Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stansbury Park, UT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 5:09PM Saturday November 17, 2018 4:25 PM MST (23:25 UTC) Moonrise 2:39PMMoonset 1:15AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stansbury Park, UT
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location: 40.78, -112.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Salt Lake City, UT
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Fxus65 kslc 172252
afdslc
area forecast discussion
national weather service salt lake city ut
352 pm mst Sat nov 17 2018

Synopsis A weakening cold front will sweep south across utah
overnight. High pressure aloft will return on Sunday, then remain
over the great basin during the first half of the upcoming week.

An upper level trough will move east across the region on
thanksgiving day.

Short term (until 00z Wednesday) The axis of the upper trough
working south from the northern rockies has reached far northern
utah late this afternoon. The associated surface cold front and
trailing near 700mb baroclinic zone over central utah will
continue to work south through the remainder of the state tonight.

Precip has become less organized and more showery near the 700mb
baroclinic zone this afternoon. This trend of decreasing precip
will continue into this evening as the upper jet shears east and
weakens the mid-level trough, while the low-level baroclinic zone
continues south and becomes dissociated from the mid-level
support. Rapid drying behind the upper trough will lead to
clearing skies north-to-south with some fog developing up north
where precip was observed today.

The upper ridge currently over the eastern pacific will gain
amplitude as it shifts east over the western CONUS beginning
Sunday. This ridge will remain the dominant feature over the
forecast area early in the upcoming week.

A shortwave embedded in the southern branch of the jet will
undercut the ridge on Tuesday. Models guidance takes this feature
east across arizona with little in the way of dynamic thermal
support to generate enough lift for any significant precip, even
across northern arizona. Suspect that mid high-level moisture will
advect north ahead of this feature and bring some cloudiness and
slightly cooler temps to southern utah on Tuesday.

Long term (after 00z Wednesday) Upstream ridge amplification
(between 170-180w) during the midweek period will set the stage for
a more progressive northern branch pattern across the western conus
thereafter... At least briefly. Two known troughs to focus on, the
latter potentially more notable for post-thanksgiving travel early
next weekend. It's too early for to much detail ATTM however.

To begin the period an elongated trough off the west coast will
eject inland by a deepening upstream short wave over the gulf of ak,
splitting on shore as it does so. The southern split will be
weakening while trending positively tilted as it translates across
the eastern great basin region on thanksgiving. This is the first.

Do note fairly deep moisture with this, and activation of a southern
branch jet streak oriented over the 4-corners region... So even with
a sub-par baroclinic structure, dynamic lift looks sufficient for
fairly widespread (but generally light) precip focused with trough
axis passage for the holiday. Modest CAA through the mid levels will
support lowering snow levels, though most likely remaining above
valley levels (especially along the wasatch front).

The aforementioned gulf of alaska trough will then have the means
to translate SE into the region late Fri into sat, this as the
pacific ridge axis shifts east towards 140w. Globals continue to
differ in detail regarding trough evolution amplitude, with the
operational GFS more progressive less amplified. This said,
significant spread remains owing to the GEFS ensemble mean
pointing more closely towards the slower more amplified ec.

Trended towards the latter this forecast. With the given track and
a more pronounced tap to a colder northern latitude airmass, do
see potential for lower valley elevation snowfall event (but
magnitude?). Something to watch, time will tell.

Aviation Ceilings will continue to lift scatter out as the
afternoon progresses in the wake of earlier showers. Expect sub-
7k.Ft ceilings to erode by about 23-01z. Northerly winds will
prevail before shifting to the southeast around 09-11z. Although
there is some uncertainty regarding overnight wind direction, speeds
should be light enough to limit operational impacts.

Slc watches warnings advisories
Ut... None.

Wy... None.

Short term... Conger
long term... Merrill
aviation... Carr
for more information from noaa's national weather service visit...

http: weather.Gov saltlakecity
for frequently asked questions about the area forecast discussion
visit...

http: weather.Gov saltlakecity general afd_faqs.Php


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Salt Lake City, Salt Lake City International Airport, UT17 mi32 minNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F30°F60%1021.4 hPa

Wind History from SLC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW3CalmCalmSE6SE5E5CalmSW4E3SE4E5S3S5CalmCalmW5CalmNW5NW3N6N4W5NW7
1 day agoW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE5CalmSE4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W4NW6NW4W4
2 days agoNW5CalmCalmN3CalmSW3S3CalmCalmS5SE5SE5SE5SE3CalmSE4SE3S4Calm4NW3NW6NW6W6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Salt Lake City, UT (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Salt Lake City, UT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.