Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 7:58 PM Moonrise 4:23 AM   Moonset 5:15 PM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1227 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
This afternoon - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers early, then showers late. Tonight - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Tue - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight. Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms. Wed night - W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Thu - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely. Thu night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely.
winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.

ANZ300 1227 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure along the new england coast weakens locally as it shifts farther offshore through this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front from the west. The front eventually tracks through the region late Monday, stalling to our south. High pressure then briefly returns before the stalled boundary returns as a warm front Tuesday night. A series of low pressure centers then impact the weather from Wednesday through Saturday.

FXUS61 KPHI 051744 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 144 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
An east to southeasterly flow off the Atlantic ocean will result in cloudy weather through Monday morning with areas of light rain and drizzle. A cold front will work its way through the region late Monday and Monday night. This boundary will become stationary over the area through the mid- week period. A series of disturbances will track along this boundary through the middle of the week. A stronger area of low pressure moves through the region on Thursday, followed by a cold front on Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
Weak warm advection overruning a very moist and cool marine layer will keep low clouds and light rain or drizzle for most locations through Monday morning. As a shortwave moves over the region this afternoon, showers along and west of the Delaware Valley will spread eastward into coastal areas.

The bulk of the rain moves out early this evening, but another weak trough approaching tonight will reinforce lift and generate additional scattered showers. Some of the model soundings show some elevated instability, so can't rule out some lightning strikes late tonight, mainly within Delmarva and the southern half of New Jersey. Some patchy fog is possible with a moist boundary layer, greatest chance mainly north and west of the Philadelphia metro. It will be a mild night, with lows in the mid to upper 50s/low 60s.

Winds become southerly Monday morning ahead of a cold front that will usher an increasingly humid airmass into the region with surface dewpoints rising into the 60s. Any fog in the morning will lift and dissipate by midday. The cold front passes through the region Monday afternoon and Monday evening. Some shortwave energy passing through the region will help kick off widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the southern portions of the forecast area.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The front becomes stationary south of the region Monday night through Tuesday night. High pressure builds north of the region, and an onshore flow develops, bringing somewhat cooler and drier air down into the region. Another disturbance approaches from the west late Tuesday and Tuesday night, touching off another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms over the region.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A prolonged period of unsettled weather on tap for the latter part of the new week. A series of frontal boundaries and weak low pressure systems will pass through the region during this time. The first system is an area of low pressure that will pass north of New Jersey Wednesday morning, and this will drag a cold front through the region late in the day and at night. Some rain is possible in the morning, and then another round of showers and mostly isolated thunderstorms will affect the area Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening.

The next area of low pressure will organize and develop over the Midwest, and a warm front will develop out ahead of this system and lift towards the local area late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning. This will touch off some more showers and isolated thunderstorms during this time. A secondary low will form over the Mid-Atlantic ahead of the primary low, and this low works its way across the region Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. More widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms will affect the area during this time.

The primary low passes north of the region on Friday with yet another round of showers as a cold front passes through the region.

Temperatures during the period will start out warm with highs in the 80s on Wednesday,and then temperatures will trend closer to normal on Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today...Ceilings at or below 1Kft this afternoon with ceilings 3-4Kft across southern Delaware and southeastern New Jersey. Highest concentration of showers should move through the Lehigh Valley and Delaware Valley.

Tonight...Low clouds and areas of fog. South to southeast wind around 5 kt.

Monday...Cloud deck at or below 1Kft in the morning with areas of fog. Ceilings rise to 1-2Kft by midday. winds become southwesterly around 10 knots.

Outlook...

Monday night through Friday...No significant weather expected Monday through Thursday morning. Widespread showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon.

MARINE
No marine headlines expected through Monday as seas will be 2 to 4 feet with winds from the east to southeast at 10 to 20 kt.
Periods of showers expected, with a 15-20% chance of thunderstorms early Monday morning.

Outlook...

Monday night through Friday...A prolonged period of sub-SCA conditions. VSBY restrictions in fog throughout the week, especially at night. Best chances for widespread showers on Thursday afternoon.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Old Bridge
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Sun -- 01:07 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     6.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 01:21 PM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:15 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:24 PM EDT     7.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
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Old Bridge, South River, New Jersey, Tide feet

Cheesequake Creek
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Sun -- 12:20 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:23 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:16 AM EDT     5.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:34 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:47 PM EDT     6.40 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cheesequake Creek, Garden State Parkway, New Jersey, Tide feet

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