Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Alexandria, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 7:52PM Monday March 27, 2017 6:28 PM EDT (22:28 UTC) Moonrise 6:17AMMoonset 6:31PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 409 Am Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Today..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots decreasing to 5 to 10 knots. A slight chance of showers this morning. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Rain showers likely late with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Rain showers likely in the morning...then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 38 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 37 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201703271415;;146478 FZUS51 KCLE 270809 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 409 AM EDT MON MAR 27 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>146-271415-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alexandria, OH
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location: 40.11, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 272010
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
410 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure will move up the ohio valley tonight. High
pressure will build in for the middle of the week. Another low
pressure system will affect the region Thursday and Friday.

Near term /until 6 am Tuesday morning/
Convection progressing into central kentucky will continue east
northeast through the rest of the afternoon into the evening.

Mesoanalysis continues to shows a distinct gradient in
instability. Near term models still indicate that instability
will get further north into far southern counties, but for the
most part the forecast area will remain along the northern
gradient. There remains the potential for strong to severe
storms to affect far southern counties late today into the early
evening. Damaging straight line winds seems to be the main
threat.

After this initial round of convection, expect to see additional
showers and thunderstorms fill in ahead of a surface low that
will track across the area. While any storms will bring a period
of heavy rainfall, guidance trends suggest that the possibility
of localized flooding seems to be a bit lower than previously
expected. Precipitation will diminish late tonight as the low
continues off to the east.

Short term /6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night/
Some wrap around showers may still affect parts of the forecast
area Tuesday morning before ending entirely. Low clouds will
prevail through the day and most likely all of Tuesday night.

Did not see any reason to vary much from a MOS consensus on
temperatures.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
Low level moisture will be present across the area at the start of
the long term especially along and south of the ohio river. Although
decent cloud cover will be present through the day, dry conditions
are expected Wednesday and Wednesday night.

A warm front lifts northward on Thursday allowing for some shower
and thunderstorm activity. A low pressure system approaches
Thursday night. Models differ on how progressive this low is as it
moves through the area. The ECMWF has come more into line with a
slightly slower solution and therefore expect showers and
thunderstorms across the region on Friday before beginning to taper
off Friday night into Saturday morning. After this time expect dry
conditions for a remainder of the weekend and into Monday. The next
system will begin to move into the area for Monday night bringing
additional precipitation.

High temperatures through the long term will be in the 50s and 60s.

Low temperatures will generally be in the 40s and 50s, however a few
temperatures in the upper 30s will be possible north of dayton to
columbus Wednesday night and Saturday night.

Aviation /20z Monday through Saturday/
Early part of the TAF period will be uneventful with some
cumulus and extensive mid to high clouds. Convection in western
kentucky will spread into the region and potentially start
affecting TAF sites after 22z. In the wake of this initial
activity, additional showers and thunderstorms will develop and
move across the region as low pressure approaches. At this point
expectVFR conditions to prevail with temporary lower
visibilities in heavier precipitation.

As the low moves across the area overnight, thunderstorms will
diminish although showers may linger. Ceilings will fall to MVFR
below 2000 ft and likely eventually drop to ifr before 12z.

Winds will become variable then shift to north. Showers will end
Tuesday morning but low ceilings will persist with some slow
improvement late in the TAF period.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings will persist into Tuesday night and
likely continue into Wednesday morning. MVFR ceilings and
visibilities likely Thursday into Friday evening. MVFR to ifr
ceilings likely Friday night into Saturday.

Iln watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis...

near term...

short term...

long term... Novak
aviation...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 88 mi104 min SW 4.1 61°F 1013 hPa49°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 99 mi41 min E 1 G 1.9 51°F 47°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark Heath Airport, OH12 mi35 minSSW 610.00 miA Few Clouds64°F51°F63%1011.9 hPa
Columbus - John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH14 mi38 minSSE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy65°F51°F61%1011.9 hPa
Knox County Airfield, OH17 mi49 minS 410.00 miFair64°F51°F64%1012.9 hPa
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH22 mi36 minS 610.00 miOvercast64°F52°F65%1011.9 hPa
Rickenbacker Air National Guard Base, OH24 mi54 minSE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F52°F68%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from VTA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S5SE7SE4CalmS5S3SW3SW5SW5SW3S3S3S3S3W6W9SW7S10W6SW6W5S6SW6
1 day agoSE3E4CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6S8S9S7S9S14S8W9SW4S8
2 days agoSW9SW8
G18
SW6S6SW3SW3SW7SW6S6SW7SW5SW4SW3CalmS3S6SW7SW9W14W10W9W7S5S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.