Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Port Monmouth, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 8:16PM Saturday May 25, 2019 6:50 AM EDT (10:50 UTC) Moonrise 1:15AMMoonset 11:29AM Illumination 61% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 620 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Today..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt this afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Scattered showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of showers and tstms.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 620 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure to our east gives way to an approaching warm front tonight which likely moves through by Sunday morning. A trailing cold front passes through Sunday night. High pressure will briefly follow on Monday. Another warm front will then move through on Tuesday into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Monmouth, NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.04     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 251019
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
619 am edt Sat may 25 2019

Synopsis
High pressure to our east gives way to an approaching warm front
tonight which likely moves through by Sunday morning. A trailing
cold front passes through Sunday night. High pressure will briefly
follow on Monday. Another warm front will then move through on
Tuesday, with a cold front following for Thursday into Thursday
night.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The forecast is on track with minor adjustments made to some
hourly forecast elements.

Upper ridge axis becomes centered over us today with surface high
pressure not too far offshore. More clouds overall in the afternoon,
and ridging should be strong enough to hold off on any showers
trying to move in from the west through the day. Highs around 70 at
the coast with an onshore flow, and low to mid 70s elsewhere.

There is a low risk for the development of rip currents today.Rents
today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Sunday night
A warm front approaches tonight. Isentropic and shortwave lift
combine with deepening moisture for a chance of showers with
generally better overall chances after midnight. The best overall
combination of moisture and lift will be across ct and eastern li,
where likely pops have been maintained. Will also keep isolated
thunderstorms in the forecast as elevated CAPE shifts in.

The warm front likely passes through most, if not all, of the
forecast area tonight. It otherwise should clear the area during
Sunday morning. This leads to a warmer and more humid day with high
temperatures mostly 10-15 degree above normal. Enough dry air aloft
will help mix out surface dewpoints a little out ahead of any
potential moisture pooling along an approaching cold front. Heat
index values will therefore be near ambient temperatures.

The cold front approaches from the NW and moves through during the
late afternoon evening hours. Capping and a relatively drier profile
look to keep us dry in the morning. Increasing lift, moisture and
cape along with steeper lapse rates then bring isolated scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Some storms
could have strong gusts given modeled shear values and a somewhat
dry sub-cloud layer inverted-v profile. Dry weather then follows for
the overnight hours behind the front.

There is a low risk of rip current development on Sunday.

Long term Monday through Friday
Weak high pressure builds in for Monday with a continuation of dry
weather and less humid than Sunday. Highs still above normal, but
not a warm as Sunday. High pressure then moves offshore Tuesday,
allowing a return to warm advection with a front slowly moving
northeastward through the region, which may spark a few
thunderstorms.

We then stay solidly in the warm sector for Wednesday and Thursday,
with temperatures well above climatological normals and an
increasing chance for diurnal thunderstorms. Once again although
forcing for ascent is weak and confined to a subtle short wave and
surface trough for Wednesday, steep low and mid level lapse rates
may contribute to a few stronger cells. Chances of strong
thunderstorms then increase into late Thursday with the approach of
a cold front, especially with the increasing wind field as the upper
trough nears. The front then passes through overnight, marking a
return to more seasonable conditions.

Aviation 10z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure moves offshore today. A warm front approaches
from the west tonight.

Vfr today. Light SE winds are expected early this morning.

Winds then become southerly 10-15 kt, strongest at the coast
through the day.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible tonight, but
there is low confidence in coverage and timing. MainlyVFR
expected through midnight.

Outlook for 06z Sunday through Wednesday
Late tonight Chance of MVFR or lower in showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

Sunday MostlyVFR. Chance of MVFR or ifr early, and again in
late day showers tstms.

Monday Vfr.

Tuesday-Wednesday Chance of MVFR or lower with
showers thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon and evening each
day.

Marine
Sub-sca conditions today with a southerly flow increasing in the
afternoon. Winds continue to increase tonight with near-advisory
conditions, but should prevail below it. Winds then weaken a little
on Sunday with the continuation of sub-sca conds, which will last
through Wednesday, although thunderstorms will be capable of
producing locally hazardous conditions at times.

Hydrology
Rain amounts with showers tonight will most likely range up to
around a quarter of an inch. No hydrologic impacts are anticipated
with this, and are not anticipated into next week as well.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Jc md
near term... Jc
short term... Jc
long term... Jc md
aviation... Pw
marine... Jc md
hydrology... Jc md
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 5 mi51 min SSE 8 G 8.9 57°F 63°F1024.1 hPa (+1.5)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 9 mi51 min SSE 8 G 9.9 57°F 1022.6 hPa (+1.6)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 9 mi51 min 56°F 62°F1022.8 hPa (+1.8)
MHRN6 10 mi51 min SE 5.1 G 8
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 12 mi51 min 57°F 59°F1022.8 hPa (+1.4)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 21 mi41 min SSE 9.7 G 12 57°F 58°F1022.7 hPa51°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 24 mi51 min SSW 8.9 G 8.9 56°F 59°F1023.6 hPa (+0.9)
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 46 mi51 min S 4.1 G 5.1 56°F 66°F1022.9 hPa (+1.8)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ14 mi60 minSE 410.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F48°F74%1022.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY16 mi60 minSE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy53°F51°F93%1023 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY18 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair55°F48°F77%1022.5 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY19 mi60 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F46°F69%1022.2 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi60 minS 310.00 miFair56°F48°F77%1022.1 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8NW18
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N15N13N16N13N10N9N6N6SE5SE6SE4
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S4S7S8SE6S6S6SW9SW12SW13W8SW7SW7W6W9
2 days agoNW5W5NW8N11
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NW5NW754CalmW336S8SE8S10S9SW12S9SW9SW9SW8S7W6S4

Tide / Current Tables for New Dorp Beach, New York
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New Dorp Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:08 AM EDT     4.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:41 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:49 PM EDT     4.33 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:52 PM EDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.754.8432.11.30.90.81.32.12.93.64.14.343.22.521.61.51.82.53.3

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2)
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:14 AM EDT     1.46 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:19 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:41 AM EDT     -1.71 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 11:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:53 PM EDT     1.18 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:45 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:02 PM EDT     -1.39 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.41.10.3-0.6-1.2-1.6-1.7-1.4-1.1-0.60.311.21.10.6-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.2-0.9-0.50.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.