Thursday, July19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Babylon, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:37AMSunset 8:21PM Thursday July 19, 2018 1:37 PM EDT (17:37 UTC) Moonrise 1:04PMMoonset 12:12AM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 1144 Am Edt Thu Jul 19 2018
This afternoon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Showers likely with chance of tstms.
Sun..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night..SE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms.
Mon night..S winds around 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1144 Am Edt Thu Jul 19 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will pass across through Friday. A slowly moving broad area of low pressure will then move in for the weekend. High pressure will attempt to build westward into the waters Monday into Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Babylon, NY
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location: 40.69, -73.3     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 191611
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1211 pm edt Thu jul 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure passes across the area today and Friday. A slowly
moving broad area of low pressure then pushes into the region
over the weekend. High pressure then attempts to build back into
the region from the east Monday into Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Deep layer ridging will build in this afternoon, with abundant
sunshine, seasonable temperatures, and low humidity. Lowered max
temps just a shade per GFS lamp, which fits yesterday's GFS mos
high temp bias, with highs upper 70s to mid 80s.

Generally light winds veer se-s this afternoon.

There is a moderate rip current risk at the ocean beaches today
due to 2-3 ft s-se swells.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
Ridge builds aloft, with sfc high pressure passing just east.

Waves of low pressure riding along a cold front remain well to
the se, offshore.

Temps are expected to remain right around normal, with 50s and 60s
at night, and lower to middle 80s during the daytime.

Patchy fog is possible late Friday night as humidity levels slowly
increase, and light onshore winds persist.

There is a low to moderate risk of rip current development at the
ocean beaches Friday.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
A broad area of low pressure will spread across the ohio river
valley and mid-atlantic this weekend as a closed 500mb low drifts
south through those locations. Over here, a surface low center
shifts in from the south. Timing and track of this feature seems to
be a passage somewhere over or very close to the tri-state area at
some point Saturday night into Sunday morning. Chances of rain
increase Saturday afternoon, becoming likely Saturday night. Heavy
rain is possible as a low-level jet, potentially at 40-50 kt,
shifts through and interacts with an airmass with pwats
2.00-2.50 inches. This so far appears to be mainly a stratiform
rain event, however elevated instability will be present with
decent lift in near the storm center. So the scattered
thunderstorm potential could enhance rainfall totals and rates.

Would like to see a better convective potential and be more
certain of the storm center track before mentioning this system
in the hwo, but there's at least minor flooding potential with
this storm.

The low center shifts north of us during Sunday, however we'll still
be within the broad area of low pressure centered to our southwest
and a cyclonic flow aloft will persist. This will maintain shower
and thunderstorm chances through the day.

The closed upper low weakens as it heads farther south into the
southeast. This will allow for some deep-layered ridging here on
Monday and Tuesday. Both days will have chances of showers and
storms at any given time, but much of time both days will be dry.

Tuesday could even potentially be a completely dry day for most of
the area. Ridging then begins to break down on Wednesday with a cold
front well off to our west, but convection will still be possible.

With the potential of shortwave lift and a moist airmass in place.

High temperatures Saturday through Wednesday will be mainly in the
80s, but Tuesday has the potential to be a few degrees warmer than
currently forecast, which would push about half of the tri-state
area into the 90s. A persistent southerly flow will maintain muggy
conditions through the period.

Aviation 16z Thursday through Monday
High pressure builds in from the great lakes today, and
gradually east tonight into Friday.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period.

N NE flow persisting at kswf. Elsewhere... S SE sea breezes
developing at coastal terminals into the afternoon.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 11 mi37 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 79°F59°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 24 mi67 min E 5.8 G 7.8 72°F 1 ft55°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 26 mi37 min NE 8 G 8.9 72°F 70°F1020.4 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 31 mi47 min ENE 9.7 G 12 71°F 73°F3 ft1019.3 hPa (+0.5)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi27 min E 7.8 G 9.7 73°F 75°F1019 hPa57°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 34 mi43 min SSE 8.9 G 11 72°F 71°F1019 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 38 mi37 min 77°F 74°F1019.9 hPa (+0.0)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 41 mi37 min NNE 5.1 G 6 76°F 1019.7 hPa (+0.0)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 41 mi37 min SE 6 G 9.9 75°F 75°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 45 mi37 min 78°F 75°F1019.2 hPa (+0.0)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 46 mi67 min S 3.9 G 5.8 71°F 1 ft
MHRN6 46 mi115 min E 5.1 G 6
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 46 mi37 min SSW 9.9 G 11 72°F 76°F1019.6 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY6 mi44 minVar 310.00 miFair79°F50°F36%1019.2 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY13 mi1.7 hrsN 810.00 miA Few Clouds80°F50°F35%1019.5 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN17
G20
NW11N11
G18
N11
G17
NE10NE7NE5NE5N5N4N4N4N6N4N4N5N6N7NE11N6NE6543
1 day agoS14SW14NW11
G23
W4SE6S11
G15
S8S4W5NW3N4N3NW5N4NW4NW5NW4N6N10N14N13
G23
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2 days agoS13SW13SW13SW9S12SW13S10S8S11SW10SW9SW9SW7SW8SW8S7S6SW7SW11SW11S11S13S15S15

Tide / Current Tables for Babylon, Long Island, New York
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Babylon
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:44 AM EDT     0.66 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:38 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:53 PM EDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 04:25 PM EDT     0.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:12 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.40.50.60.70.60.50.30.20.1000.10.30.40.60.70.70.60.50.30.20.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Fire Island Radiobeacon, Long Island, New York
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Fire Island Radiobeacon
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 02:19 AM EDT     0.77 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:19 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:00 PM EDT     0.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:53 PM EDT     First Quarter
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:53 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.70.80.70.60.50.30.20.1000.20.40.60.70.80.70.60.50.30.20.10.10.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.