Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Worthington, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:55PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 3:15 PM EDT (19:15 UTC) Moonrise 7:32AMMoonset 8:54PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 352 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Today..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy this morning...then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southeast 5 to 15 knots. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 40 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 38 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201703291415;;249178 FZUS51 KCLE 290752 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 352 AM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ144>148-291415-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OH
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location: 40.1, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 291808
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
208 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the great lakes today providing
dry weather and decreasing clouds. Low pressure will push into
the region on Thursday, offering showers and thunderstorms
through the end of the work week. High pressure will settle in
over the weekend returning dry conditions and near seasonable
temperatures.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
West-northwest mid level flow with surface high pressure
building SE across the great lakes into the ohio valley.

Latest IR satellite shows considerable low clouds across the
region but some holes. Numerical model solutions keep the low
level moisture trapped below a low level inversion through most
of the morning. These clouds to diminish from northeast to
southwest late morning into the afternoon. Temperatures will be
around one category above normal with highs ranging from the
mid 50s north to the mid 60s south.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday/
Mid/upper level ridge to build over the region tonight ahead of
upper low developing in the central plains. Models continue a
little slower with precipitation which looks reasonable in this
amplified flow pattern. Will allow for an increase in clouds
late. Mild lows tonight will range from the upper lows extreme
northeast to near 50 southwest.

Mid/upper level flow backs as low pressure tracks from the
central plains into the mid ms vly Thursday. In WAA pattern a
few showers will be possible early Thursday. Best instability
stays to our sw, but an axis of instability works into the
southwest Thursday afternoon. There appears to be a window with
the potential for severe weather Thursday afternoon into
evening, when 50-55 kt low level jet will provide good axis of
lift, which coincides with this instability. 0-6 km bulk shear
suggests organized storms possible and low level shear is
favorable but LCL heights are high. Will mention this severe
potential over iln/s southwest counties in hwo product. The main
threats at this time are damaging winds and large hail. Warm
temperatures to continue Thursday with highs from the lower 60s
far north to the mid/upper 70s far south.

Long term /Thursday night through Wednesday/
A broad upper ridge featuring above normal geopotential heights will
generally be in place through the period. However, the ridge will be
interrupted by a couple of vigorous troughs that will produce
precipitation events.

Potent low pressure will be moving to indiana Thursday night,
bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Severe thunderstorms
will be possible in an environment containing ample moisture,
instability and wind fields. Though severe weather chances will
diminish Friday as the vertically stacked low tracks slowly to the
central appalachians, showers will linger in the moist cyclonic
circulation around the low pressure system.

High pressure at the surface and aloft is indicated for Saturday and
Sunday, resulting in a dry weekend. The next area of low pressure
due to arrive Monday is forecast to bring more showers and
thunderstorms, with showers lingering on Tuesday behind the low
center.

Above normal temperatures are expected for the most part, with highs
generally in the 60s. Saturday may be the exception, when highs are
forecast to be slightly below normal, in the mid and upper 50s under
modest cold advection.

Aviation /18z Wednesday through Monday/
Stratus near and south of the ohio river this afternoon will
continue to lift and eventually mix out through 00z. Some
lingering MVFR ceilings will continue at kcvg/kluk/kiln until
full mixing is complete.

For tonight, a warm front will move northeast toward our region.

We should see an increase in mid and high level clouds at first.

Then as warm, moist advection continues, clouds may lower into
MVFR late. Some showers will also be possible ahead of the
front, but coverage appears low at this time to not mention yet
as a vcsh.

For Thursday, a vigorous upper level low will rotate northeast
from the southern plains to the middle mississippi river valley.

As this occurs, warm front will continue to move from south to
north through the forecast area. Again, a few showers will be
possible as this occurs. By afternoon, it is unclear per high
resolution models how much shower/thunderstorm activity will
encroach our west given weakening trend as the precipitation
propagates from its original source region. So, have kept the
tafs dry at this time. Winds will become gusty from the south
given a tightening pressure gradient and some momentum transfer
of stronger winds aloft. Gusts should be in the 25 knot to 30
knot range during peak heating.

A better chance of showers and thunderstorms is expected
Thursday night as showers/storms develop ahead of a cold front,
pushing east through the area overnight.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings and visibilities likely late Thursday
into Friday evening. Thunderstorms likely Thursday night. MVFR
to ifr ceilings likely Friday night into Saturday.

Iln watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar
near term... Sites
short term... Ar
long term... Coniglio
aviation... Hickman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 92 mi90 min N 5.1 41°F 1025 hPa36°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH3 mi22 minENE 710.00 miFair58°F39°F50%1021.9 hPa
Columbus - John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH10 mi24 minNE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F39°F44%1021.7 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH15 mi25 minESE 610.00 miClear59°F39°F48%1021.7 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH19 mi35 minE 610.00 miFair56°F39°F54%1021.7 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH20 mi23 minE 1210.00 miFair56°F40°F55%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW11N14N9N9N9N10N9NE11N9N7N3N7N8NE9N6N5N6NE5NE9NE11E10NE11NE7NE7
1 day agoSW3S8S6SE6SE3NE3NE3E5NE4S4W3NW3SW3W4W4N4N6N9N10N10N11N13N10NW11
2 days agoS8S9SE9SE4W11S6S5S6S4S6SW6S6SW5SW4SW4SW6SW5SW5S5W8W8SW75
G14
W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.