Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lavallette, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:31PM Saturday June 24, 2017 7:59 PM EDT (23:59 UTC) Moonrise 6:09AMMoonset 9:02PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 634 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 5 am edt Sunday...
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt late. Seas around 3 ft until late afternoon, then 2 ft or less. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 2 ft or less. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas around 3 ft in the evening, then 2 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
ANZ400 634 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will attempt to build into the mid-atlantic region tonight and Sunday. However some trofiness will persist over the great lakes and new england through Tuesday. Stronger high pressure is forecast to build in for Wednesday and then move offshore Thursday and Friday. A frontal system approaching from the northwest may bring a chance for showers Friday and Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lavallette , NJ
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location: 39.98, -74.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 242337
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
737 pm edt Sat jun 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will attempt to build into the mid- atlantic
region tonight and Sunday. However some trofiness will persist
over the great lakes and new england through Tuesday. Stronger
high pressure is forecast to build in for Wednesday and then
move offshore Thursday and Friday. A frontal system approaching
from the northwest may bring a chance for showers Friday and
Saturday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
A shortwave surface ridge is expected to build close to the
region overnight. That combined with the continued dry air
advection in the wake of the cold front this morning means dry
conditions and clearing skies through the overnight hours.

Thanks to the drier conditions and clearing skies, temperatures are
expected to drop off a bit more than what we have seen the last few
nights. Low temperatures are expected to range from the upper 50s to
near 70.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
The surface ridge will weaken quickly as a mid and upper level
shortwave trough digs southeast towards new england. The lift
associated with this feature may be enough for convective
initiation across the poconos and NW nj, but we aren't expecting
any widespread precipitation as we will remain quite dry
through the day tomorrow.

Temperatures tomorrow are expected to be near or just below
temperatures today as the northwesterly flow regime redevelops.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Monday and Monday night... Another cold front is expected to
move through the region through this period. In the mid and
upper levels, a positively tilted short wave trough will be
trailing close behind. Despite ample lift and upper level
support, do not expect too much in the way of precipitation
across the region primarily because we are not expecting any
significant moisture advection before this period.

An upper level trough remains over the eastern us on Tuesday
with some associated surface trofiness as well. Guidance
supports just a slight chance for showers or an isolated
t-storm. Then stronger surface high pressure builds in over the
mid-atlantic region on Wednesday as the upper trof moves
offshore. At this time Wednesday looks to be dry with slightly
below normal temperatures continuing from Tuesday.

On Thursday and Friday the high pressure moves offshore and low
pressure moves across the great lakes. This sets up a southwest
flow around the sub-tropical ridge with increasing heat and
humidity towards the end of the week. A frontal system is
forecast to approach from the northwest but is not expected to
reach the area. However the increasing low-level moisture and
typical surface trof in the lee of the mountains will make
conditions favorable for afternoon showers and t-storms,
especially north west of phl. High temperatures a few degrees
above normal are expected Thursday through Saturday.

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period. Some mid level
clouds near or above 5000 ft agl may move over the region after 03z.

Winds are expected to subside to near or below 10kt by 00z. Wind
direction may back to westerly overnight. Around 18z tomorrow,
expect wind speeds to once again increase with 10g20kt possible for
much of the afternoon at all TAF sites.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday night... MostlyVFR conditions are
expected. There is a small chance for showers and thunderstorms
Monday and Monday night. If any move over the TAF sites, MVFR or
lower conditions will be possible.

Monday and Tuesday... MostlyVFR but a chance for tempo lower
conditions in isolated thunderstorms, mainly for abe and rdg.

West wind mainly 10 kt or less.

Wednesday and Thursday...VFR condions expected. Light west winds
on Wednesday become southwest on Thursday with gusts to 20 kt
possible in the afternoon.

Marine
Winds and seas have subsided below SCA criteria across the
delaware bay and the coastal waters south of little egg inlet.

However... Seas remain just over the 5 foot critera north of
little egg so a SCA continues in those locations through most of
the overnight hours. Below SCA conditions are expected
everywhere on Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Monday night... Winds and seas should
stay below SCA criteria.

Tuesday and Wednesday... Winds and seas are forecast to remain
below SCA conditions.

Thursday... SCA conditions may develop in the afternoon.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 5 am edt Sunday for anz450-451.

Synopsis... Amc
near term... Johnson miketta
short term... Johnson
long term... Amc johnson
aviation... Amc johnson miketta
marine... Amc johnson miketta


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44091 21 mi59 min 65°F6 ft
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 33 mi69 min W 7.8 G 7.8 73°F 67°F4 ft1009.5 hPa (+1.6)62°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 34 mi41 min W 9.9 G 14 79°F 71°F1009.2 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 37 mi89 min WSW 6 84°F 1011 hPa59°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 38 mi41 min WNW 8.9 G 15 83°F 78°F1011.2 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi83 min 83°F 78°F1010.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 46 mi41 min 83°F 71°F1009.7 hPa
MHRN6 46 mi41 min WSW 7 G 11
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 47 mi41 min 83°F 62°F1011.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 47 mi41 min W 14 G 20 1010.1 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miller Air Park, NJ12 mi63 minW 810.00 miFair84°F60°F44%1011.4 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ14 mi63 minW 710.00 miFair83°F60°F46%1010.9 hPa

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11S6S7SW9SW9SW8SW8SW11SW9S8S7S9
G15
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NW11N14W13
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1 day agoS4SW4SW4SW5SW5SW4SW4SW3SW4SW5SW6SW6SW9SW8SW9SW19
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2 days agoSW3S5SW5SW6SW4SW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3NE5Calm4CalmSE5SE9S10S12S11S8S7

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean Beach, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey
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Ocean Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:20 AM EDT     0.52 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:23 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:55 PM EDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.50.40.30.20.10-0.1-000.20.30.40.40.40.30.20.10-0-00.10.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:40 AM EDT     -3.82 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:32 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:01 AM EDT     3.01 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:11 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:52 PM EDT     -3.18 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:25 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     3.66 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 11:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.7-2.7-3.6-3.8-2.8-10.92.432.61.50.2-1-2-2.9-3.2-2.5-0.81.12.83.63.32.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.