Saturday, June24, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Port Reading, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:33PM Saturday June 24, 2017 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC) Moonrise 6:08AMMoonset 9:04PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 728 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 728 Pm Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A series of weak low pressure troughs forming over land each day will move out over the waters each night through Tuesday night, while strong high pressure remains well to the southwest. High pressure will build in on Wednesday. A warm front will approach on Thursday and move through at night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Reading, NJ
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location: 40.56, -74.22     debug

Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 242338
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
738 pm edt Sat jun 24 2017

A series of weak low pressure troughs forming over land each
day will move offshore each night through Tuesday night, while
strong high pressure remains well to the southwest. The high
will eventually build in on Wednesday. A warm front will
approach on Thursday and move through at night. A cold front
approaching from the north on Friday will stall nearby into the
holiday weekend, with unsettled weather.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
730 pm update: forecast on track - lowered winds this evening
and a few minor t TD changes. While hrrr suggests some
sprinkles or perhaps a shower in the hudson valley, the
southern extent to the pcpn in the model is overdone based on
current radar. Have thus kept the northern zones dry.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Sunday night
Sunday should be another mostly sunny and pleasantly warm day,
with highs 75-80. Another weak inland trough pseudo-cold front
should set up over land, and move offshore at night. As this
takes place, an afternoon sea breeze should give way to stronger
w winds for a while from late day into the evening. Low temps
will be just a touch cooler than those fcst for tonight, ranging
from the lower 50s inland, to lower 60s in just outside nyc.

Long term Monday through Saturday
Looks fairly dry with comfortable humidity and slightly below normal
temperature though mid week. A warm front approaches on Thursday as
low pressure passes across southern canada. In its wake, a cold
front sags south into ny state on Friday. The front becomes
stationary near the region into the weekend - which appears will
be "unsettled."
region is in the right rear entrance to a strong 120+ kt polar jet
streak along with sfc trof over the hudson valley on Monday
afternoon. Fortunately, instability is limited to below 500 hpa -
at least based on SREF and gfs. Nwp QPF is near zero and have thus
confined any pop to extreme NW area.

Similar situation on Tuesday with perhaps a tad more instability and
pseudo cold fropa. Have a 20 pop for the aftn.

Wednesday is dry and then warm advection starts in on Thursday.

Frontal boundary in the region, or just north, on Friday and have
pops in for tsra. Looks to remain unsettled through the holiday
weekend at this time.

Temps come back to near seasonable on Thursday and then go above
Friday into the weekend. No heat issues foreseen though.

Aviation 00z Sunday through Thursday
High pressure builds into the region thru Sunday.

Vfr thru the TAF period. Winds diminish tonight with many
locations becoming light and variable. Seabreezes are expected
to develop Sunday late morning afternoon.

Outlook for 00z Monday through Thursday
Sunday night Vfr. Afternoon sea breezes expected.

Monday Vfr. Coastal sea breezes expected.

Tuesday Vfr. Isolated tsra north and west of nyc.

Wednesday Vfr.

Thursday Vfr.

Ocean seas running 5-7 ft at the offshore buoys, but with winds
below 15 kt, SCA for hazardous seas now in place.

There could be a brief lull in seas Sunday afternoon before a
tighter pressure gradient ahead of an approaching trough
possibly brings them back to 5 ft. Have held off on extending
sca that far out in time to see if the 1-2 ft anomaly between
observed and model forecast seas continues into Sunday.

For the longer term... Tranquil on Monday and continuing through
Thursday morning. Ocean seas will likely build to SCA criteria
late Thursday and continue as such on Friday.

See public information statement for area rainfall reports from
this morning's heavy rain.

No hydrologic impacts expected Sunday and through at least the
end of next week.

Tides coastal flooding
Astronomical tides are running very high, especially during the
evening high tide cycles.

Nw flow has pushed enough water away from most susceptible
locations to keep water levels tonight below flood benchmarks.

This does not look for the be the case however for the nassau
south shore bays, where water levels should briefly touch or
barely exceed minor thresholds early this evening, from 8-10 pm.

* the kokx doppler weather radar (wsr-88d) remains unavailable
due to required maintenance. The radar could return to
service as early as Sunday.

* surface observations from kfrg (farmingdale, ny) are not
available. Observations from khpn (white plains, ny and khvn
(new haven,ct) are being disseminated through backup methods.

All is due to an faa communication line outage. Return to
service time is unknown.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... High rip current risk until 9 pm edt this evening for nyz080-

High surf advisory until 9 pm edt this evening for nyz080-081.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 6 am edt Sunday
for anz355.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 2 pm edt Sunday
for anz350.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 11 am edt Sunday
for anz353.

Synopsis... Goodman tongue
near term... Goodman tongue
short term... Goodman
long term... Tongue
aviation... Bc jmc
marine... Goodman tongue
hydrology... Goodman tongue
tides coastal flooding...


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 6 mi43 min WSW 7 G 11
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 7 mi43 min 83°F 71°F1009.7 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 11 mi43 min W 14 G 20 1010.1 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 13 mi43 min W 9.9 G 14 79°F 71°F1009.2 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 15 mi43 min 81°F 69°F1009.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 30 mi71 min W 7.8 G 7.8 73°F 67°F4 ft1009.5 hPa (+1.6)62°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 30 mi43 min WNW 8 G 9.9 80°F 68°F1009.4 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 34 mi46 min W 7.8 G 12 79°F 56°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi43 min WNW 8.9 G 15 83°F 78°F1011.2 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi46 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 75°F 1 ft60°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi85 min 83°F 78°F1010.1 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ11 mi70 minW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F55°F36%1009.1 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ19 mi76 minW 915.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F55°F40%1009.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY20 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair82°F55°F40%1009.1 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ22 mi68 minVar 410.00 miFair85°F54°F35%1009.7 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ23 mi70 minNW 810.00 miFair84°F54°F36%1008.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY24 mi70 minW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F54°F35%1008.9 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY24 mi70 minW 1210.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F54°F35%1009.5 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ24 mi68 minVar 310.00 miFair83°F59°F44%1009.1 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS11
1 day agoE5CalmS6S7S6SW9SW8SW8SW8SW7SW9SW7SW9SW10S12S9SW13S15
2 days agoSW10SW10W9SW9SW10SW6W5W3N3N5NE5N6N5CalmSE3S7S9S8SE8SE8S11SE8SE10SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Rossville, Arthur Kill, New York
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Sat -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.85 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:58 AM EDT     6.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:17 PM EDT     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:15 PM EDT     7.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
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Sat -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 05:47 AM EDT     2.18 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:16 PM EDT     -1.71 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 03:37 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:01 PM EDT     2.48 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:20 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.