Thursday, April26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Keansburg, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 7:49PM Thursday April 26, 2018 9:26 AM EDT (13:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:18PMMoonset 4:32AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 745 Am Edt Thu Apr 26 2018
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the evening.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 745 Am Edt Thu Apr 26 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure moves across new england today. Another low will move through on Friday. A cold frontal passage occurs Sat night. Low pres passes N of the waters Sun. High pres builds in from the sw Mon.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Keansburg , NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.14     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 261143
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
743 am edt Thu apr 26 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure moves across new england today. Another low will
move through on Friday. A cold frontal passage occurs late
Saturday, cooling things down for Sunday and Monday. A warming
trend will then occur for the first few days of may.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The fcst is on track. Upper shortwave passes across new
england, and sfc low moves to the north. Westerly winds behind
this low will prevail, with a few gusts to 20 to 25 mph possible
during the day. Northern locations may see a few more clouds
due to upper shortwave proximity.

Based on forecast profiles, and mixing depth, expect highs in
the mid to upper 60s, with a few 70s possible. In some cases,
these forecast temps are slightly higher than a MOS blend.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
Weak ridge briefly builds ahead of next southern stream
shortwave, and downstream northern stream shortwave. Mainly
clear skies initially tonight will give way to increasing high
level clouds. Sfc high builds, allowing for light winds.

Temperatures tonight should range from the lower 40s interior
to the lower 50s across nyc metro.

Next low pressure approaches from the southwest ahead of
approaching trough, and another round of rain is expected from
mid late morning through the remainder of the day. Onshore flow
ahead of the low will result in cooler temps in the mid 50s to
around 60.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
The rain will taper off Fri ngt with the models in good
agreement. A blend was used for the various data fields. A cold
front then approaches for sat. The trend is slower with the
shrtwv coming down from canada. As a result, the FROPA looks to
take place Sat ngt, with a slower progression of the upr trof on
sun. There should be a 6-12 hour window of dry wx after the fri
ngt rain and ahead of the cold front. Right now this looks to
be Sat mrng. However, this far out a blended approach was used
to compensate for potential timing changes. End result is low
chcs Sat mrng. These could be reduced in subsequent fcsts as
confidence increases. Some sct shwrs look to occur INVOF the
front. With the timing ATTM lining up with the overnight, llvl
instability will be weaker. With the upr low and cold pool
lagging behind on sun, extensive CU development is likely,
leading to bkn-ovc skies. Lake moisture should enhance the cloud
cover across the interior. The modeling now indicates
significant cloud cover hanging in Sun ngt, reducing the low
temp potential. Highs on Sun will be 5-10 degrees blw avg, so
the clouds may inhibit a widespread frost freeze situation at
ngt. Heights will begin to increase on mon, allowing for highs
to approach normal lvls. Ridging then develops between a pacific
trof and the upr low exiting the northeast. This will produce a
warming trend thru at least wed, bringing the 70s and low 80s
to the area.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
Low pressure tracks into the canadian maritimes by Thursday
evening.

Any lingering lifr ifr CIGS and vsbys will lift between 12-13z.

Otherwise,VFR through the TAF period.

Light and variable winds becoming w-nw increasing to 10-15 kt
during the morning push. Wind gusts of 15-25kt develop after
12z. Winds back to the wsw-sw at kjfk and kisp this afternoon,
remaining W to wnw elsewhere. Wind gusts should abate late
Thursday afternoon early Thursday evening.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 8 mi39 min W 12 G 15 53°F 49°F1007.1 hPa
MHRN6 8 mi39 min WNW 18 G 22
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 8 mi39 min 55°F 50°F1006.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi39 min WNW 21 G 25 56°F 1006.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi39 min 56°F 48°F1006.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi37 min W 16 G 21 52°F 47°F7 ft1005.9 hPa47°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi39 min NNW 14 G 18 55°F 47°F1006.2 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi39 min NNW 8.9 G 14 55°F 54°F1008.3 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ13 mi36 minWNW 18 G 2310.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy57°F42°F58%1006 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY19 mi36 minVar 6 G 1510.00 miFair57°F43°F60%1005.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi36 minW 18 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy60°F48°F65%1005.5 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi36 minWNW 16 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F46°F67%1005.5 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi36 minNW 12 G 1910.00 miPartly Cloudy58°F46°F65%1005.6 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi31 minW 14 G 1910.00 miFair55°F44°F67%0 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi42 minWNW 10 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy55°F42°F63%1007.1 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8
G17
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SE9E6E5E5E4NE5E3E4CalmE3CalmCalmCalmW7W5NW10W9
G17
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1 day agoE6E7SE9SE13
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SE7
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SE12SE7E5
G14
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G14
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G21
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G19
2 days ago4E6E6E6E7SE8
G14
SE7E8SE10E4E4E8SE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3N33

Tide / Current Tables for Great Kills Harbor, New York
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Great Kills Harbor
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Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:45 AM EDT     5.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:31 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:23 PM EDT     5.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.61.734.255.14.73.82.81.70.6-0.1-0.10.82.13.54.75.45.34.63.62.41.2

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
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Thu -- 02:04 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:02 AM EDT     1.81 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:43 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:55 AM EDT     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:32 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:33 PM EDT     1.91 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:23 PM EDT     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.7-1.1-0.11.11.71.81.60.8-0.3-1.2-2-2.2-2-1.5-0.60.61.51.91.91.30.3-0.8-1.7-2.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.