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LEZ144 Expires:202405191415;;467966 Fzus51 Kcle 190751 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 351 am edt Sun may 19 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez142>144-191415- maumee bay to reno beach oh-reno beach to the islands oh- the islands to vermilion oh- 351 am edt Sun may 19 2024
Today - Light and variable winds becoming east 5 to 10 knots. Patchy fog early. Waves 1 foot or less. Tonight - East winds 10 knots or less. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 65 degrees, off cleveland 56 degrees, and off erie 52 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KILN 191834 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 234 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
Much above normal temperatures and mainly dry conditions are expected through Monday, with a chance of showers and storms returning as early as Tuesday. The next widespread chance for showers and storms is likely Wednesday and Wednesday night, with slightly cooler and drier conditions for the second half of the workweek.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Narrow mid level ridge to build into the area today. Patchy river valley fog has improved leaving abundant sunshine. Expect only a few cumulus clouds and some thin high level clouds spilling in from the northwest. Mid level ridge and lack of forcing will inhibit convective development across most of the area today. Moderate instability axis develops into northwest Ohio around the periphery of the mid level ridge ahead of a surface front. An isold shower could slip into west central Ohio prior to dissipating late in the day into early evening.

With abundant sunshine temperatures will warm into the mid and upper 80s. These readings are 10 to 12 degrees above normal.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Mostly quiet conditions continue into the short term period as midlevel ridging briefly noses NE into the OH Vly tonight into early Monday. A S/W moving across the far nrn OH Vly late Monday afternoon/evening may provide /just/ enough forcing to initiate some SHRA/TSRA across nrn stretches of the region. But there are uncertainties in regards to how widespread, or how far south, this activity will extend. Once again, do think that most spots locally remain dry, but suppose that a stray late- day storm couldn't be ruled out, especially during the evening N of I-70 where the best LL moisture (and instby) should become established. Further to the S, meager instby should keep locales near/S of the OH Rvr dry through the period.

Lows tonight dip into the lower 60s (with some upper 50s expected in rural/valley/sheltered locales), with temps rebounding once again Monday afternoon into the mid to upper 80s area-wide. Temps through the next 3 days will generally be about 10 degrees above seasonal norms across the board.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Above normal temperatures will be present to start the extended period and will persist in the southerly flow ahead of a cold front through Wednesday. Latest guidance continues to delay frontal passage until Wednesday night. With warm, humid conditions and adequate upper level wind flow, some severe storm threat will exist Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday night.

Cooler weather arrives behind the front Thursday into Friday.
Uncertainty increases with the next frontal system shifting east into the Upper Midwest over the weekend. Chance PoPs seems reasonable as flow becomes southerly again and low level moisture returns north into the Ohio Valley.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Scattered fair weather shallow cumulus clouds have developed under the influence of mid level ridging.

These clouds should linger into early evening, especially near KDAY, as a weak front boundary and a few showers approach west central Ohio. The isold showers are expected to remain north of the TAF sites. Some valley fog will be possible overnight with MVFR conditions forecast at KLUK.

VFR conditions for Monday with only few to scattered cumulus clouds and some thin high level clouds.

Light northerly winds will become light and variable overnight and then south at less than 10 kts Monday.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms likely Wednesday into Wednesday night.
MVFR/IFR ceilings possible Thursday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

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