Madaket, MA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Madaket, MA

May 6, 2024 8:15 AM EDT (12:15 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:33 AM   Sunset 7:50 PM
Moonrise 4:33 AM   Moonset 6:17 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ273 Expires:202404142115;;505245 Fzus71 Kbox 142040 Mwsbox
marine weather statement national weather service boston/norton ma 440 pm edt Sun apr 14 2024
anz235-237-256-273-142115- 440 pm edt Sun apr 14 2024

.a strong Thunderstorm over the waters - .
the areas affected include - . Block island sound - . Coastal waters from Montauk ny to marthas vineyard extending out to 20 nm south of block island - . Ocean waters from Montauk ny to marthas vineyard from 25 to 40 nm offshore - . Rhode island sound - .
at 440 pm edt, doppler radar indicated a strong Thunderstorm, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots. This Thunderstorm was located 9 nm east of block island, moving southeast at 60 knots.
locations impacted include - . The coastal waters southeast of block island and buoy 44097 southeast of block island.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
expect gusty winds to around 30 knots - .briefly rough seas and lightning strikes. Consider heading for safe harbor until this storm passes.
frequent lightning is occurring with this storm. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible and keep away from ungrounded metal objects.
&&
lat - .lon 4113 7162 4115 7160 4115 7155 4119 7157 4132 7145 4110 7068 4105 7066 4072 7097

ANZ200 703 Am Edt Mon May 6 2024

Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - A weak cold front moves across new england Monday, then offshore Monday night. Weak high pressure then builds over the region Tuesday. Weak broad area of low pressure then moves across new england Wednesday. Another low, potentially stronger, tracks over or just south of the ma/ri waters later Thu into Fri. This low exits into the maritimes Saturday, followed by weak high pressure over new england Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Madaket, MA
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Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 061101 AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 701 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

SYNOPSIS
Partial sunshine develops Monday with much warmer temperatures. A brief band of scattered showers is expected Monday afternoon/ evening...but the majority of the time will feature dry weather.
Tuesday will be the pick of the week with abundant sunshine and above normal temperatures. Then an unsettled weather pattern develops Wednesday and beyond, with cooler than normal temperatures and the risk of showers at times. However, there will also be periods of dry weather. The weekend may feature a drying trend, with shower potential not as widespread and limited to the afternoon/evening hours.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

7 AM update...

Back edge of rain shield at 645 AM is across RI and southeast MA, continuing to advance east and should be offshore by 8 AM.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows dry slot aloft moving across the area and visible satellite already showing breaks in the overcast across northern MA. These breaks will allow strong/high May sun angle to continue to erode and mix out low level moisture, while also mixing downward dry air aloft to the surface. Also, westerly flow aloft will also mix down to the surface and help the drying out process. Therefore, expecting partial sunshine to combine with warm airmass aloft to result in surface temps soaring into the low and mid 70s away from the coastline.

Dry weather much of the day, however, as trailing short wave energy approaches from the west, combined with surface trough, a few widely scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm move across the area this afternoon. Previous forecast captures these details, therefore no wholesale changes with this update. Earlier discussion below.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Today

Short-wave energy and associated showers at the surface exit east off the coast of southern New England this morning. This will be followed by increasing temperatures and dewpoints today as southerly flow advects a more warm/moist air mass over southern New England.
925 hPa temps rise close to 15 Celsius, so we should experience very warm temperatures in the low to mid 70s across the interior this afternoon. While the sun is likely to break out at times, there will continue to be a fair amount of low clouds in place as well, especially over the south coast, Cape, and Islands where the sun may not break out at all with low-stratus persisting into tonight. With not as much sunshine and the expectation that sea-breezes will develop, these locations near the coast will be noticeably cooler than across the interior with highs in the low to mid 60s more common. While most areas should stay dry today, there will be chances for some mid-afternoon showers to develop as another embedded short-wave traverses over the region. Can't rule out a rumble of thunder either as there will be modest amounts of instability in the atmosphere to the tune of 100-300 J/kg of CAPE.
Expect any shower/thunderstorm activity to be limited to the interior as sea-breezes would be expected to stabilize the atmosphere near the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/

Tonight

Low clouds fill back in after sunset tonight as the boundary layer cools. Light winds and high dewpoints will likely result in areas of fog developing this evening as well. However, low-level winds in the 925-850 hPa layer shift northwest as a mid-level trough axis shifts east of the region. This will support winds shifting to the north at the surface which will allow drier air to displace the fog/low- stratus gradually overnight. Expect clearing skies by sunrise. Low temps in the low to mid 50s.

Tomorrow

Beautiful day on tap for Tuesday. High pressure and a dry air mass will support very warm and sunny conditions. 925 hPa air temps in the mid to upper teens will support another afternoon with temps in the mid to upper 70s. Can't rule out a few locations in the CT River Valley topping 80. Light northerly winds to start will become more westerly as the day progresses. By far the pick of the week if you enjoy warm/sunny weather.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

* Progressively cooler this period, especially Fri and Sat

* Wet weather at times Wednesday through Friday, but also periods of dry weather too

* Possibly trending drier next weekend, with showers not as widespread and limited during the afternoon/early evening

Synoptic Overview...

By late Tue/Tue night, a high amplitude closed low will be located over the Dakotas. Models, including ensembles then differ on the evolution of jet energy ejecting eastward from this closed low eastward into New England. This will impact frontal position across SNE, along with timing and amplitude of frontal waves. Hence, a low confidence forecast this period. Forecast confidence increases slight for next weekend, as ensembles in better agreement, with mean trough axis over SNE, displacing deep layer moisture well offshore.
This will favor drier weather with shower threat more diurnally driven across SNE.

Precipitation...

As mentioned above, anomalous closed low over the Dakotas late Tue moves slowly east mid to late week. Models, including ensembles displaying a large spread in the timing of jet energy ejecting eastward out of this low and eventually into New England. This results in a low confidence forecast this period, specifically in regards to frontal boundary placement, including magnitude and timing of frontal waves traversing this boundary. Hence, rain likely at times, although periods of dry weather too. Unfortunately, given model spread, too difficult at this time range to nail down exact timing of specifics. Ensembles offer some support of drier weather for the weekend, with mean trough axis over SNE. This will shift deep layer moisture and frontal wave offshore. However, cyclonic flow aloft and cold pool will yield a risk of diurnal instability showers. Not widespread, but unfortunately timing will be in the afternoon and evening hours.

Temperatures...

High forecast confidence on a cooler temperature regime this period, in response to lowering heights across New England. Seasonably cool Wed with highs in the 60s, but then cooling off into the 50s Thu, especially in eastern MA behind departing wave with N-NE winds across SNE. Coolest weather could arrive Fri pending track and intensity of surface wave tracking SE of New England. Depending on amplitude of wave, could be chilly with onshore only yielding highs in the 50s. Ensemble 850 mb temp anomalies are impressive, about -6C cooler than normal. In fact, ensemble probs of 50+ highs Friday drop to less than 50% across northern MA. Hence, could see highs only in the 40s there. Chilly weather likely lingers into Saturday given below normal heights/cold pool aloft. Temps may moderate to seasonal levels by Sunday, as flow becomes NW aloft and cold pool moves offshore.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

12Z TAF Update...high confidence in trends, but some uncertainty on exact timing.

Forecast theme remains for upward trends today with IFR/MVFR conditions lifting to VFR bases by late morning and continuing into the afternoon. Rain across RI and southeast MA at 11z will exit offshore by 12z. Then mainly a dry day, however widely scattered showers develop this afternoon and early evening.
10-20% chance of an isolated thunderstorm. Light WSW winds with local seabreezes possible along the eastern MA coast.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Tonight...High Confidence

MVFR/IFR conditions fill back in across the interior and persist over the south coast, Cape, and Islands through about 06Z. Winds shift to the north after that time frame and allow ceilings to gradually improve to VFR by 09-12Z.

Tomorrow...High Confidence

VFR. Light northerly winds becoming light out of the west. Sea- breezes likely along the coast with very warm temps forecast over land.

KBOS TAF...Moderate Confidence in TAF. BOS should scatter out for a few hours this morning into early afternoon before returning to MVFR by early to mid afternoon. Moderate confidence in a sea- breeze circulation developing today between 14 and 16Z. Higher confidence in a sea- breeze for Tuesday.

KBDL TAF...High Confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance RA.

Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance RA.

Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance RA.

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.

Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance RA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.

MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today through Tomorrow...High Confidence

Modest winds and seas continue today and tomorrow. Expect areas of fog over the coastal waters this morning and this afternoon as moisture increases from southerly winds. Fog should dissipate tonight into tomorrow as a weak cold front ushers drier air over the coastal waters.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Slight chance of rain.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain.

Thursday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.

Friday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING

Coastal Flooding

High astro tides this week and concern becomes late Thu into Fri with potential frontal wave tracking south of New England, generating onshore flow into eastern MA. Magnitude of potential inundation and erosion will depend on strength and timing of surface low. Too early for specifics with any certainty, but given astro tides are already over 11 ft at Boston, it will only take a 1 ft storm surge and modest wave action to yield minor inundation and erosion. Stay tuned throughout the week for updated information.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44097 - Block Island, RI (154) 42 mi49 min 48°F3 ft
NTKM3 - 8449130 - Nantucket Island, MA 61 mi57 min S 5.1G8.9 53°F 53°F30.07
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 66 mi75 min S 9.9G11 50°F 30.06
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 71 mi35 min SSW 9.7G14 53°F 51°F30.0553°F


Wind History for Nantucket Island, MA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KACK60 sm22 minSSW 073 smOvercast Mist 52°F52°F100%30.07
Link to 5 minute data for KACK


Wind History from ACK
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for No Man's Land, Massachusetts (2)
   
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No Man's Land
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Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     3.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:56 PM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     4.11 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

No Man's Land, Massachusetts (2), Tide feet
12
am
-0.3
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.2
3
am
0.4
4
am
1.4
5
am
2.5
6
am
3.2
7
am
3.3
8
am
2.8
9
am
2
10
am
1
11
am
0.2
12
pm
-0.3
1
pm
-0.5
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
2.7
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
4.1
8
pm
3.8
9
pm
3
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
0.8



Tide / Current for No Man's Land, Massachusetts
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No Man's Land
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Mon -- 12:54 AM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:54 PM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:07 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

No Man's Land, Massachusetts, Tide feet
12
am
-0.3
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.2
3
am
0.5
4
am
1.4
5
am
2.4
6
am
3
7
am
3.2
8
am
2.8
9
am
2
10
am
1.1
11
am
0.3
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.4
2
pm
-0.1
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
1.5
5
pm
2.6
6
pm
3.5
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
3.7
9
pm
2.9
10
pm
1.9
11
pm
0.9



Weather Map
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Boston, MA,




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