Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Secaucus, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 6:11PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 12:55 PM EDT (16:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:47AMMoonset 6:00PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1237 Pm Edt Wed Oct 18 2017
This afternoon..W winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1237 Pm Edt Wed Oct 18 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will settle to the south of the waters and remain in control through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Secaucus, NJ
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location: 40.79, -74.09     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 181635
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1235 pm edt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain in control through the weekend, with a
prolonged period of fair weather. An approaching cold front will
bring a chance of rain for the beginning of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Minor updates this afternoon to reflect current wind trends with
a slightly slower arrival of the sea breeze. Otherwise forecast
remains on track.

Skies will be sunny as surface high pressure dominates and as an
upper trough passes east, with rising heights aloft. A
subsidence inversion between 875-900 mb will limit mixing, still
with warm air advection temps should reach the upper 60s and
lower 70s this afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
As the upper ridge passes east, WAA aloft ahead of another
transient upper trough should lead to some high clouds late
tonight into Thu morning, with the sky remaining mostly clear
overall. Lows tonight should be mostly in the 40s and 50s, with
only some isold upper 30s well inland.

The subsidence inversion associated with the sfc high as it
sinks to the south will be a little stronger, with mixing only
to 900-925 mb. This despite plenty of sunshine will yield temps
only a little warmer than those expected for today, reaching
70-75, about 10 degrees above average for this time of year.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
High pressure will continue to dominate through Saturday. The
high drifts offshore late Saturday, with return flow developing
for the second half of the weekend. This will produce an
increase in humidity across the area, particularly from long
island to connecticut. Large diurnal spreads of 20-25 degrees
through Saturday are likely due to the dry air mass. High
temperatures will remain several degrees above average.

Southwesterly flow will pick up Monday and Tuesday, as the area
starts to get squeezed from an approaching cold front to the
west, and high pressure over the atlantic. The potential exists
for the gulf of mexico to get tapped with this excess moisture
getting transported into the forecast area. Monday and Tuesday
could be quite humid as a result. As far as actual rain chances,
there are two main shots to contend with. The first is with the
approach of a residual convective boundary racing ahead of the
main system. Both the GFS and ECMWF have this feature. This has
the potential to produce locally heavy showers as it interacts
with the deepening moisture on Monday. As the main upper level
system gets here Tuesday or slightly later, this produces
significant lift and therefore a solid round of moderate to
heavy rain. Both the ECMWF and GFS again are pointing in the
same direction. The only limiting factor would be if the leading
boundary shunts the deeper moisture out to sea. This however in
not what the models are currently signaling.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
High pressure builds southeast of the region through the taf
period with a high confidence ofVFR continuing.

The wind forecast is moderate confidence due some uncertainty
on when W flow becomes more sw-s with sea breeze development
mid-late afternoon and how far north the sea breeze moves. Wind
speeds stay 10 kt or less through the TAF period.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information... Including hourly TAF wind component fcsts
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 7 mi37 min 62°F 66°F1027.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 9 mi37 min SSW 1 G 2.9 62°F 1027.6 hPa
MHRN6 11 mi37 min SW 5.1 G 7
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 11 mi37 min 66°F 66°F1026.8 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 17 mi37 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 63°F 65°F1027.4 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 20 mi40 min S 5.8 G 7.8 65°F 44°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 23 mi37 min W 7 G 8.9 60°F 62°F1027.9 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 29 mi66 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 63°F 47°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi65 min WNW 7.8 G 9.7 60°F 65°F2 ft1026.8 hPa (+0.5)45°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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G17
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W9
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NW16
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SW16
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G21
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G24
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ5 mi64 minN 410.00 miFair67°F43°F42%1026.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY6 mi64 minVar 410.00 miFair64°F42°F45%1026.7 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ7 mi64 minVar 310.00 miA Few Clouds67°F42°F41%1026.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY11 mi64 minWNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds65°F42°F43%1026.7 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ12 mi62 minN 010.00 miFair64°F46°F52%1027.5 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ17 mi70 minWNW 510.00 miClear66°F44°F46%1026.7 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY19 mi64 minNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds67°F42°F41%1027 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4NW4Calm5S4S7S4S4S7SW6SW8S4S3SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmSW3SW3SW5SW33N4
1 day agoNW13
G20
N10NW14
G20
NW12
G21
NW11
G19
N8NW11
G16
N8N10N12
G20
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NW7N7N5N4CalmN4N4NW3N4N4NE8N5E4
2 days agoSW11SW13S13SW9SW12SW14
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SW12SW10SW11SW12SW8NW10NW6NW13
G19
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G18
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G19
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G19
NW10

Tide / Current Tables for Fish Creek, Berrys Creek, Hackensack River, New Jersey
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Fish Creek
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:46 AM EDT     -0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:46 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:58 AM EDT     6.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:08 PM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:14 PM EDT     6.18 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.20.1-0.30.62.13.75.16.16.564.83.31.90.6-0.10.31.73.24.65.66.25.94.9

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:56 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:10 AM EDT     1.84 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:55 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:55 AM EDT     -1.65 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:19 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:29 PM EDT     1.82 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:08 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:05 PM EDT     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.3-10.11.31.81.71.50.9-0.1-0.9-1.5-1.7-1.6-1.3-0.40.91.71.81.510.1-0.7-1.3-1.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.