Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Union Beach, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 5:07PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:41 AM EST (11:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:21PMMoonset 12:39AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 553 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Today..NW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain after midnight.
Sun..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely.
Sun night..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 553 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure over northern new england continues lifting into the canadian maritimes through today. High pressure builds in for the rest of the week. The high passes east and gives way to a cold front late this weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Union Beach , NJ
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location: 40.49, -74.17     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241136
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
636 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure continues lifting into the canadian maritimes today
with high pressure building in for the rest of the week. The
high gives way to a cold front late this weekend into early
next week. High pressure builds back in behind the front.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Low pressure moving into the canadian maritimes today will send
a secondary cold front through the region this morning. Winds
behind the front veer to the NW which will usher in a much
colder and drier airmass. Temperatures may only rise a few
degrees from morning lows due to cold advection taking place
through the day.

Stratocu has made eastward progress, across much of the area,
and sky grids updated accordingly. However, downslope flow
should help to erode some of the cloud cover or at least keep it
scattered as the day progresses. After this morning cloudiness,
mostly sunny conditions are likely to prevail this afternoon as
the low levels continue to dry out.

Temperatures a few degrees above normal in the upper 30s and lower
40s are forecast. High temperatures for the calendar day of january
24 occurred earlier this morning.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Mean upper troughing continues over the eastern states into tonight
into Thursday morning with another shortwave rounding the base of
the trough. There may be a slight increase in middle level clouds
with this shortwave, but otherwise conditions will continue dry. The
axis of the shortwave moves east of the area by Thursday afternoon
with heights beginning to rise late Thursday as upper ridge
approaches.

High pressure will continue building into the area at the surface
through Thursday. There will be enough of a pressure gradient
tonight to prevent temperatures from completely bottoming out. Lows
will range from the teens inland to the lower 20s closer to the
coast.

Seasonable high temperatures in the lower to middle 30s are likely
on Thursday. There will still be some cold advection and a pressure
gradient for NW wind gusts to around 20 mph. These should start to
subside in the late afternoon as the high begins to settle over the
area.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Overall model agreement noted, with improved consensus in general
pattern when compared to previous runs.

Initially, trough passes east Thursday night into Friday, with ridge
building. Ridge axis moves to the east Saturday in this progressive
pattern, with upstream trough and associated shortwaves approaching
from the west for the remainder of the weekend.

Jet energy dives southward on the backside of the trough, with
amplification noted by early next week. There are some differences
in positioning of this trough as it amplifies across the great lakes
region northeast.

By Tuesday, the trough moves east, with ridge building quickly
behind.

At the surface, high pressure builds Thursday night and moves across
the area Friday. Return flow behind the departing high sets up
Friday night and Saturday. A cold front approaches Saturday night,
and likely passes sometime Sunday with a wave of low pressure
developing along the front. Timing and position remains uncertain,
but rain looks likely during this time frame as moisture increases,
along with lift ahead of the trough, and front.

The front tracks to the east Sunday night and Monday. With the
approach of the upper trough in combination with lingering sfc
trough, could trigger some snow showers, or rain snow showers during
the daytime. Again, timing and positional differences make this
scenario somewhat uncertain. Dry weather returns Tuesday.

A chilly night is expected Thursday night as radiational cooling
likely occurs with the diminishing winds and clear skies. Lows could
range from around 10 in the normally colder locations, to the mid
20s in nyc. Temps rebound to near normal Friday after the chilly
start to the day. Then, WAA will allow temperatures to rebound above
normal, in the 40s to near 50 Saturday.

Another mild day ahead of the front is expected Sunday, 40s and 50s.

Plain rain. Then colder air begins to move back in behind the front,
with a slow downward trend in temps expected Monday and Tuesday.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
A cold front approaches from the northwest early this morning.

Canadian high pressure then builds in through the TAF period.

Vfr through the TAF period.

W-sw winds this morning around 10-15 kt with gusts 20-25 kt,
mainly at city terminals. Winds turn more NW after 22z with
gusts subsiding. Winds should remain left of 310 during the day,
however it is possible that they veer to 310 before turning
right of 310 after 00z.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 9 mi42 min W 9.9 G 12 40°F 36°F1011.3 hPa (+2.2)
MHRN6 10 mi42 min W 16 G 23
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 10 mi42 min 42°F 37°F1010.3 hPa (+2.0)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 13 mi42 min W 19 G 23 42°F 1010.5 hPa (+1.9)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 17 mi42 min 41°F 37°F1010.7 hPa (+1.9)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi52 min W 18 G 21 42°F 39°F4 ft1009.6 hPa (+1.5)34°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 31 mi42 min NW 12 G 13 41°F 35°F1010.4 hPa (+1.9)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 39 mi42 min NW 8.9 G 14 43°F 34°F1012.2 hPa (+2.1)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 47 mi66 min WNW 14 G 24 44°F 34°F1011.3 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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W6
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ15 mi51 minWSW 1110.00 miOvercast43°F28°F58%1010 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ22 mi46 minWSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds39°F30°F70%1012 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY23 mi51 minVar 410.00 miOvercast42°F28°F60%1009.4 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY24 mi51 minW 14 G 2310.00 miOvercast42°F30°F65%1010 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE4SE3S16
G22
S9S14
G19
NW10NW3SW10W11W18
G27
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G21
W11W17
G22
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G24
W15W11
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G18
SW9SW8SW7SW8SW11W11
1 day agoN6N6NE6NE5NE63NE4NE7NE73NE5N8N10N8NE9N6N7NE6NE4NE4N4NE5NE6NE5
2 days agoSW3SW4SW4W4NW8W6W8NW4SW7SW5SW10W5S5S3CalmCalmS3CalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmNE5

Tide / Current Tables for Princes Bay, New Jersey
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Princes Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:22 AM EST     4.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:48 AM EST     0.58 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:44 PM EST     4.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:05 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 07:07 PM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.54.53.92.91.91.10.70.60.91.72.73.74.34.443.11.90.90.30.10.312.23.4

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:30 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:48 AM EST     -1.52 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:44 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:04 AM EST     1.69 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:21 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:56 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:07 PM EST     -1.63 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:04 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:20 PM EST     First Quarter
Wed -- 07:15 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:32 PM EST     1.88 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.3-0.3-0.9-1.4-1.5-1.1-0.40.10.51.21.71.30.6-0-0.7-1.3-1.6-1.4-0.8-0.10.311.71.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.