Monday, November19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Delaware, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 5:13PM Monday November 19, 2018 11:14 AM EST (16:14 UTC) Moonrise 3:37PMMoonset 3:14AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 918 Am Est Mon Nov 19 2018
Rest of today..Light and variable winds. A slight chance of rain late this morning, then a chance of rain this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain in the evening, then a chance of snow overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 40 degrees, off cleveland 46 degrees and off erie 44 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201811192130;;540936 FZUS51 KCLE 191418 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 918 AM EST Mon Nov 19 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ144>149-192130-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delaware, OH
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location: 40.3, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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Fxus61 kiln 191458
afdiln
area forecast discussion
national weather service wilmington oh
958 am est Mon nov 19 2018

Synopsis
A chance for precipitation will continue across the area into
this afternoon as a low pressure system moves through the ohio
valley. High pressure will build into the region through mid to
late week, leading to dry conditions and a warming trend
Wednesday through Friday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Weak sfc low between sdf cvg will push northeast along the ohio
river today. As this occurs the backedge of the precipitation
will work west to east across the fa. Based on radar and
observations it looks like the worst of the accumulating snow
is over. Communities on the northern edge of the pcpn shield
could still see some snow fall, but additional accumulations
should be very light. As the diurnal cycle advances, critical
thicknesses warm and pcpn should change to all rain.

Highs look like they will range from the upper 30s in the north
to the mid to upper 40s in the far southeast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
The precipitation should generally be east of the area this
evening. Mid level short wave energy will drop down across the
southern great lakes later tonight into the day on Tuesday and
will be accompanied by a weak surface trough. This may be enough
to produce a few showers later tonight and into the day on
Tuesday, with the best chance for this being across northeast
portions of our area. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 30s
with highs on Tuesday in the mid to upper 30s.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Elongated surface high pressure centered over the western tennessee
valley will provide dry conditions Tuesday night, even as an upper
level disturbance and corresponding cold front track through the
interior northeast u.S. During the day on Wednesday. This weak front
will make a quick and rather unremarkable progression through the
iln fa during the day on Wednesday, with not much in the way of
either pcpn or even a sudden temperature swing to go along with it.

Highs in the lower to upper 40s from north to south, respectively,
are expected Wednesday, with slightly cooler temperatures building
in Wednesday night as compared to Tuesday night -- particularly for
locations north of i-70 and east of i-71.

The pattern is still on track to deliver us a rather quiet and
tranquil thanksgiving day from a weather perspective as high
pressure builds into the interior northeast u.S. During the day
Thursday. Although this will allow surface flow to go more easterly
and eventually southerly by late in the day, near to slightly below
normal temperatures are expected -- with highs ranging from around
40 degrees in central ohio to the upper 40s in northern kentucky
and parts of the tri-state area. However, all signs point to partly
to mostly cloudy skies -- so it does appear for now that sunshine
will make a return to the area for thanksgiving.

The aforementioned southerly surface flow will become a bit more
established amplified by Thursday night and especially into the day
on Friday as the ohio valley will be temporarily positioned between
low pressure to the west and high pressure to the east.

Mid high level clouds will be on the increase from the west early in
the day on Friday with the approach of a system which will begin to
impact the area as early as Friday evening. Model guidance remains
in fairly good agreement in regards to the timing of the next system
moving through the region Friday night through early Saturday,
although there remains quite a bit of variability disagreement
in the amplitude and track of both the surface and upper level
features. In fact, beyond Friday night, the evolution of a
digging trough in the middle part of the country -- and
potential implications here in the ohio valley -- remains a bit
muddled at this point.

With still many fcst cycles between now and the next weekend, there
will be plenty of time to hammer out specific details in regards to
the sensible weather in the iln fa. However, all data right now
continues to point to the potential for a somewhat active period of
weather in the region from late Friday through early next week --
with multiple systems to contend with. All of this being said,
confidence remains fairly high that widespread light to moderate
rain will move through Friday night, with less confidence in the
evolution past Saturday morning through the remainder of the long
term period.

Near to slightly above normal temperatures are anticipated for late
week into next weekend.

Aviation 15z Monday through Friday
Precipitation has overspread the area this morning along with
fairly widespread ifr CIGS and vsbys. The precipitation is
falling as mainly snow north of i-70 and this will continue through
the mid morning hours, before transitioning over to more of a
rain snow mix. The northern TAF sites will remain on the edge of
this, but it does look like the precipitation should remain
mainly all rain for kday kcmh klck. The precipitation will
begin to taper off from the west heading into this afternoon as
a surface low moves off to our east. However, ifr CIGS and
vsbys will persist through the afternoon and possibly into this
evening before eventually lifting into MVFR later tonight.

Outlook... MVFR CIGS likely into Tuesday.

Iln watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Ky... None.

In... None.

Synopsis... Jgl
near term... Sites
short term... Jgl
long term... Kc
aviation... Jgl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 80 mi90 min Calm 36°F 1019 hPa35°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 81 mi75 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 38°F 1017.3 hPa (-1.0)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 88 mi45 min N 4.1 G 5.1 37°F 41°F1019.4 hPa33°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Columbus, Ohio State University Airport, OH15 mi22 minE 43.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist38°F37°F97%1017.7 hPa
Marysville Union County Airport, OH16 mi20 minNE 32.50 miOvercast33°F32°F98%1017.6 hPa
John Glenn Columbus International Airport, OH22 mi24 minE 43.00 miRain Fog/Mist40°F37°F93%1017.7 hPa
Marion, Marion Municipal Airport, OH22 mi22 minno data2.50 miFog/Mist34°F32°F92%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from OSU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmN9N7N8N6N5N7N4N5N5N5N6N5N5N5N4NE5NE4NE4NE4E4E4
1 day agoSW7SW6SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N4N4NE3E3CalmE4CalmSE4E4SE5CalmE4E5SE7Calm
2 days agoSW14SW11SW11SW10SW10W12
G20
W9W5SW4SW4SW5SW4SW4W4SW5W4W4W3W3CalmS3SW3SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wilmington, OH (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wilmington, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.