Saturday, March25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sunbury, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 7:51PM Saturday March 25, 2017 7:34 AM EDT (11:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:07AMMoonset 4:16PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 346 Am Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through Sunday morning...
Today..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers. An isolated Thunderstorms is possible. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet late.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots becoming east. A chance of rain showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..South winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 37 degrees and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201703251430;;044308 FZUS51 KCLE 250746 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 346 AM EDT SAT MAR 25 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ143>149-251430-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunbury, OH
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location: 40.3, -82.89     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 251048
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
648 am edt Sat mar 25 2017

Synopsis
A southerly flow ahead of low pressure will provide warm
temperatures and mainly dry weather today. Showers and a few
thunderstorms will develop tonight through Sunday when the low is
forecast to travel to the western great lakes. Weak high pressure
Sunday night into Monday will be followed by low pressure and more
showers late Monday into Tuesday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
A vertically stacked low pressure system will move slowly to
missouri today. Moisture will increase gradually in the
southerly flow ahead of the low, producing mainly mid and high
clouds. However, a few showers and thunderstorms may develop
primarily over western counties this afternoon in a modestly
unstable regime containing under 200 j/kg cape. Have backed off
pops from previous forecasts due to slower progression of the
system.

High temperatures in the low to mid 70s will be close to 20
degrees above normal.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm Sunday/
Low pressure system will be lifting from missouri to chicago
tonight through Sunday. Even though the system will be weakening
as it moves into a broad upper ridge, a large swath of moisture
and lift ahead of the low will impact the iln area. Showers will
become widespread tonight through Sunday, and thunderstorms
will also be possible. Severe weather threat appears to be
limited by marginal CAPE of around 500 j/kg.

High temperatures will be reduced by clouds and precip, with
highs in the 60s expected.

Long term /Sunday night through Friday/
An active weather pattern for the upcoming week. Initial upper level
and surface low to lift northeast across the great lakes Sunday
night. Precipitation to come to a temporary end Sunday night into
Monday, as ridging builds in ahead of next upper level trof.

Monday starts out dry early with pcpn overspreading the region, as
next shortwave and surface low tracks northeast from the southern
plains into the great lakes Monday night. In the warm moist
environment temperatures on Monday to rise to highs from the upper
60s north to the lower 70s south.

As this system pushes off to the east the pcpn to end Tuesday, as
surface high begins to builds into the great lakes. Temperatures
will remain above normal, with Tuesday's highs ranging from the
lower 60s north to the upper 60s south.

Surface high to slide east across the great lakes Wednesday. This
will provide dry weather with temperatures closer to normal. Highs
on Wednesday to range from the upper 50s northwest to the mid 60s
southeast.

Model solutions diverge on handling late week weather system. Gfs
showing an open wave in split flow pattern, while the more
consistent ECMWF and canadian solutions show a closed low. Will
trend the forecast toward the ecmwf/canadian. Will bring chance pops
in Thursday and increase these pops to likely Thursday night into
Friday, as the upper low and associated surface low lift northeast
from the mid ms vly into the great lakes. As instby increases will
include a chance of thunder Friday afternoon into Friday evening.

Highs Thursday and Friday generally 60 to 65.

Precipitation is expected to end early Saturday as weak high pressure
builds into the region.

Aviation /12z Saturday through Wednesday/
Vfr will continue through much of the forecast period. Moisture
will increase on a southerly flow ahead of low pressure
centered far to the west. This will produce mid and high clouds
through today.

As the low moves closer, showers will enter the picture
starting around 23z at cvg, with precip then pushing northeast
across the rest of TAF sites. Ceilings and visibilities will
eventually lower by the end of the forecast as the boundary
layer approaches saturation. Cvg and luk may see MVFR by the end
of the period.

South winds are expected to gust around 20 knots this afternoon at
day and iln. Rest of sites should see about 10 knots sustained.

Winds will back to southeast as the low center lifts toward the
western great lakes.

Outlook... MVFR ceilings and visibilities will be possible late
Monday into Tuesday morning.

Iln watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Coniglio
near term... Coniglio
short term... Coniglio
long term... Ar
aviation... Coniglio


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 77 mi110 min Calm 1019 hPa
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 86 mi47 min SE 1.9 G 5.1 40°F 40°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Last
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S9
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G6
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G14
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N18
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G20
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G22
NE14
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N11
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NE7
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G9
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G11
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G8
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G9
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SE3
G6

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH17 mi42 minS 510.00 miFair59°F51°F75%1019.4 hPa
Knox County Airfield, OH19 mi56 minSSW 510.00 miFair59°F51°F77%1020.7 hPa
Columbus - John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH20 mi44 minS 610.00 miOvercast61°F50°F67%1019.5 hPa
Marion, Marion Municipal Airport, OH24 mi42 minS 710.00 miFair57°F50°F78%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S11S13SW13
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G24
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S14SW14
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S7S7S6S5SW7S7S7SW5S6S6S7S5
1 day agoE6E6E7E10SE10SE10
G15
S11S7SE11
G15
SE6SE10S10S6SE4SE5SE4S7S7S8S9S6S6S8S8
2 days agoN14N13N13N10NE11N8
G16
N5
G14
NE10NE7NE8N12N11N12N9N8N6NE5NE7E6E6E5E6E4E8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.