Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Trevorton, PA
May 4, 2024 6:13 AM EDT (10:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:58 AM Sunset 8:05 PM Moonrise 3:09 AM Moonset 3:10 PM |
ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 445 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Rest of the overnight - E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Today - E winds 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely.
Tonight - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sun - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers.
Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Mon night - W winds 5 kt. Waves flat. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue - E winds 5 kt - .becoming s. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming se 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms through the night.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 445 Am Edt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a boundary will remain to the south and west of the waters through Saturday night before returning as a warm front Sunday into Monday. Another cold front will stall near the waters for the middle and latter portions of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed Sunday and Sunday night.
a boundary will remain to the south and west of the waters through Saturday night before returning as a warm front Sunday into Monday. Another cold front will stall near the waters for the middle and latter portions of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed Sunday and Sunday night.
Area Discussion for - State College, PA
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCTP 040823 AFDCTP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 423 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024
SYNOPSIS
-Noticeable cool down for the first weekend of May with cloudy skies and periods of rain -Remaining unsettled next week with a gradual warming trend
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
MRMS radar at 08Z shows ~100mi wide band of light to moderate rain along a SW to NE oriented 500mb vorticity axis extending from the southwest corner of PA into the Endless Mtns north of KIPT. Expect this corridor of rain to remain in-place through daybreak with more rain on the way to start the first weekend in May.
The latest hires model guidance supports periods of rain throughout today and into tonight ahead of an upper level shortwave lifting out of the Tennessee Valley. The associated southerly low level jet and plume of higher pwats will overrun a dome of cool/stable air (entrenched within a CAD pattern configuration) to bring 0.25-0.75" of rain to the area.
This pattern will also ensure a significant cool down from recent days with fcst max temps in the 50-60F range or 10 to 25 degrees cooler vs. yesterday depending on location. Not much change in sensible wx overnight with periods of rain continuing with lows in the 45-50F range or +5-10F above early May climo.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Sunday looks to be another relatively cool day for early May due to a persistent southeast flow off of the Atlantic. However, a slight rebound in warmth is expected over the western and southwestern periphery of the CWA as steadier rain tapers off.
Fcst highs range from 55F in the Endless mtns and southern Poconos to ~70F in the far southwest corner of the CWA (near Confluence in Somerset County).
Scattered diurnal convection appears likely to the west of the Alleghenies Sunday afternoon which could spill into central PA late in the day. THe SPC MRGL risk SWO clips a portion of Warren County.
The CAD pattern loses its grip Sunday night into Monday as a weak cold front presses southeast from Lake Erie. Guidance has been bullish on fog development and will continue mention in the wx grids. Fcst lows Sunday night are +10-20F above climo for early May in the low 50s to near 60F.
Temperatures are forecast to bounce on Monday with fcst maxes getting back into the 70-80F range. High pressure and low pwat air should dry out the northern tier, but nearly stationary frontal zone will maintain a chance of showers/t-storms over south central PA through Monday night.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level ridging over PA indicates warm and generally dry conditions are likely Tuesday. However, a warm front lifting out of the Ohio Valley could result in increasing clouds with a PM shower/tsra, primarily across the southwest counties. The bulk of medium range guidance supports a very warm Wednesday with scattered convection, as the area briefly breaks into the warm sector ahead of a cold front pushing in from the Grt Lks.
Model consensus supports a better chance for a more widespread rainfall Thursday, associated with a deepening upstream trough and wave of low pressure riding along the stalled cold front just south of PA. The surface low and deepest moisture is progged to shift east of the area by Thursday night. However, falling heights ahead of the upper trough will likely support scattered, diurnally-driven convection Friday, along with a downward trend in temperatures.
AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 0630 UTC Sat, MVFR cigs have moved into the Laurels (JST and AOO) as well as portions of south central PA (CXY and THV).
The low cigs will continue to expand over the next several hours, with the remaining TAF sites likely dropping to MVFR or lower by daybreak. Confidence in MVFR cigs after 11z is lowest at LNS, where much of the hires guidance shows LNS on the eastern periphery of the MVFR cloud deck.
IFR conds are likely to develop first across the western airfields (BFD, JST, and AOO between 10z and 15z Sat) and then expand eastward through the day. Confidence is low in the exact timing of the low cigs. Periods of light rain will continue through the day.
Southeast winds of 5-15 kts will continue through the TAF period, with gusts up to 25 kts. LLWS may become a concern from 00z-18z Sun as a southerly LLJ develops with 2kft winds 35-45 kts, strongest through north central PA. The LLJ will also produce the most widespread and heaviest rainfall during this period.
Outlook...
Sun...Widespread restrictions due to low cigs. SHRA likely with a slight chance of TSRA. Areas of fog poss Sun night.
Mon-Wed...AM fog/clouds poss. PM -SHRA possible areawide.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 423 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024
SYNOPSIS
-Noticeable cool down for the first weekend of May with cloudy skies and periods of rain -Remaining unsettled next week with a gradual warming trend
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
MRMS radar at 08Z shows ~100mi wide band of light to moderate rain along a SW to NE oriented 500mb vorticity axis extending from the southwest corner of PA into the Endless Mtns north of KIPT. Expect this corridor of rain to remain in-place through daybreak with more rain on the way to start the first weekend in May.
The latest hires model guidance supports periods of rain throughout today and into tonight ahead of an upper level shortwave lifting out of the Tennessee Valley. The associated southerly low level jet and plume of higher pwats will overrun a dome of cool/stable air (entrenched within a CAD pattern configuration) to bring 0.25-0.75" of rain to the area.
This pattern will also ensure a significant cool down from recent days with fcst max temps in the 50-60F range or 10 to 25 degrees cooler vs. yesterday depending on location. Not much change in sensible wx overnight with periods of rain continuing with lows in the 45-50F range or +5-10F above early May climo.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Sunday looks to be another relatively cool day for early May due to a persistent southeast flow off of the Atlantic. However, a slight rebound in warmth is expected over the western and southwestern periphery of the CWA as steadier rain tapers off.
Fcst highs range from 55F in the Endless mtns and southern Poconos to ~70F in the far southwest corner of the CWA (near Confluence in Somerset County).
Scattered diurnal convection appears likely to the west of the Alleghenies Sunday afternoon which could spill into central PA late in the day. THe SPC MRGL risk SWO clips a portion of Warren County.
The CAD pattern loses its grip Sunday night into Monday as a weak cold front presses southeast from Lake Erie. Guidance has been bullish on fog development and will continue mention in the wx grids. Fcst lows Sunday night are +10-20F above climo for early May in the low 50s to near 60F.
Temperatures are forecast to bounce on Monday with fcst maxes getting back into the 70-80F range. High pressure and low pwat air should dry out the northern tier, but nearly stationary frontal zone will maintain a chance of showers/t-storms over south central PA through Monday night.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Upper level ridging over PA indicates warm and generally dry conditions are likely Tuesday. However, a warm front lifting out of the Ohio Valley could result in increasing clouds with a PM shower/tsra, primarily across the southwest counties. The bulk of medium range guidance supports a very warm Wednesday with scattered convection, as the area briefly breaks into the warm sector ahead of a cold front pushing in from the Grt Lks.
Model consensus supports a better chance for a more widespread rainfall Thursday, associated with a deepening upstream trough and wave of low pressure riding along the stalled cold front just south of PA. The surface low and deepest moisture is progged to shift east of the area by Thursday night. However, falling heights ahead of the upper trough will likely support scattered, diurnally-driven convection Friday, along with a downward trend in temperatures.
AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 0630 UTC Sat, MVFR cigs have moved into the Laurels (JST and AOO) as well as portions of south central PA (CXY and THV).
The low cigs will continue to expand over the next several hours, with the remaining TAF sites likely dropping to MVFR or lower by daybreak. Confidence in MVFR cigs after 11z is lowest at LNS, where much of the hires guidance shows LNS on the eastern periphery of the MVFR cloud deck.
IFR conds are likely to develop first across the western airfields (BFD, JST, and AOO between 10z and 15z Sat) and then expand eastward through the day. Confidence is low in the exact timing of the low cigs. Periods of light rain will continue through the day.
Southeast winds of 5-15 kts will continue through the TAF period, with gusts up to 25 kts. LLWS may become a concern from 00z-18z Sun as a southerly LLJ develops with 2kft winds 35-45 kts, strongest through north central PA. The LLJ will also produce the most widespread and heaviest rainfall during this period.
Outlook...
Sun...Widespread restrictions due to low cigs. SHRA likely with a slight chance of TSRA. Areas of fog poss Sun night.
Mon-Wed...AM fog/clouds poss. PM -SHRA possible areawide.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MRCP1 - 8540433 - Marcus Hook, PA | 96 mi | 56 min | 51°F | 62°F | 30.23 | |||
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD | 98 mi | 56 min | E 5.1G | 50°F | 65°F | 30.22 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSEG PENN VALLEY,PA | 8 sm | 20 min | ESE 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 52°F | 45°F | 76% | 30.21 | |
KZER SCHUYLKILL COUNTY/JOE ZERBEY,PA | 20 sm | 18 min | ESE 13 | 10 sm | Overcast | 43°F | 41°F | 93% | 30.21 | |
KMUI MUIR AAF (FORT INDIANTOWN GAP),PA | 23 sm | 18 min | ENE 05 | 10 sm | Overcast | 50°F | 45°F | 82% | 30.21 |
Tide / Current for Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (hide/show)  Help
Port Deposit
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:59 AM EDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:06 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:55 AM EDT 2.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:35 PM EDT 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:07 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT 2.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:59 AM EDT 0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:06 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:55 AM EDT 2.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:35 PM EDT 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:07 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 08:19 PM EDT 2.68 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Deposit, Susquehanna River, Maryland, Tide feet
12 am |
1.4 |
1 am |
1.1 |
2 am |
0.8 |
3 am |
0.7 |
4 am |
0.9 |
5 am |
1.5 |
6 am |
2.2 |
7 am |
2.8 |
8 am |
3 |
9 am |
2.8 |
10 am |
2.5 |
11 am |
2.1 |
12 pm |
1.7 |
1 pm |
1.2 |
2 pm |
0.9 |
3 pm |
0.7 |
4 pm |
0.7 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
1.7 |
7 pm |
2.3 |
8 pm |
2.7 |
9 pm |
2.6 |
10 pm |
2.4 |
11 pm |
2 |
Havre de Grace
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:02 AM EDT 2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:07 PM EDT 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:06 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:26 PM EDT 2.24 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:31 AM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 07:02 AM EDT 2.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:07 PM EDT 0.53 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:06 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:26 PM EDT 2.24 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:01 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Havre de Grace, Susquehanna River, Maryland (2), Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
0.6 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.9 |
4 am |
1.4 |
5 am |
1.9 |
6 am |
2.3 |
7 am |
2.5 |
8 am |
2.4 |
9 am |
2.1 |
10 am |
1.7 |
11 am |
1.3 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.5 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
1 |
5 pm |
1.5 |
6 pm |
2 |
7 pm |
2.2 |
8 pm |
2.2 |
9 pm |
2 |
10 pm |
1.7 |
11 pm |
1.3 |
State College, PA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE