Sunday, June25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Worthington, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 9:07PM Sunday June 25, 2017 11:39 PM EDT (03:39 UTC) Moonrise 6:51AMMoonset 9:34PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- 345 Pm Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A slight chance of Thunderstorms with isolated showers late this evening. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning...then scattered showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Monday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Scattered showers in the evening...then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 71 degrees...off cleveland 68 degrees and off erie 72 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201706260215;;811179 FZUS51 KCLE 251945 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 345 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>145-260215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Worthington, OH
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location: 40.1, -83.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 260206
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
1006 pm edt Sun jun 25 2017

Synopsis
After an isolated evening shower, surface high pressure will
bring dry weather and cool temperatures tonight. An upper level
trough swinging through the great lakes will bring a chance of
showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon into early Tuesday.

High pressure will provide dry weather at midweek with
increasing precipitation chances toward the end of the week as
temperatures warm to near normal.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
Pronounced troughing with embedded disturbances rotating about
the larger-scale low continues across the great lakes and ohio
valley regions. Regional obs indicated that the very weak
surface boundary that had provided initiation for isolated
showers earlier has since moved to approximately parallel to
the ohio river. The showers were diurnally-enhanced and with
sufficient significant dry air throughout the column as sampled
by the kiln 00z sounding do not expect much in the way of
additional redevelopment through the near term period. As such,
have kept the fcst dry for all areas.

Behind this frontal boundary, a very weakly-defined broad surface
high pressure will build into the fa, allowing for light winds
and mainly clear skies through the overnight period. Some
scattered ac across the north will slowly dissipate through the
near term period, with many locations beginning the day on
Monday with clear mostly clear skies.

With relatively dry air in place and mainly clear skies,
another unseasonably cool night is in store for the fa, with
lows expected to bottom out in the low mid 50s area-wide.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
Next mid level shortwave to drop southeast, sharpening up the mean
trof over the region Monday night. 25-30kt low level jet, along
with marginal instability may lead to a few rain showers or
isold thunderstorms into the west Monday afternoon. Will limit
pops to chance category. Temperatures look to be around 10
degrees below normal with highs Monday in the lower and middle
70s.

Expect this precipitation to drop southeast across iln S fa Monday
night ahead of a surface cold front. Thunder chances will
diminish as very weak instby decreases. Cool temperatures to
drop to lows in the lower and middle 50s Monday night.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
On Tuesday morning, large-scale troughing will remain in place over
the eastern half of the conus, with a relatively dry air mass in
place from the upper ohio valley through the mid-atlantic. Attention
over the middle ohio valley will be focused on a shortwave trough,
moving ese through the overall flow. The axis of this trough will
likely not quite be cleared through the iln CWA by 12z Tuesday, with
some chance of showers remaining in place near the ohio river and
lower scioto valley through the morning. By afternoon, with
subsidence behind the shortwave, high pressure at the surface will
begin to take hold over the region. This will be too late to allow a
significant rise in temperatures, with below normal conditions
expected, especially in central ohio.

Dry high pressure is expected to remain in control of the weather
from late Tuesday through early Thursday, influencing conditions
through the middle part of the week. With a turning of winds to the
south on Wednesday, a more appreciable warmup will begin, with
temperatures returning to the 80s.

As a more progressive pattern begins to set up for Thursday and
beyond, model differences become more pronounced, leading to lower
confidence -- especially in precipitation timing near the end of the
week and into the weekend. There is agreement that a frontal zone
will set up east-to-west across the southern great lakes beginning
early Thursday, with the iln CWA in the warm sector within solid
deep-layer southwesterly flow. As convection develops at the north
end of this warm sector, and along the frontal area, there will
eventually be some propagation downstream which should impact the
iln CWA -- likely beginning on Thursday afternoon, and then again as
additional waves of precipitation occur going into Friday. How much
of the CWA remains capped is a question, as is the exact position of
the front. However, model runs have trended a little southward with
precipitation chances, increasing the probability for storms in the
iln CWA on Thursday and Friday (especially in the northern half of
the cwa). Pops have been increased slightly through this time
period, but with little change to temperatures, as there is
confidence in continued southwesterly flow through the period. In
addition, with ample instability and at least somewhat favorable
deep-layer shear, some strong to severe storms could be possible on
Thursday and Friday.

Differences in the evolution of an upstream trough going into the
weekend will preclude more than very low confidence in the forecast
Saturday into Sunday.

Aviation 02z Monday through Friday
Diurnally-drivenVFR CU coverage will decrease early in the taf
period, yielding mainly clear skies for the overnight period.

Gusty wnw winds will also subside towards sunset, with light
winds of around 5kts expected past 01-02z through mid-morning
Monday.

With the wind not expected to go completely calm, and the
presence of quite a bit of dry air in the low levels, do think
that vsby restrictions will be difficult to come by at kluk.

Past 18z Monday, increased moisture ahead of an upper-level S w
and a weakly-defined surface frontal boundary will allow for a
vfr deck to gradually overspread the terminals towards the end
of the TAF period. Although quite a bit of dry air will remain
in the lower levels, there should be enough lift associated with
the aforementioned features to generate isolated to scattered
light shra after 18-21z. Although coverage will likely remain
scattered at best, expect that activity will shift south east
through the area towards the end of the period as the front
progresses southward, eventually affecting kcvg and kluk as
well. Have held off on inclusion of a vc for now at these
terminals until placement and timing becomes a bit more focused.

Altho instby will remain quite limited, cannot completely rule
out a TS with aft eve activity Monday. This being said, have
omitted from tafs at this time until placement and coverage
becomes better defined.

Wnw winds will increase to around 10 to 12kts during the day on
Monday, with a few gusts to 20kts possible.

Outlook... Showers and thunderstorms are possible Thursday and
Friday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Ar
near term... Kc
short term... Ar
long term... Coniglio hatzos
aviation... Kc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 92 mi115 min Calm 60°F 1018 hPa49°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 93 mi40 min WSW 7 G 8 65°F 1017.3 hPa (+1.0)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH3 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair60°F50°F70%1019.4 hPa
Port Columbus International Airport, OH10 mi49 minWNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds64°F48°F56%1019.2 hPa
Columbus, Bolton Field Airport, OH15 mi4.9 hrsNW 16 G 2110.00 miClear72°F46°F41%1019 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH19 mi45 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy63°F48°F59%1019.6 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH20 mi46 minWSW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy58°F50°F78%1020 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W7W5SW5SW5W5W4SW6W5SW9W9W18
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1 day agoW4W7W6W6W6W6SW6SW6W8W12NW10W7W9W15W14
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2 days agoS9S8S8S5S8S10SW10SW10S10S10
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.