Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Allenhurst, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:01PM Friday January 19, 2018 11:50 AM EST (16:50 UTC) Moonrise 9:46AMMoonset 8:34PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 941 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon...
Rest of today..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft in the morning, then 2 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. A chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Tue..S winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Tue night..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ400 941 Am Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure across the central gulf coast will build eastward today, then offshore over the weekend. An area of low pressure will move across eastern canada over the weekend as a back door cold front approaches from the north. Another area of low pressure will move through the great lakes Monday night into Tuesday, pulling a cold front across the area. High pressure will build toward the area late Wednesday into Thursday of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Allenhurst , NJ
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location: 40.24, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 191536
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
1036 am est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure across the central gulf coast will build eastward
today, then offshore over the weekend. An area of low pressure
will move across eastern canada over the weekend as a back door
cold front approaches from the north. Another area of low
pressure will move through the great lakes Monday night into
Tuesday, pulling a cold front across the area. High pressure
will build toward the area late Wednesday into Thursday of next
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
No major changes with the morning update. Surface high pressure
builds in from the west, allowing for rising heights and
thicknesses. Highs will be some 8-10 degrees warmer today than
Thursday, topping off in the mid to upper 30s north and west of
the fall line, and in the low to mid 40s across southern nj and
southeast pa, and in the mid to upper 40s in the delmarva.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Saturday
High pressure continues to build in from the west and heights
continue to rise. This results in overnight lows warmer tonight
than this morning, but there will still be some radiational
cooling that allows temperatures to drop into the teens and
lower 20s. Otherwise, lows will be generally in the mid 20s.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
Quiet weather continues into the weekend, with a return of
unsettled weather for early next week, followed by quiet weather
again for the middle of next week.

Dry conditions will continue for Saturday and Saturday night as
high pressure builds to our south across the southeastern
states then offshore Saturday. We will remain on the northern
periphery of the high which will keep a dry, west to southwest
flow across the area. Winds on Saturday are expected to gust
20-25 mph at times during the afternoon.

On Sunday, a back door cold front will sag toward our area from
the north as an area of low pressure slides eastward across
eastern canada, and cold high pressure builds across eastern
canada through Sunday night. Sunday is expected to remain dry,
but cloud cover will be on the increase through the day.

As we move into Sunday night and Monday, the back door frontal
boundary is forecast to make its way across a portion of the
area. As it does so, there will be some enhanced moisture and
lift moving overtop of the front. This may lead to some light
rain drizzle developing across the area Sunday night into
Monday. Temperatures are expected to drop below freezing for
portions of northern new jersey and northeastern pennsylvania as
some cold air gets dammed up. If any precipitation does occur,
this could lead to some light freezing rain or drizzle overnight
Sunday into Monday morning.

Then Monday night into Tuesday morning, a cold front is
expected to sweep across the area as an area of low pressure
moves through the great lakes region. This will lead to a period
of rainfall overnight Monday into Tuesday. It is possible that
the rain could change over to snow across northern new jersey
and northeastern pennsylvania before the precipitation ends
Tuesday morning behind the cold frontal passage.

For Tuesday night into Wednesday, the low pressure system moves
across eastern canada, while a secondary cold front moves
toward the area from the west, which may cross the area during
the day. Most of the area will remain dry, as any precipitation
is forecast to remain to our north. If there is any
precipitation, it would most likely occur across portions of
northern new jersey and northeastern pennsylvania.

High pressure returns for Thursday, leading to dry conditions.

Aviation 16z Friday through Tuesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR. Skc few250. W-sw winds less than 10 kt. High
confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Skc few250. Light and variable winds. High
confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday through Saturday night...VFR. West to southwest winds;
winds may gust 15-20 knots at time. High confidence.

Sunday... Conditions may lower to MVFR later during the day.

West winds may gust 15-20 knots. Moderate confidence.

Sunday night-Monday... MVFR conditions overnight Sunday into
Monday. May become ifr, especially northern areas, with a chance
of showers. Moderate confidence.

Monday night-Tuesday..Conditions lower to ifr everywhere with
periods of rain associated with a frontal passage. Southeast
winds become westerly behind the front and begin gusting 25-30
knots. Moderate confidence.

Marine
Sub-sca conditions today and tonight. Southwest winds on the
ocean will generally range from 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt.

On delaware bay, SW winds will be 10 kt or less with 1-2 ft
seas today and tonight.

Outlook...

Saturday... Small craft advisory in effect for the northern half
of the new jersey coastal waters as winds expected to gust
25-30 knots. The southern new jersey and delaware coastal waters
are only expected to gust around 20-25 knots, so we have not
issued an advisory there.

Saturday night... Winds are expected to drop below advisory
levels by Saturday evening, but periodically gust around 20
knots.

Sunday-Monday... Conditions expected to remain below advisory
levels, but winds may periodically gust around 20 knots.

Monday night... Conditions expected to return to small craft
advisory levels.

Tuesday... Small craft advisory level wind continue, but may
reach gale force.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 am to 6 pm est Saturday for
anz450>452.

Synopsis... Robertson
near term... Johnson mps
short term... Mps
long term... Robertson
aviation... Robertson mps
marine... Robertson mps


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi50 min W 8 G 9.9 33°F 31°F1019.5 hPa (+0.0)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi60 min W 16 G 18 34°F 40°F2 ft1018.4 hPa (+0.4)18°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi50 min W 15 G 18 32°F 1019 hPa (+0.0)
MHRN6 29 mi50 min WSW 9.9 G 13
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 29 mi50 min 32°F 34°F1018.4 hPa (+0.0)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 32 mi50 min 31°F 35°F1019 hPa (+0.0)
44091 34 mi50 min 43°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 40 mi50 min WSW 7 G 8 34°F 32°F1019.7 hPa (+0.0)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 41 mi50 min WNW 9.9 G 13 31°F 32°F1018.9 hPa (+0.0)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 44 mi60 min WNW 18 G 21 35°F 42°F4 ft1018.4 hPa (+0.4)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 47 mi74 min W 5.1 G 5.1 33°F 32°F1019.5 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ8 mi54 minWSW 1110.00 miFair35°F15°F44%0 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ22 mi1.8 hrsW 910.00 miFair37°F17°F44%1019 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW11W17
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--W15W11W10W6W7W6W6W5W3--SW5SW4SW4SW4SW4CalmSW5SW6SW5W4W11
1 day agoNW12
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2 days agoE5SE7E6SE7E6SE4E4E3E4E5NE3N4NE4NE3N3N4N4NW5NW8NW8NW9NW9NW9NW9

Tide / Current Tables for Belmar, Atlantic Ocean, New Jersey
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Belmar
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Fri -- 02:14 AM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:26 AM EST     4.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:48 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:34 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:52 PM EST     3.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.50.10.212.23.44.24.64.53.92.91.70.7-0-0.20.31.32.43.23.73.93.62.8

Tide / Current Tables for Long Branch Reach, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
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Long Branch Reach
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:40 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:19 AM EST     2.72 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:14 PM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:45 PM EST     2.29 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.81.30.80.40.10.10.41.21.92.52.72.72.31.81.10.50.1-0.1-00.61.31.92.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.