Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:11 PM Moonrise 4:59 AM   Moonset 8:19 PM

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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 136 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Overnight - S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft. Scattered showers with isolated tstms. Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Scattered showers. Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.Thu night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Fri night - NW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming sw. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 136 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
multiple disturbances will pass through the area over the course of the week bringing showers and Thunderstorms. High pressure and drier conditions return for the upcoming weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters Wednesday through Friday.

FXUS61 KCTP 080647 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 247 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

SYNOPSIS
- Storms cross most of the area before sunrise - A dry cold front pushes through during the day.
- A strong wave of low pressure will move across southern PA Thursday evening.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
Convection and some high-end sub-severe wind gusts are moving into the wrn highlands at 0630Z. Tweaks mainly to the timing over the next few hours. Dewpoints are largely 60-63FAs the shortwave/MCV driving these storms rolls east overhead, some ltg may linger deep into the central mtns since there is still some instability, mainly aloft. CAPE is lower across the CWA than to the west, but 0-6km bulk shear is still around 50kts in the nrn half of the area for the next few hours. Many signs point to weakening, but a continuation of the current convection under the MCV. Some fog is possible if we can clear out at all before morning, which would be more-possible in the west. All the storms should be gone right around 12Z, and the rest of the day should get breezy and very warm. Gusts into the m20s N and upper teens in the S. Maxes in the 80s will be common, with u70s over the NW third. Drier air arrives later in the morning in the NW and late aftn in the SE. The front then lays out along or near our srn border.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
During the early morning hours of Thursday, a stationary front has potential to set up across southern Pennsylvania, with model guidance suggesting another (more potent) low-pressure system setting up along/just south of the PA-MD border. This will bring an increased chance of showers and afternoon/evening thunderstorms on Thursday. If the low-pressure system sets up further to the north, there is some potential for portions of southern PA to have a couple of hours in the warm sector and some severe potential (outlined in SPC's Day 3 SWO with SLGT up to the MD-PA border) but with the bulk of model guidance suggesting set-up south of the area, have mainly stuck to SChc thunderstorms in the afternoon/evening hours.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
The aforementioned low moves off the coast on Friday and will allow for relatively cool temperatures across central PA with lingering showers as the unsettled pattern continues into the weekend with the longwave trough across the region. The best chances of precipitation tapering off will be in the overnight Saturday morning period with chances increasing into the latter half of the weekend.

Upper level ridging across the western CONUS will continue the unsettled pattern into the beginning of next week, with temperatures moderating with height rises and southwesterly flow into central Pennsylvania.

AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Low pressure lifting through the Eastern Grt Lks will spread a broken line of showers/tsra through the region late tonight, lasting 2-3 hours and accompanied by possible MVFR vis reductions. An increasingly moist southwest flow ahead of an upstream cold front is then likely to yield late night IFR cigs at KBFD and possible IFR cigs at KJST. Downsloping flow east of the Alleghenies should result in nothing worse than MVFR conditions over that part of the state.

The passage of a low level jet late tonight could result in borderline LLWS conditions across the W Mtns late tonight.
However, the 18Z Bufkit soundings suggest we will remain just below criteria.

The cold front will sweep through the region later Wed morning, probably without any precipitation. A drier westerly flow behind the front will bring a return to widespread VFR conditions between 12Z-15Z.

Outlook...

Thu...Periods of rain/low cigs possible, mainly PM.

Fri...Low cigs/drizzle possible, especially in the morning.

Sat...PM showers/low cigs possible, mainly W Mtns.

Sun...AM low cigs possible W Mtns. Sct afternoon showers/brief vis reductions possible.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.

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Port Deposit
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:40 AM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:31 AM EDT     4.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:46 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:43 PM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland, Tide feet

Havre de Grace
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:28 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:27 AM EDT     3.06 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:53 PM EDT     0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:10 PM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland, Tide feet

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