Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Atlantic Highlands, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:31PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 3:07 PM EDT (19:07 UTC) Moonrise 1:08PMMoonset 1:11AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1225 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers likely in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Patchy fog. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning. Vsby less than 1 nm in the morning.
Sun night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1225 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure retreats to the east, as an area of low pressure riding along a stalled frontal boundary tracks from the ohio river valley today to near the mid-atlantic coast by Thursday morning. This low exits to the east on Thursday as a separate cold front pushes to our south, followed by weak high pressure building over the region into Friday. A frontal system will slowly approach the area on Friday, as the high retreats to the northeast, and then impacts the region over the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Atlantic Highlands , NJ
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location: 40.48, -74.01     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 201838
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
238 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
High pressure retreats to the east, as an area of low pressure
riding along a stalled frontal boundary tracks from the ohio
river valley today to near the mid-atlantic coast by Thursday
morning. This low exits to the east on Thursday as a separate cold
front pushes to our south, followed by weak high pressure
building over the region into Friday. A frontal system will
slowly approach the area on Friday, as the high retreats to the
northeast, and then impacts the region over the weekend. High
pressure will build in behind the system into next Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Forecast on track with just some minor adjustments to reflect
latest observations. Clouds increase late this afternoon as a
northern stream shortwave approaches from the west. There could
be some stray showers by late afternoon as the shortwave
approaches, mainly across far western zones.

Highs today should be near normal, mainly from the mid 70s to
around 80 across the region.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
A northern stream trough builds into the area tonight, this
coupled with some low level instability (focused mainly over the
southern 1 2 of the cwa) should bring some showers to the
region tonight, and possibly a rumble of thunder as well (mainly
to the southern 1 2 of the cwa). Precipitable waters increase
to from 1.75 to around 2 inches (with values around 2 inches
focused over the southern 1 2 of the cwa), so locally heavy
rainfall is possible, especially in association with any
stronger convection overnight. Refer to the hydrology section
of the afd for details on expected rainfall amounts and any
impacts.

There is some uncertainty on the timing of the showers tonight,
but for now a consensus timing would be for the most numerous
showers and best chance for any locally heavy rainfall to occur
from around 9pm- 5am.

The timing for the end of the rainfall has slowed, with showers
now expected to linger into Thursday morning. The showers
likely should come to an end by mid-late morning, as the axis
of the northern stream trough exits to the east, allowing for a
drying NW flow to set up over the region by afternoon.

Lows tonight and highs on Thursday should be near to slightly
above normal.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
The models are in good agreement with the general pattern in the
long term, although some timing and placement issues remain. An
approximately 1020 hi will be set up from the maritimes swwd to cntrl
new england fri. At the same time, SW flow aloft develops as an h5
low spins over the midwest. This will result in increasing thetae
and chcs for shwrs and tstms Fri and particularly Fri ngt. The upr
support arrives Sat and Sat ngt. The GFS is a bit faster than the
ecmwf. Likely pops have been included during the day on Sat based on
a blend of all of the model data. As the upr trof arrives on Sun and
mon, there will be additional chances for pcpn. These appear to be a
bit more diurnally focused, with daytime heating providing the added
instability boost needed. High pres then builds in on Tue and dries
out the area. The nbm was used for temps thru the period.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Low pressure approaches from the ohio valley tonight and then
passes near or just south of the terminals Thursday morning.

Vfr this afternoon evening, then MVFR ifr late tonight in
moderate to occasionally heavy rain.VFR conditions return
Thursday morning in the 10 to 13z timeframe.

S winds 5 to 10 kt back around to the NE Thursday morning as the
low passes to the south and east.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 1 mi50 min ESE 8.9 G 11 70°F 72°F1011.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 13 mi50 min S 13 G 14 70°F 1010.8 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 13 mi50 min 81°F 70°F1010.1 hPa
MHRN6 14 mi50 min S 2.9 G 6
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 15 mi50 min 73°F 67°F1011 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 18 mi38 min SSE 3.9 G 3.9 69°F 68°F1010.4 hPa64°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 26 mi50 min WNW 1 G 4.1 74°F 65°F1011.2 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 40 mi48 min ENE 7.8 G 9.7 69°F 58°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 46 mi50 min W 5.1 G 7 84°F 79°F1009.8 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 48 mi78 min SSW 9.7 G 12 69°F 68°F2 ft1010.8 hPa (-1.5)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY17 mi77 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F57°F52%1011 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ18 mi77 minVar 410.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F55°F42%1010 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY21 mi77 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds81°F53°F38%1010.1 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ22 mi72 minSE 8 G 1610.00 miFair79°F63°F58%1011 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi77 minSSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F46°F28%1010 hPa

Wind History from JFK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11
G19
N12
G16
N10S10S9S4CalmCalmE3E3NE7NE4N4NE5NE3N6NE7NE8E6E4SE7SE8SE7S6
1 day agoS18S19
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S17S17S14SW13SW10SW8SW11W10W11W7W10W9W8NW10NW13
G18
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2 days agoS11S9S10S12S11S11S13S9S11S8SW5SW6SW6SW6SW6S6S9S9S7S11S11S11S16S17

Tide / Current Tables for Sandy Hook, New Jersey
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Sandy Hook
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:55 AM EDT     5.22 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:30 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:41 PM EDT     5.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:58 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.14.95.24.83.82.61.60.70.10.10.71.83.14.255.14.63.62.51.60.90.611.8

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:54 AM EDT     1.83 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:55 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 07:18 AM EDT     -2.16 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:59 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:35 PM EDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:34 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     -1.93 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:25 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.81.61-0.1-1.1-1.7-2.1-2-1.6-101.21.71.81.40.6-0.4-1.2-1.7-1.9-1.7-1.2-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.