Monday, December11, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Carteret, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:31PM Monday December 11, 2017 4:16 AM EST (09:16 UTC) Moonrise 1:33AMMoonset 2:08PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 329 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2017
Today..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of rain in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..W winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow showers. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow showers in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ300 329 Am Est Mon Dec 11 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Weak high pressure builds briefly across the area waters. Low pressure passes across the great lakes tonight, while an associated warm front lifts through the area waters Tuesday morning, followed by a strong trailing cold front in the afternoon. High pressure will slowly return through Thursday. Low pressure passes off the coast on Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carteret , NJ
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location: 40.59, -74.21     debug

Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 110857
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
357 am est Mon dec 11 2017

High pressure builds briefly across the area today. Low
pressure will then pass across the great lakes tonight, while an
associated warm front lifts through the waters Tuesday morning,
followed by a strong trailing cold front in the afternoon. An
intensifying low pressure system will move into the canadian
maritimes Tuesday night into Wednesday night, with brief high
pressure building across the area in its wake. A weak alberta
clipper passes to the south on Thursday, followed by a low
pressure system passing off the coast late Friday into Friday
night. High pressure returns for the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
A few scattered flurries are possible early this morning as an
upper level shortwave moves across the area. Otherwise, high
pressure builds briefly this morning. Skies will start off
partly to mostly sunny, then clouds increase through the
afternoon. High temperatures today will top out in the upper
30s to lower 40s.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
Low pressure moves across the great lakes tonight into Tuesday morning.

The associated warm front approaches the area from the south
late tonight into Tuesday with increasing chances of
precipitation, followed by a strong trailing cold front Tuesday

Warm advection ahead of the main portion of the storm will make
this a mixed precip event. Rain is forecast for the city,
adjacent suburbs and coastal section, although some snow can mix
in at first. Across inland areas, snow or a snow rain mix
changes over to rain as temperatures rise during the morning
hours on Tuesday. Snow accumulations expected to be 1 or 2
inches for the northern suburbs, with 2 to 3 inches expected
further north across orange county. Less than an inch is
expected anywhere else where snow manages to accumulate.

Highs on Tuesday will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s inland
and mid to upper 40s along the coast, with even some 50 degree
readings for long island.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
A period of brisk weather is anticipated Tuesday night into Thursday
as an intensifying low pressure system moves towards the canadian
maritimes. With the tightening pressure gradient on the back side of
the low, strong cold advection combined with sustained winds around
20-30 mph and gusts above 40 mph will lead to wind chill values in
the single digits to teens on Wednesday, and largely the single
digits to near zero Wednesday night. Although some moderation will
occur on Thursday as flow backs to the wsw ahead of the next system,
temperatures will remain well below climatological normals, with
cold wind chill values in lingering breezy flow.

Overall, a blocking pattern with low pressure anchored over the east
coast will continue a period of below normal temperatures and above
normal precipitation as a series of waves rotate around the broader
low. Chances of precipitation increase again into Friday as the
subtropical jet shifts northward, combining with polar energy and
leading to the development of a coastal low. The general track and
intensity of the low will need to be monitored, but expected at
least a slight chance of snow showers across the interior and
perhaps a rain snow mix along the coast into Friday night. Gusty
flow and below normal temperatures will once again be possible as
the low departs, with a slow moderation occurring through the
weekend as high pressure builds across the area.

Aviation 09z Monday through Friday
A cold front will move across the area today.

MainlyVFR today. A few snow showers will be possible early this
morning, which may produce some brief MVFR cigs. The best chance of
any snow showers occurs between 09z-11z. CIGS may drop to 3000ft. No
runway accumulation expected, although visibility could be briefly
reduced to MVFR or lower.

Cigs fall to MVFR late in the TAF period, mainly after 09z Tuesday
as a warm front pushes north of the area and associated low
pressure system passes north of the area.

Generally westerly winds today. There may be a few occasional gusts
early this morning, then gusts become more frequent during the
afternoon with speeds around 20 kt. Gusts will end after 23z.

Tonight, winds become more southerly and remain less than 10 kt.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 4 mi47 min SW 8.9 G 12
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 5 mi47 min 35°F 48°F1015.7 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 9 mi47 min WSW 11 G 13 35°F 1016.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 13 mi47 min 37°F 49°F1016.2 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 14 mi47 min SW 14 G 16 37°F 44°F1016.5 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 28 mi47 min W 12 G 14 37°F 45°F1016 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi87 min WSW 19 G 23 40°F 52°F4 ft1015.1 hPa (-1.1)26°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 33 mi47 min SW 14 G 19 39°F 24°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 42 mi47 min W 7 G 8.9 32°F 41°F1017.4 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 42 mi88 min WSW 16 G 21 38°F 2 ft25°F

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ9 mi26 minSW 910.00 miOvercast34°F23°F64%1015.8 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY18 mi26 minVar 310.00 miOvercast35°F21°F59%1015.2 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ18 mi22 minWSW 610.00 miOvercast34°F23°F65%1015.6 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ20 mi26 minSW 710.00 miOvercast34°F23°F64%1015.4 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ20 mi24 minVar 410.00 miOvercast32°F21°F64%1016.3 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY22 mi26 minWSW 910.00 miOvercast37°F21°F52%1015.4 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY23 mi26 minWSW 1810.00 miOvercast and Breezy36°F25°F64%1016 hPa
Somerville, Somerset Airport, NJ24 mi24 minVar 510.00 miOvercast33°F24°F70%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from EWR (wind in knots)
Last 24hrW9W10W9W8W12W9W10W11SW15W13W15SW11SW9SW10SW8SW10SW9SW10SW8SW9SW5SW10SW8SW9
1 day agoN3N6N7N9N11N8N5N6N7N9N9N9N10N12N11NW8NW8
2 days agoW6W7W7W6W8W8W8W6W4W5W9SW9SW10SW7W8W6W6W7W7W7W6W5W4W5

Tide / Current Tables for Carteret, New Jersey
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Click for Map
Mon -- 12:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:32 AM EST     5.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM EST     0.47 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:08 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:45 PM EST     4.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:36 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:32 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:34 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:58 AM EST     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:02 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:10 AM EST     1.50 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:08 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:38 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:08 PM EST     -1.31 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:30 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.