Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Gate, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 6:11PM Thursday October 19, 2017 5:20 AM EDT (09:20 UTC) Moonrise 6:49AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 312 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft early in the evening, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight. Mainly in se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of rain.
ANZ400 312 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A dry frontal boundary will move toward the area tonight into early Friday. Otherwise, high pressure remains in control of the weather for much of the rest of the week into the weekend. A frontal boundary is forecast to affect the area early next week, bringing a return of unsettled weather.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Gate borough, NJ
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location: 39.87, -74.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 190733
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
333 am edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
A dry frontal boundary will move toward the area tonight into
early Friday. Otherwise, high pressure remains in control of the
weather for much of the rest of the week into the weekend. A
frontal boundary is forecast to affect the area early next week,
bringing a return of unsettled weather.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Broad high pressure lies from the southeast u.S. Across the
mid- atlantic region and then into the western atlantic. The
high will sink southward today as an upper trough and several
mid-level shortwaves pass through the region.

After some patchy early morning fog, conditions will clear out
late this morning and through today. Some cirrus is possible
with the passage of the trough, but conditions will otherwise be
dry and sunny. Meanwhile, a weak cold front currently over the
great lakes will continue to track east throughout the day.

Waa will be underway today with rising heights thicknesses, and
highs today should end up a degree or so warmer than Wednesday,
with highs in the low to mid 70s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Friday
Weak surface cold front passes through the region tonight. With
a lack of moisture and no upper level support, conditions will
be dry with its passage. Outside of some evening cirrus, skies
should clear out after midnight.

Surface high pressure reestablishes itself over the
appalachians after midnight.

Some patchy ground fog is possible prior to the passage of the
cold front. Dew points will fall behind the passage of the
front.

Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s to around 50. Lows in the
philly metro area will be in the low 50s.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
Quiet weather is expected for the end of this week into the
weekend as high pressure will be in control of the weather
through the end of the week before moving offshore for Sunday
and Monday.

Ridging aloft builds across the area late this week into the
weekend, which will help keep temperatures several degrees above
normal. As the surface high and ridge aloft moves offshore
Sunday, return flow and southwest flow aloft develops. This will
help increase clouds, but no precipitation is expected through
Sunday.

As we go into Sunday, an area of low pressure is forecast to
develop near the lower mississippi valley along a frontal
boundary located across the central part of the country. It is
then expected to strengthen as it moves northward along the
frontal boundary and toward the great lakes Monday night into
Tuesday. The front is expected to move toward our area Tuesday
into Tuesday night, although there is some timing differences
between the GFS and ecmwf. The GFS pushes the front through
quicker, moving the precip through Tuesday into Tuesday night.

The ECMWF slowly moves the front through slower, keeping precip
across the area Tuesday night through Wednesday night. For now,
we have the greatest chances for precipitation Tuesday and
Tuesday night.

Aviation 08z Thursday through Monday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Some patchy ground fog with MVFR vsby is possible from 09-12z
at kabe kmiv kacy. Otherwise,VFR through the TAF period. Patchy
ground fog with brief MVFR vsby is possible once again from
around 02-10z Friday.

Sw winds less than 10 kt, becoming less than 5 kt tonight.

Outlook...

Friday-Monday...VFR conditions expected. Winds may gust around
15 knots Friday, Sunday, and Monday.

Marine
Sw winds 5-10 kt, increasing to 10-15 kt with gusts to 20 kt
this afternoon on the atlantic coastal waters. Winds shift to
the NW tonight after the passage of a cold front. Seas will
generally be around 3 ft on the coastal waters and 2 ft or less
in the delaware bay... Mostly a SE swell of 9 or 10 seconds.

Outlook...

Friday-Monday... Conditions expected to remain below small craft
advisory levels through the period.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Mps
short term... Mps
long term... Robertson
aviation... Robertson mps
marine... Robertson mps


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 22 mi50 min 66°F3 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 28 mi50 min SSW 1 46°F 1025 hPa45°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 36 mi50 min S 2.9 G 2.9 51°F 64°F1025.3 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 38 mi50 min 59°F 64°F1025.6 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 40 mi50 min SW 1 G 2.9 51°F 66°F1024.7 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 42 mi50 min WSW 8 G 11 58°F 63°F1025.3 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 42 mi90 min WSW 12 G 14 62°F 65°F3 ft1024.1 hPa (-0.7)50°F
BDSP1 49 mi50 min 54°F 67°F1025.1 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ8 mi24 minN 010.00 mi40°F37°F93%1026.1 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ14 mi80 minN 09.00 miFair44°F42°F93%1024.7 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ21 mi24 minWSW 410.00 miFair50°F45°F83%1025.9 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW3CalmW5SW3W6W7W7W5NW745SW8W6SW3CalmS3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoNW5NW6NW6--N7N8
G15
N8N6NW7W4N3CalmSE7SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmSW3CalmCalm
2 days agoNW13W5W7NW6NW4NW7NW8NW9NW16
G20
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G16
NW6NW4N3N4NW5N6NW4NW6NW5NW4N5

Tide / Current Tables for Cedar Creek, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Cedar Creek
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Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:35 AM EDT     0.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:14 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:50 PM EDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.30.30.20.1-0-000.10.30.40.40.50.40.30.20.10-000.10.20.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:01 AM EDT     -2.91 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:51 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:24 AM EDT     2.57 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:23 PM EDT     -2.92 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 05:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:31 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     2.46 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:06 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.5-2.5-2.9-2.5-1.30.21.72.52.41.80.9-0.2-1.3-2.2-2.9-2.7-1.8-0.41.12.22.421.20.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.