Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Hendley, NE

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 6:20PM Friday February 22, 2019 10:44 AM CST (16:44 UTC) Moonrise 10:17PMMoonset 9:31AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hendley, NE
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location: 40, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Hastings, NE
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Fxus63 kgid 221139
afdgid
area forecast discussion
national weather service hastings ne
539 am cst Fri feb 22 2019

Short term (today and tonight)
issued at 455 am cst Fri feb 22 2019
this is a very busy and complex forecast. The primary concern in
the short term through tonight will be light snow, generally less
than 1 inch, and a pretty good chance for freezing drizzle. The
freezing drizzle is the higher impact concern and appears most
likely by mid to late afternoon into this evening when many areas
could see anywhere from one to two tenths of an inch of ice
accumulation.

We do expect a little light snow this morning, primarily across
western zones, but amounts should be light at less than one inch.

The freezing drizzle could start to develop as early as late this
morning or early afternoon, but again the better chance will be as
we get into the mid to late afternoon time frame. Freezing
drizzle may begin to decrease after midnight tonight in a bit of a
lull prior to the main storm system tracking through on Saturday.

The high temperature forecast today is critically important given
the threat of drizzle freezing drizzle. High temperatures will be
a little warmer over northern kansas and may climb up to or just
above the freezing mark this afternoon during the height of the
precipitation. However, if we are even a degree or two cooler than
currently forecast across northern kansas this afternoon then we
may need to expand the winter weather advisory for freezing
drizzle into our kansas counties. I just didn't have the
confidence nor did our NWS neighbor offices to issue the advisory
that far south with our morning forecast package.

Long term (Saturday through Thursday)
issued at 455 am cst Fri feb 22 2019
a major winter storm is expected across portions of the forecast
area. Forecast models continue to have substantial differences
from model to model. The heaviest snow may end up only being in a
narrow 2 or 3 county wide band with a fairly tight gradient making
this a very challenging and low confidence forecast period.

The major forecast models continue with their same trends. The
00z and 06z NAM remain in our opinion too far south with the storm
track and we have excluded them from consideration during the
Saturday period. The 00z and 06z GFS and gfsfv3 continue to be the
furthest north and likely a bit too far north, and too overdone
with their QPF and snowfall. We continue to believe that the ecmwf
is the best bet solution and the 00z ECMWF is in line with the
ecmwf ensemble mean. So our chosen solution currently has the
heaviest snow across our kansas counties maybe up to around hebron
with 4 to 6 inches. This would give the tri-cities 2 to 4 inches.

Somebody is going to likely see 6-8 inches of snow, but it will
be a very narrow band hard to pin down at this point in time.

People should not get too hung up on snowfall amounts at this
stage as a slight shift one way or another could really change
things. If you are along or south of nebraska highway 30 into
north central kansas you are likely close enough to the eventual
heavy snow band that you should be paying attention to the latest
forecast and have possible alternate plans worked out if you end
up getting this heavy snow.

Strong winds will be a significant issue with north winds of 25 to
35 mph and gusts of 45 to 50 mph expected. This could result in
near white out conditions within the heavier snowband Saturday
afternoon. In addition, the strong winds could interact with ice
coated power lines and trees to result in power outages and tree
limb damage.

This will be a fast moving system and snow will quickly end
Saturday evening.

Sunday through Thursday will be cold with well below normal
temperatures. There are a few chance for light snow, but nothing
that appears very significant.

Aviation (for the 12z kgri kear tafs through 12z Saturday)
issued at 539 am cst Fri feb 22 2019
the big issue will be decreasing cloud ceilings and likely
freezing drizzle this afternoon and evening. In addition,
visibility will also decrease this afternoon and evening. Ifr
conditions are likely by later this afternoon and evening and the
freezing drizzle could be a complete show stopper.

Gid watches warnings advisories
Ne... Winter weather advisory from noon today to 6 am cst Saturday for
nez048-049-061>064-072>077-082>087.

Winter storm watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for nez048-049-061>064-072>077-082>087.

Winter weather advisory from noon today to 9 pm cst Saturday for
nez039>041-046-047-060.

Ks... Winter storm watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for ksz005>007-017>019.

Short term... Wesely
long term... Wesely
aviation... Wesely


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
McCook, McCook Municipal Airport, NE35 mi51 minESE 122.50 miLight Snow Fog/Mist27°F25°F92%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from MCK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E13E14E14E16E12E13NE12E14NE8NE10NE11E12E11NE13E14E11E12E11E9E10E9SE10E12
1 day agoW13W15
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W12W5SW6SW5SW5SW8SW7W3W4SW4SW6NW3NW5N4CalmCalmE5E7
2 days agoE11SE11E12E10E10E8E12E8E9E5E5------E3CalmCalm--CalmCalmSW4SW6W9W11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Hastings, NE (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Grand Island, NE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.