Sunday, November18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wayne Lakes, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 5:22PM Sunday November 18, 2018 12:29 PM EST (17:29 UTC) Moonrise 3:15PMMoonset 2:20AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wayne Lakes, OH
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location: 40.03, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 181458
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
958 am est Sun nov 18 2018

Synopsis
A low pressure system moving through the ohio valley will bring
a chance of precipitation to the region tonight into Monday.

High pressure will then build into the region through mid week,
leading to dry conditions and a gradual warmup through Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Latest mesoscale models are showing that the pcpn in NRN ohio
will stay north of the fa. Therefore have reduced pops for
today and have dried out the forecast.

The SRN half of the fa is seeing abundant sunshine, while
the clouds continue to hold on across the north. As the weak
front slips south today, expect the clouds to slowly work
southeast, reaching the far southeast by sunset.

Didn't adjust the highs for today as they look good. Highs
around 40 in the northwest where the clouds are the thickest
ranging to the mid 50s in the southeast where the Sun will last
the longest.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Monday
The boundary will remain draped along the ohio river tonight
into Monday. As another surface wave rides east along the
boundary, precipitation coverage across our south will become
more widespread heading into tonight and then continue into the
day on Monday. Areas across our northwest will likely remain
dry, with chance pops across central portions of our fa and
then likely across our southeast.

Lows tonight will range from the upper 20s in the northwest to
the upper 30s across the southeast. Highs on Monday will be in
the low to mid 40s across the area. Thermal profiles again
support primarily rain, although suppose a rain snow mix will
be possible later tonight into Monday morning along the
northwest fringe of any pcpn across central portions of our fa.

Long term Monday night through Saturday
An embedded S W within broader-scale troughing across the eastern
third of the u.S. Will be pivoting through the ohio valley at the
beginning of the long term period. Light rain or possibly a light
mix of rain and snow will be gradually exiting the iln fa early
Monday night, with just a chance for a few sprinkles and or flurries
lingering through the first part of the day on Tuesday. With
extensive cloud cover and northwest flow at the surface, highs
Tuesday will be held below seasonal norms -- mainly in the upper 30s
to around 40 degrees.

Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are expected later Tuesday into
Wednesday, despite the progression of a weakening back door cold
front through the area during the middle of the week. This will
provide a reinforcing albeit brief shot of cool air for Wednesday
night and perhaps lingering into thanksgiving day before surface
flow becomes more easterly southeasterly late Thursday into Friday
as surface high pressure builds into the mid-atlantic region.

Models have remained fairly consistent showing a bit of a warmup at
the end of the workweek into next weekend, although the details of
the evolution of systems within this time frame still appear a bit
murky this far out. It does appear that at least one system will
move through the region Friday night into early Saturday, allowing
for increased pops during this time frame. As of right now, low
level thermal profiles suggest that ptype issues shouldn't be a
concern with this pcpn as the profile should be warm enough to
support mostly rain. Overnight lows in the upper 30s to around 40
degrees will be possible Friday and Saturday nights, with highs
reaching into the upper 40s lower 50s during the daytime
periods.

Aviation 15z Sunday through Thursday
A cold front will sag slowly south into the area through
tonight. Initially we will mainly just see a continuation of
someVFR CIGS through the morning hours. However, CIGS will
lower into MVFR later this afternoon as the front moves in.

There will also be a chance for a few light rain showers this
afternoon, primarily at the northern TAF sites. A better chance
of rain will then develop along and southeast of the i-71
corridor tonight as a low pressure rides east along the front.

Some ifr CIGS will also be possible tonight into early Monday
morning.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings will likely continue into Tuesday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Jgl
near term... Sites
short term... Jgl
long term... Kc
aviation... Jgl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Versailles Darke County Airport, OH14 mi55 minNNE 65.00 miFog/Mist37°F37°F100%1022 hPa

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Last 24hrSW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3NE5NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4CalmNE3CalmE4CalmNE5NE5N5N6
1 day agoW9
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W9W8W5W5SW3W6W5W5W3CalmCalmW4W5W5W4W3CalmCalmS5CalmSE6S5S4
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.