Tuesday, May22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cliffwood Beach, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:15PM Tuesday May 22, 2018 11:41 PM EDT (03:41 UTC) Moonrise 1:04PMMoonset 2:01AM Illumination 58% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1139 Pm Edt Tue May 22 2018
Overnight..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming sw late. Waves 1 ft or less. Isolated showers late this evening, then scattered showers with isolated tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Scattered showers in the morning. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..E winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1139 Pm Edt Tue May 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front will approach overnight ahead of a weak cold front that moves across early Wednesday morning. High pressure will return thereafter and remain through Saturday. Another frontal system will impact the area early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cliffwood Beach, NJ
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location: 40.43, -74.22     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 230217
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1017 pm edt Tue may 22 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will approach tonight ahead of a weak cold front
that moves across early Wednesday morning. High pressure will
return thereafter and remain through Saturday. Another frontal
system will impact the area early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
A lull in the showers is expected for the next several hours. A
warm front will largely remain just south of long island
tonight, but could wiggle into portions of a region as a weak cold
front approaches.

Showers and a few thunderstorms are currently along the weak
front across upstate ny and central pa. This activity should
make its way into western portions of the area just after
midnight and slowly weaken as it moves across the rest of the
region overnight.

Have lowered pops through midnight as there should not be
anything more than isolated light showers. Pops then increase
back to chance as the cold front moves across the area. Isolated
thunder still a possibility as models prog a few hundred j kg of
mucape.

The light pressure gradient overnight and saturated low levels
should promote development of patchy fog. Low temps tonight will
range from 55 to 60 degrees.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
A drying NW flow should develop on wed, with skies becoming
mostly sunny. Expect a warm day, with downslope flow and deeper
mixing than model forecasts yielding high temps above mos, with
lower mid 80s. Temps Wed night under clear skies may drop to
near 50 well inland with lighter winds and better radiational
cooling there, but remaining in the lower 60s in and around nyc.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
The center of high pressure passes through the region on Thursday
with plenty of sunshine and high temperatures above normal. The dry
weather continues on Friday with the high offshore. It'll be a
warmer and more humid day for most with SW winds. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s for most spots.

The weather pattern is still somewhat unclear for the upcoming
holiday weekend. Models at least seem to agree that at some point a
cold front drops down from the north and eventually sinks south of
the tri-state area. Differences in the timing of the frontal passage
still exist among the models and ensembles. For Saturday, prefer
slower timing of the cold front approach given that all global
models show a 500mb ridge over the region. This in turn would allow
for temps to rise to around 90 for parts of the city and NE nj as
well as perhaps a few spots in the lower hudson valley. 80s expected
elsewhere away from the immediate coast. Will go with only a slight
chance of tstms north and west of the city during the afternoon.

The cold front then moves into the area at some point Sunday night
and perhaps remains nearby through the day before sinking farther to
our south during Monday. Will go with chc pops Sunday through Monday
with clouds outweighing sunshine. Sunday's highs might need to be
lowered further than the current forecast, especially if models
don't trend towards a slower frontal passage. Have somewhat higher
confidence in Monday's highs, which will be below normal with an
easterly flow.

A wave of low pressure forms along the front to our south, but
models indicate that the low shifts to the east during Tuesday with
minimal impact over us. There still could be a cold front moving
through, so will go with slight chc pops for the time being.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
A warm front lifts into the region this evening, and is followed
by a cold front late tonight into early Wednesday.

Mainly ifr ceilings observed, and still expect visibilities to
lower some. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms move across
the area from around midnight west to 9-10z east. Thunderstorm
probabilities are too low for inclusion in forecast.

Ceiling and visibility improvement is expected 12-14z Wednesday
morning, with mainly clear skies expected during the afternoon
hours.

Light winds shift to the SW and W overnight, but remain under 5
kt. After the cold front, winds turn to the NW and increase
Wednesday morning.

Outlook for 00z Thursday through Sunday
Wednesday night-Thursday Vfr.

Friday Vfr. SW winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt through
early evening.

Saturday MainlyVFR. Isolated thunderstorms possible N and W of
the metro terminals starting in the afternoon with possible MVFR.

Sunday MVFR or lower at times with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. OtherwiseVFR.

Marine
A warm front over the waters may bring some fog overnight, but
should stay above 1 nm. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient over
the waters through Thursday will promote tranquil conditions.

There is a low chance for SCA conditions for Friday into
Saturday, with gusts close to 25 kt and ocean seas close to 5
ft.

Hydrology
A heavy downpour is possible tonight with any showers that
develop, but no hydrologic impacts are anticipated.

No significant hydrologic impacts expected through the week.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Goodman
near term... Goodman ds
short term... Goodman
long term... Jc
aviation... Pw
marine... Jc goodman
hydrology... Jc goodman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 11 mi42 min E 1.9 G 1.9 57°F 60°F1016.2 hPa (-0.9)
MHRN6 15 mi42 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 15 mi42 min 58°F 61°F1015.2 hPa (-0.7)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi42 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 58°F 1015.7 hPa (-0.9)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 22 mi42 min 58°F 59°F1015.9 hPa (-0.7)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 28 mi32 min ENE 3.9 G 3.9 56°F 56°F1015.2 hPa55°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 35 mi42 min Calm G 1.9 61°F 62°F1015.6 hPa (-0.5)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 36 mi42 min Calm G 1.9 56°F 56°F1016.2 hPa (-0.8)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 42 mi66 min 61°F 62°F1015.3 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ18 mi46 minE 310.00 miOvercast58°F57°F97%1016 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ20 mi51 minN 07.00 miOvercast58°F57°F97%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW4SW3SW3CalmE5SE4SE5S4SE3SE9SE9S10
G15
S7SE5CalmE6E5E4E6E4E3NE3E3
1 day agoN5N5NW4NW4W3NW3NW4NW5N4NE5N8N74
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2 days agoSE3S4SW8SW8S9SW8SW9SW10SW13
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Tide / Current Tables for Matawan Creek, Route 35 bridge, New Jersey
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Matawan Creek
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Tue -- 02:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:12 AM EDT     5.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:03 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:00 PM EDT     5.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:25 PM EDT     0.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.25.15.65.44.53.32.21.30.50.10.51.42.73.94.95.354.132.11.30.70.81.6

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:37 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:31 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:48 AM EDT     1.63 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:57 PM EDT     -1.37 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.40.90.4-0.3-1-1.4-1.4-1-0.8-0.40.51.41.61.41.10.4-0.4-1.1-1.4-1.2-1-0.701.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.