Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Grove, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 4:37PM Sunday November 19, 2017 4:35 PM EST (21:35 UTC) Moonrise 8:33AMMoonset 6:47PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 324 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Mainly in nw swell with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Mon..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Mainly in nw swell with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Mainly in S swell with a dominant period of 11 seconds.
Tue..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Mainly in sw swell with a dominant period of 12 seconds.
Tue night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the morning.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
ANZ400 324 Pm Est Sun Nov 19 2017
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure over southeast canada will continue to lift to the north and east tonight. Meanwhile, high pressure over texas builds east through the gulf coast states and will move off the mid-atlantic coast Monday night. A cold front approaches Tuesday night and passes through the region on Wednesday. At the same time, low pressure over the southeast approaches the mid- atlantic and moves out to sea. High pressure builds through the region to close out the week. A cold front passes through the region Saturday, then low pressure will be over eastern canada over next weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Grove, NJ
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location: 40.21, -73.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 192015
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
315 pm est Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure over southeast canada will continue to lift to the
north and east tonight. Meanwhile, high pressure over texas
builds east through the gulf coast states and will move off the
mid-atlantic coast Monday night. A cold front approaches
Tuesday night and passes through the region on Wednesday. At the
same time, low pressure over the southeast approaches the mid-
atlantic and moves out to sea. High pressure builds through the
region to close out the week. A cold front passes through the
region Saturday, then low pressure will be over eastern canada
over next weekend.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
Strong northwest flow continues across the area between an area
of low pressure to our northeast across southeastern canada,
and high pressure to our southwest across the lower mississippi
valley. This tight pressure gradient will continue through
tonight and will keep winds elevated overnight. However, wind
gusts will continue to diminish this evening, and may drop off
for many locations overnight.

With the northwest flow, clouds will continue to to be trapped
under inversion around 4,000-6,000 feet and remain across most
of the area. The thickest clouds cover will be from the i-95
corridor northward.

A short wave vorticity impulse and an area of enhanced low
level lift and moisture will move across the northern half of
the area later this evening and overnight. The combination of
the lift and moisture associated with the short wave vorticity
impulse may be enough that may help any lake effect streamers
within the northwest flow may make their way into portions of
our area overnight. There will be a slight chance of isolated
snow showers flurries later tonight for areas along and north of
the i-78 corridor. The poconos may have the better shot of
seeing any accumulation if any showers do occur.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through 6 pm Monday
Monday is expected to be a fairly nice day. The pressure
gradient relaxes some during the day as high pressure builds to
our south, but there will remain a steady breeze through the
day. Also, winds will be gusty around 20-25 mph through much of
the day as well, but much less windy than Sunday.

There will remain some scattered cloud cover across the area,
especially in the morning hours and areas along and north of the
i-95 corridor. Skies are expected to begin to clear out by he
afternoon. No precipitation is expected through the day on
Monday as any lake effect streamers will get cut off or push
north of our area as the flow turns more west to southwesterly
through the day and moisture lift becomes limited as well.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
High pressure over the mid-atlantic moves out to sea Monday
night and will be off the mid-atlantic coast on Tuesday. Return
flow sets up, and highs on Tuesday will be about 3-5 degrees
above normal, topping off in the 40s in the poconos, otherwise
in the low to mid 50s north and west of i-95, and near 60s in
the DELMARVA and southern nj. S to SW winds increase Tuesday
afternoon to 15-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

High pressure moves out to sea late Tuesday as a cold front
moves through the great lakes and ohio valley. Meanwhile, low
pressure develops over the gulf coast on Tuesday, and that low
moves off the southeast u.S. Coast Tuesday night. Tuesday night
through Wednesday morning, that low approaches the mid-atlantic
coast and drifts out to sea. That cold front will pass through
the region Wednesday afternoon. Based on latest model guidance,
will carry a swath of likely pops across southern de and
southeast nj, and chance pops for most areas south and east of
the fall line. Cooler temps will move into the poconos Wednesday
afternoon, but stronger CAA will not be underway until
Wednesday night.

Chilly high pressure builds through the region thanksgiving day
with temperatures 6-8 degrees below normal. Highs top off in
the mid and upper 30s in the poconos, otherwise in the low to
mid 40s.

High pressure reestablishes itself over the area Friday with
highs a few degrees warmer than Thursday.

Low pressure passing well north of the region will drag a cold
front through the region on Saturday, and then low pressure
remains over eastern canada through next weekend. Unsettled
weather possible.

Aviation 20z Sunday through Friday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight...VFR conditions expected. Slight chance of an isolated
snow shower overnight for abe and rdg, which may briefly lower
conditions if any showers occur. Winds remain gusty into this
evening, then gusts drop off overnight, although a steady breeze
will remain. High confidence inVFR conditions. Low confidence
in showers. High confidence in winds.

Monday...VFR conditions expected. Winds expected to increase
and become gusty again later in the morning and through the day.

High confidence inVFR conditions and winds.

Outlook...

Monday night through Tuesday...VFR. SW winds 5-10 kt Monday
night increase to 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt Tuesday
afternoon.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... MainlyVFR. Rain possible south
and east of i-95 Tuesday night through Wednesday morning with
MVFR or lower conditions. SW winds 5-10 kt become NW Wednesday
afternoon and increase to 10-20 kt.

Wednesday night and Thursday...VFR. NW winds gradually
diminishing. A storm system is currently expected to remain
offshore. Forecast confidence: medium to high.

Friday...VFR. NW winds 5-10 kt.

Marine
A gale warning is in effect for all areas through tonight.

Winds are expected to diminish through the night, and should
fall below gale force by daybreak Monday. Then small craft
advisory level conditions will likely continue through the day
Monday.

Outlook...

Monday night through Tuesday night... Brief lull in sca
conditions late Monday night through Tuesday morning. Otherwise,
25-30 kt wind gusts, primarily on the ocean waters, may
possibly over lower de bay Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday... Lull in SCA conditions possible Wednesday morning.

Otherwise, winds shift to the NW and increase to 15-20 kt with
25-30 kt gusts.

Thursday through Friday... Sub-sca conditions expected.

Tides coastal flooding
There is a potential for blow out tides this evening, mainly
for the upper delaware bay. We will maintain the low water
advisory as it is with no extension in time, or expansion in
area.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale warning until 5 am est Monday for anz430-431-450>455.

Low water advisory until 7 pm est this evening for anz430.

Synopsis... Mps
near term... Robertson
short term... Robertson
long term... Mps
aviation... Robertson mps
marine... Robertson mps
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi46 min NW 23 G 29 51°F 58°F5 ft1000.9 hPa (+3.5)36°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 18 mi48 min NW 19 G 23 49°F 49°F1003.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 31 mi48 min NW 17 G 22 47°F 1002.6 hPa
MHRN6 31 mi48 min NW 16 G 21
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 31 mi48 min 48°F 52°F1002.3 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 34 mi48 min 47°F 53°F1002.8 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi48 min NW 19 G 25 49°F 45°F1003.6 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 43 mi48 min N 19 G 26 47°F 52°F1003.1 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 43 mi46 min NW 25 G 33 50°F 57°F9 ft1000.8 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi60 min WNW 15 G 22 49°F 46°F1003.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 48 mi51 min WNW 19 G 31 48°F 32°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ8 mi40 minWNW 16 G 3310.00 miFair50°F27°F41%1003.2 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW8W11W5W4W4W6W6W5W3CalmSE3CalmCalmS4S4S35S3SW9S7
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2 days agoW13
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--W14
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W9W9W10W10NW11NW11NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:05 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM EST     5.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:42 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:36 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EST     4.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.400.31.22.53.74.65.15.14.33.11.90.90.1-0.10.51.52.63.54.14.33.82.91.8

Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch (fishing pier), New Jersey
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Long Branch (fishing pier)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:14 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     5.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:51 PM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:54 PM EST     4.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.500.21.12.33.54.455.14.43.32.110.2-0.10.41.32.43.444.23.932

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.