millstone river will climb above
action stage late tonight, but is forecast to remain below
flood stage. It will begin falling by Saturday morning.

The gage at pine brook on the passaic river will climb above action
stage shortly and then continue to slowly climb to near flood stage
Saturday night or Sunday morning.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale warning until 6 pm edt Saturday for anz430-431-450>455.

Synopsis... O'brien
near term... O'hara
short term... Franklin
long term... Davis
aviation... Franklin o'brien po
marine... Davis franklin
hydrology... Rk po


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 19 mi50 min W 9.9 39°F 1004 hPa24°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 29 mi32 min NW 19 G 25 40°F 44°F1004 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 31 mi32 min 41°F 44°F1005.2 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 31 mi44 min 40°F 44°F1003.7 hPa
44091 34 mi50 min 42°F7 ft
BDSP1 37 mi32 min 40°F 47°F1004.9 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 40 mi32 min 40°F 47°F1004.6 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ10 mi24 minWNW 19 G 3010.00 miFair and Breezy39°F24°F55%1003.8 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ17 mi80 minW 19 G 26 miFair and Breezy0°F0°F%1002.4 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ18 mi24 minW 16 G 2410.00 miA Few Clouds38°F22°F53%1003.1 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4N6N7NW6NW12NW16
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1 day agoE4SE4SE5E5SE6SE6E3E6NE5E7E7
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW46SW8S11S9
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SE6SE5CalmCalmCalmE3E4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Marcus Hook, Pennsylvania, Delaware River, Pennsylvania
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Marcus Hook
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Sat -- 02:43 AM EDT     6.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:08 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:07 PM EDT     6.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:25 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.55.26.36.65.95431.90.7-0.10.62.54.45.76.3654.13.12.21.10.20.3

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
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Sat -- 12:40 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:23 AM EDT     -3.38 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:48 AM EDT     3.06 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:47 PM EDT     -3.16 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:10 PM EDT     3.06 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.9-0.4-1.6-2.6-3.3-3.2-2-0.41.42.732.41.30.1-1.1-2.1-2.9-3.1-2.4-0.90.82.332.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.