Friday, November24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Center Moriches, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:28PM Friday November 24, 2017 2:14 AM EST (07:14 UTC) Moonrise 12:27PMMoonset 10:46PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 955 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Overnight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to around 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ300 955 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will move slowly off the coast through Friday. This will be followed by a cold front late Saturday. High pressure will then follow through Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Center Moriches, NY
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location: 40.78, -72.78     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 240607
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
107 am est Fri nov 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will move slowly off the coast through Friday.

This will be followed by a cold front late Saturday. High
pressure will then follow through Tuesday. A cold front will
move across the area Wednesday followed by high pressure
Thursday.

Near term through today
Mid level trough axis moves across late this evening with some
associated mid level clouds, mostly across the interior
locations. Expect these to diminish later overnight into
daybreak Friday. With light winds, still expecting some decent
radiational cooling. Used 18z mav guidance to better reflect
these lows overnight with more of a range from low 20s to low
30s.

High pressure will remain centered over the mid atlantic states with
a W flow near 10 mph tonight. Temperatures will remain 5 to 10
degrees below normal.

Short term tonight through 6 pm Saturday
Fair weather with increasing temperatures are on tap for the local
area.

Low level warm air advection will develop by Friday afternoon and
increase Friday night as a strong low pressure system moves east
across southeast canada, north of new england.

Southwest winds will transport warmer air northeast across the
region, bringing near normal temperatures during the day Friday then
above normal temperatures Friday night.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
A cold front will be approaching from the ohio valley Saturday.

Models do not have a significant amount of precipitation
forecast with this frontal passage. Temperatures on Saturday
will be in the low 50s along the coast and mid to upper 40s
inland. Pressure gradient will increase behind the front on
Saturday night and into Sunday, which will increase winds to 15
to 20 mph. Temperatures Saturday night will be in the mid to
upper 30 to near 40.

High pressure builds in on Sunday into Tuesday. Temperatures in the
mid to upper 40s Sunday and Monday will begin to rise into the
low to mid 50s by Tuesday, which is above normal for this time
of year.

A cold front is forecast to move across the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Moisture associated with this front is expected to
dissipate as it approaches our area and the frontal passage may
end up being precipitation free. Even with the frontal passage,
temperatures are forecast to be above normal into Wednesday.

High pressure builds back on Thursday with temperatures in the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure will continue to build to the south today, moving
east tonight..

Vfr through the TAF period. Wnw-w flow gradually becomes SW s
this afternoon. Wind speeds remaining below 10 kt.

Outlook for 06z Saturday through Tuesday
Late Friday night Vfr.

Saturday-Saturday night Low chance of -shra and MVFR with frontal
passage Sat eve. Windshift from SW to NW late
afternoon evening. Gusts 20-30kt develop late Saturday night
with isolated rain snow showers.

Sunday BecomingVFR. NW winds g20-30kt.

Sunday night-Monday Vfr. W winds g15-25kt.

Tuesday Vfr. SW winds g15-25kt.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain tranquil through the day Friday.

The next chance for reaching SCA levels will be Friday night and
Saturday across the atlantic ocean coastal waters as SW winds
increase to 15-20 kt and seas rebuild to around 5 feet.

Below small craft advisory level conditions continue on all
non-ocean zones on Saturday with small craft conditions likely
over the ocean waters through Sunday behind a frontal system.

As high pressure builds across the area waters Sunday night into
Monday seas will improve. Ocean seas may builds towards small
craft conditions again Tuesday into Tuesday night ahead of next
frontal system and remain above small craft conditions through
the middle of the week.

Hydrology
No significant hydrologic impacts are expected through the next
7 days.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Gc fig
near term... Gc jm
short term... Gc
long term... Fig
aviation... Jm nv
marine... Gc fig
hydrology... Gc fig


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 17 mi44 min W 7.8 G 9.7 39°F 44°F26°F
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 26 mi74 min WNW 9.7 G 14 43°F 1 ft
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi44 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 34°F 51°F1016.9 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 35 mi44 min WSW 1 G 2.9 34°F 51°F1016.2 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 42 mi84 min WNW 9.7 G 16 44°F 56°F4 ft1017.1 hPa (+0.0)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi85 min W 7.8 G 12 39°F 25°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 47 mi44 min 40°F 51°F1016.1 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY5 mi78 minN 010.00 miFair29°F25°F85%1017 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY9 mi21 minN 010.00 miFair22°F18°F85%1017.3 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY17 mi78 minWSW 310.00 miFair30°F23°F75%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from HWV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4NW7N8NW6CalmW4NW8NW8W86NW5NW5NW5W4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3
1 day agoW5S3SW6S5S4SW4S5S3NW5NW7N8NW7NW16
G25
NW15NW16
G23
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NW12NW10
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2 days agoSW5SW6SW5SW5SW3SW6SW10S13
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SW7SW5SW7SW5SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Moriches Inlet, Long Island, New York
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Moriches Inlet
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:45 AM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:24 AM EST     2.78 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:26 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 04:36 PM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:46 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:06 PM EST     2.35 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.40.90.60.60.81.21.82.32.62.82.72.41.81.10.70.40.40.61.11.622.22.3

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:49 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:52 AM EST     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:27 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 10:01 AM EST     1.22 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:25 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:11 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:25 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 04:28 PM EST     -1.35 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:26 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:45 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:35 PM EST     1.00 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.5-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.5-0.20.30.91.21.10.80.2-0.6-1.1-1.3-1.3-1-0.6-0.30.40.91

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.