Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Island Heights, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:16PM Monday May 27, 2019 7:59 AM EDT (11:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:16AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 40% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Expires:201905272230;;539237 Fzus51 Kphi 271031 Cwfphi Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Mount Holly Nj 631 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019 Sandy Hook Nj To Fenwick Island De To 20 Nm Offshore And Delaware Bay Anz450-451-272230- Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 631 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft early in the evening, then 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the late evening and early morning, then becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 5 seconds. A chance of showers.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
ANZ400 631 Am Edt Mon May 27 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A cold front will continue pushing out of our area today as weak high pressure builds from the north. Low pressure and an associated cold front will pass across the forecast area late Tuesday into early Wednesday. Weak high pressure will return into the middle of the week then a few weak areas of low pressure and frontal boundaries will impact the region through next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Island Heights , NJ
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location: 39.95, -74.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 270741
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
341 am edt Mon may 27 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will continue pushing out of our area today as weak
high pressure builds from the north. Low pressure and an associated
cold front will pass across the forecast area late Tuesday into
early Wednesday. Weak high pressure will return into the middle of
the week then a few weak areas of low pressure and frontal
boundaries will impact the region through next weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure will build across the region today behind the cold
front that crossed the area Sunday night. Slightly cooler and drier
air will filter into the area with mostly sunny skies expected.

Highs will be mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s across the area.

These highs will be some 6 to 8 degrees lower than yesterday.

Humidity levels will also be lower, so mostly comfortable conditions
are expected. Winds will be mostly N or NE today with some onshore
winds expected near the shore.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
The high will build closer to the area tonight, moving across new
england. This will keep fair weather over the area. Meanwhile, low
pressure moves towards the great lakes. Clouds will increase from w
to E overnight and some showers may arrive across the N W areas
towards dawn. We have kept the pops in the chc range for now, with
confid in this happening rather low attm. It will be milder than
average with regards to temperatures. Lows across philadelphia and
delmarva will be in the 60s with mid upper 50s across NRN nj and the
southern poconos.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
An unsettled pattern continues for much of the upcoming week into
the weekend, with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday morning, the warm front will be lifting north through the
forecast area as low pressure approaches from the west. Most of the
latest guidance suite suggests the warm front will make it north of
our area, so went ahead and bumped high temps up on Tuesday. A band
of showers and a few thunderstorms is forecast to cross at least the
northern half of the forecast area beginning sometime Tuesday
morning and lasting into the afternoon. As this feature clears the
area, more storms are possible in its wake up north by the evening
hours. This second round of storms has the potential to be strong to
severe in nature, but given the late timing, generally expecting
most of this activity to stay to our north and west. As multiple
rounds of short waves vorticity impulses aloft move across the area
within the northwest-west flow aloft, showers and thunderstorms will
continue in the forecast through Wednesday, although it will not
rain the entire time. The higher probabilities will be tied to the
passages of the shortwaves.

The frontal boundary is expected to lift to our north Wednesday
night, and precipitation chances will lower through Wednesday night,
although not be zero as there will remain unsettled conditions with
an additional shortwave vorticity impulse affect the area.

On Thursday and Friday, a couple of frontal boundaries are forecast
to move across the area. The front on Thursday currently looks to be
the stronger of the two, and has a better chance of showers and
thunderstorms to be associated with it. Thursday also has higher pw
values at 1.5-2.0 for some areas, so it will have a higher threat
for heavy rainfall, although pw values remain over an inch into
Friday.

Dry weather may return early Saturday as high pressure briefly
builds across the northeast and into our area. However, showers may
begin to develop during the afternoon as return flow develops and a
short wave moves across the area. Also, another cold front is
currently forecast to move toward the area on Sunday, which could
bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the area.

Temperatures through most of the extended period are forecast to be
above normal.

Aviation 08z Monday through Friday
Today... High pressure will build in today withVFR conditions
expected. There may be a little fog, prior to 12z, in a few areas
that received rain overnight. Any fog that does develop will mix out
soon after sunrise. Winds will be mostly from the N this morning
with some NE winds psbl at kphl for awhile. Winds will be rather
variable this afternoon and may trend back to NW or W late closer to
the shore, onshore winds will probably develop with a sea breeze.

Tonight... VFR overnight with mostly clear skies and light winds.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Tuesday night... MVFR possibly developing in the
morning with a warm front passage, especially at northern terminals.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms may also briefly lower
conditions, otherwiseVFR.

Wednesday through Friday... GenerallyVFR expected. Showers and
thunderstorms will be possible each day, which may briefly lower
conditions. Southwest winds 5-15 kts with higher gusts possible
during the daytime hours.

Marine
Today... High pressure will build in later today. Fair weather is
expected. Winds will be mostly N or NW early today, then veer to ne
then E late. Seas on the ocean mostly around 3 ft.

Tonight... Light winds mostly from the SE or S overnight. Fair
weather expected.

Outlook...

conditions are forecast to remain below SCA criteria through the
entire period. However, isolated to scattered showers and storms
will be possible through the period which may be accompanied by
locally gusty winds and seas. Winds may gust 20-25 kts Tuesday
afternoon with seas around 3-4 feet.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Staarmann
near term... O'hara
short term... O'hara
long term... Robertson staarmann
aviation... O'hara staarmann
marine... O'hara staarmann


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 22 mi60 min 61°F3 ft
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 34 mi90 min NNW 1.9 65°F 1013 hPa60°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi50 min NW 5.8 G 5.8 64°F 61°F1012.6 hPa57°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 36 mi42 min N 6 G 8 69°F 67°F1014.3 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 36 mi42 min NNW 8 G 8.9 66°F 63°F1014.7 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 41 mi84 min NNW 1 G 5.1 67°F 67°F1012.9 hPa
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 44 mi42 min 70°F 60°F1013.4 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 48 mi48 min 67°F 64°F1013.5 hPa
MHRN6 48 mi42 min N 7 G 8.9
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 49 mi42 min N 9.9 G 12 66°F 1013.4 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ9 mi64 minNNW 510.00 miFair68°F57°F70%1013.5 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ12 mi2 hrsN 0 miPartly Cloudy67°F57°F71%1012.6 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ16 mi64 minNW 410.00 miFair68°F55°F63%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Coates Point, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Coates Point
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Mon -- 01:13 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:51 AM EDT     0.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:46 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:32 PM EDT     0.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.40.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EDT     1.53 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:10 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EDT     -1.81 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:38 PM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:44 PM EDT     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.61.21.51.30.70.1-0.5-1-1.5-1.8-1.7-1-0.20.61.21.30.90.5-0.1-0.6-1-1.4-1.5-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.