Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Keansburg borough, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 4:39PM Friday November 16, 2018 9:06 PM EST (02:06 UTC) Moonrise 2:35PMMoonset 12:38AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 852 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until midnight est tonight...
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt until around midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 852 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure continues to move through the canadian maritimes overnight. High pressure then builds across the area into the weekend. Weak low pressure passes through late Sunday through Monday. High pressure then builds in Tuesday through Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Keansburg borough, NJ
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location: 40.53, -74.14     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 162350
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
650 pm est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure continues to move up the coast into the canadian
maritimes through tonight. High pressure then builds across the
area into the weekend. Weak low pressure passes through late
Sunday through Monday. High pressure then builds in Tuesday
through the thanksgiving holiday.

Near term through Saturday
Main issue for the evening will be gusty winds and cold air
advection across the area in the wake of the departing low
pressure system. Convergent flow aloft will allow high pressure
to build eastward, gradually allowing a strengthening
subsidence inversion that will decrease wind gusts and cloud
cover overnight, leading to favorable radiational cooling
conditions at many locales. Depending on how quickly gusts
diminish across eastern long island and eastern connecticut,
temperatures may be colder than forecast. In general,
temperatures will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s - 5 to 10
degrees below normal for time of year.

Short term Saturday night
Generally zonal flow aloft persists through Saturday into night,
with surface high pressure building into the area. Little in
terms of sensible weather will exist, though depending on the
overall strength of winds into the early portion of Saturday,
it's possible a few lake effect flurries could reach the lower
hudson valley. Otherwise dry and sunny conditions will prevail,
with temperatures remaining below climatological normals.

Long term Sunday through Friday
The long term will be a relatively tranquil period as western
ridging and eastern troughing slowly progresses east. High pressure
will sit over the eastern seaboard on Sunday with a weak wave
rotating through an upper trough Sunday night into Monday. This will
bring a chance of showers to the region. However, with a cold air
mass in place, a few light snow showers may for the interior are
possible. Timing, placement and strength of this wave still remains
uncertain so have kept probabilities at chance and slight chance
into Monday.

The base of the 500 mb trough moves through Tuesday and Tuesday
night. Have kept the forecast dry, but it is not out of the question
for a snow or rain shower to occur as the trough axis passes.

High pressure then builds for midweek and will continue through the
thanksgiving holiday.

Temperatures through the long term will remain below average with
the coldest day being on Wednesday. Temperatures then moderate
towards the end of the week, but still remaining below normal.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure slowly builds in from the nw.

Vfr through the TAF period.

W to wnw winds gusting around 20kt this evening. Gusts subside
for most terminals by midnight, but city terminals likely
continue to gust at least occasionally. Gusts return to most
terminals by noon Saturday, but mostly in the range of 15-20
kt.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 8 mi37 min W 16 G 20 41°F 48°F1014.3 hPa
MHRN6 8 mi37 min WSW 8 G 16
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 8 mi37 min 39°F 49°F1012.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 10 mi37 min W 19 G 23 41°F 1013.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi37 min 41°F 51°F1012.7 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 26 mi37 min W 21 G 29 43°F 54°F1012.9 hPa34°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi37 min NW 15 G 18 42°F 49°F1013.1 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi37 min WNW 11 G 15 40°F 42°F1014.9 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ13 mi76 minWSW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds39°F28°F67%1012.2 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY19 mi76 minno data10.00 miFair40°F28°F65%1011.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi76 minWSW 1510.00 miA Few Clouds41°F30°F67%1012.6 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi76 minWSW 19 G 2610.00 miA Few Clouds and Breezy42°F28°F58%1011.8 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi76 minWSW 810.00 miFair39°F30°F70%1011.7 hPa
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ24 mi71 minWSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds39°F30°F70%1014 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ24 mi82 minW 7 G 1310.00 miClear39°F30°F70%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE14
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G36
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N17N18N20
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1 day agoN10N8N8NE7N9N9NE9NE10N9N8N10N9N14N12NE12NE11NE8
G16
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2 days agoNW11W9W10NW19
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NW13NW9NW8NW8NW8NW11
G24
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NW14
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N17N12N11

Tide / Current Tables for Great Kills Harbor, New York
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Great Kills Harbor
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:05 AM EST     3.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:34 AM EST     1.29 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:34 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:17 PM EST     4.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:38 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:10 PM EST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.73.93.73.22.521.61.31.31.82.63.444.34.23.72.92.11.510.70.91.7

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:55 AM EST     1.22 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:02 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:23 AM EST     -1.43 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:57 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:09 PM EST     1.30 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:34 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:21 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:37 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:51 PM EST     -1.73 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:32 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.21.10.80-0.7-1.1-1.4-1.3-1-0.700.91.31.20.90.3-0.5-1.1-1.6-1.7-1.5-1.1-0.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.