Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saddle Rock, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:27AMSunset 8:15PM Thursday May 24, 2018 10:09 AM EDT (14:09 UTC) Moonrise 3:14PMMoonset 3:07AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 728 Am Edt Thu May 24 2018
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon..SE winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 728 Am Edt Thu May 24 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will dominate the weather through Saturday. A backdoor cold front pushes across the area Saturday night into Sunday morning, becoming nearly stationary just south and west of the area through memorial day.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saddle Rock, NY
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location: 40.81, -73.8     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241133
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
733 am edt Thu may 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will dominate the weather through Saturday. A
backdoor cold front pushes across the area Saturday night into
Sunday morning, becoming nearly stationary just south and west
of the area through memorial day. Another cold front follows on
Tuesday with high pressure building in behind.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Minor changes to forecast based on latest observations.

Heights will gradually rise today as a longwave trough to the
east shifts further into the northern atlantic and ridging to
the west builds.

Sfc high pressure builds from the west today with just some thin
cirrus and perhaps a few CU this aftn from convergence along
seabreeze boundaries. Highs will range from mid 70s to around
80 across much of the tri-state area. Lower 80s are expected in
metro ny nj.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
Upper level ridging over the great lakes will flatten through
fri night as it traverses eastward as a result of vortexes
remaining over the labrador sea and northern greenland and a
shortwave trough over the western canadian provinces tracking
east.

At the sfc, a return flow develops tonight as high pres shifts
off the new england mid atlantic coasts and continues slowly
into the western atlantic through Fri night. This will result
in an increasingly warm and humid airmass. Expect mostly clear
skies with just some cirrus and perhaps a few CU Fri aftn early
eve. There is also the potential for stratus mainly Fri night
(2nd night of southerly flow) across eastern LI and SE ct. Have
hinted at this in the forecast with partly cloudy skies
developing Fri night. Patchy fog is also a possibility mainly in
rural areas both tonight and Fri night.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
A broad upper level ridge across the southern two thirds of the
country will get suppressed a bit south through early next week
as a short wave trough progresses across the great lakes and
northeast states. Model differences exist with the magnitude of
the latter feature, which sends a weak cold front across the
region Tuesday. In the case of the gfs, the boundary more or
less washes out as frontal wave passes to the south.

The better agreement though comes with sending a backdoor cold
front across the region Saturday night into Sunday morning,
putting an end to a string of days well above normal. Showers
and thunderstorms are also seeming more likely Saturday night
into Sunday morning as the front interacts with modest
instability, but a weakly sheared environment.

Showers will likely linger into Sunday, but chances should
diminish as high pressure builds southward across new england.

Sufficient overrunning ahead of the approaching upper trough
will be worthy of keeping the mention of showers in through
memorial day. There could even be some scattered thunderstorms
Sunday afternoon west of nyc, depending on how far to the south
and west the boundary stalls.

Additionally, with an easterly flow, temperatures continue to
trend down Sunday and Monday. It may be a bit more tricky Monday
with breaks in the cloud cover as the high weakens, especially
for locations across the interior.

Warmer weather then returns for the Tuesday through Wednesday
timeframe as high pressure builds both aloft and at the surface.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
High pressure builds over the region today.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period, however there's
a low to moderate chance that ifr stratus shifts into kgon this
afternoon and a low chance that it then spreads into kisp kbdr this
evening.

Nnw winds this morning will shift around to local seabreezes in the
afternoon, except kswf. Speeds around 10 kt.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 2 mi51 min NE 2.9 G 2.9 68°F 58°F1021.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 14 mi51 min 71°F 59°F1020.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 18 mi51 min N 7 G 8 70°F 1020.8 hPa
MHRN6 22 mi51 min N 11 G 14
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 22 mi51 min 71°F 62°F1020.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi39 min WNW 3.9 G 5.8 61°F 58°F1020.2 hPa57°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi57 min N 6 G 8 70°F 55°F1019.2 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY5 mi78 minNNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds72°F46°F40%1020.2 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY9 mi78 minNNW 310.00 miFair69°F51°F53%1020.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY10 mi78 minN 910.00 miA Few Clouds73°F46°F40%1020.4 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ14 mi78 minN 710.00 miFair72°F46°F41%1020 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY19 mi73 minNW 1010.00 miFair69°F46°F44%1019.7 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi78 minNNE 810.00 miA Few Clouds73°F48°F41%1020.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY21 mi76 minN 710.00 miFair71°F44°F38%1019.9 hPa

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW10NE7N9NW8N9NW8NW6NW7NW8NW11NW9NW14W11NW6NW4NW6NW7NW5NW5NW9NW4NW5NW6N9
1 day agoS7S6S13S9S6CalmNE5NE6NE4NE6NE5NE4E3NE5NE3NE5CalmS6CalmCalmCalmW3NW3NW6
2 days agoNE7E534S8S10
G16
S12S11S9S9S8S7S4SW4SW4S5S5S4S3S5S4CalmCalmS5

Tide / Current Tables for Throgs Neck, New York
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Throgs Neck
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Thu -- 02:56 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:51 AM EDT     7.21 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:21 PM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM EDT     7.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.40.50.10.92.956.26.97.26.54.831.70.800.324.36.17.17.77.56.1

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:58 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:24 AM EDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:02 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:24 PM EDT     0.96 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:49 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.710.70.40.1-0.1-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.4-0.2-00.40.90.90.50.2-0-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.