Thursday, March23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Quogue, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 7:08PM Thursday March 23, 2017 4:17 AM EDT (08:17 UTC) Moonrise 4:06AMMoonset 2:27PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ350 Moriches Inlet Ny To Montauk Point Ny Out 20 Nm- 406 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft early...subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the evening... Then 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft...building to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt...diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft...subsiding to 3 to 4 ft in the afternoon. Chance of light rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely.
Sun..E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne. Seas around 4 ft. Rain likely in the daytime...then chance of rain in the evening.
ANZ300 406 Am Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds today, and passes to the east tonight. A warm front moves across the region Friday. The warm front north of the region Friday night and Saturday will move back southwestward Saturday night into Sunday. A weak low develops along the front and the low and front eventually move east of the region by Monday night of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quogue, NY
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location: 40.82, -72.56     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 230803
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
403 am edt Thu mar 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds today, and passes to the east tonight. A
warm front moves across the region Friday. The warm front
north of the region Friday night and Saturday will move back
southwestward Saturday night into Sunday. A weak low develops
along the front and the low and front eventually move east of
the region by Monday night and Tuesday of next week. Another
cold front approaches for next Wednesday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
The center of high pressure builds to our west, and passes to the
south this afternoon. Upper trough tracks further to the east.

A dry, chilly day is expected, with lighter NW winds than what was
observed yesterday. A few gusts are possible in the NW flow, but
winds will diminish this afternoon and back to the west as the high
tracks south.

Temperatures, after a cold start to the day, will rebound through
the 30s, but will peak about 10 degrees below normal, upper 30s to
lower 40s.

Plenty of sunshine is expected.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday/
Upper ridge to the west flattens tonight and Friday as closed low
moves across the mid section of the country. Surface high pressure
passes east of the area.

A warm front then approaches Friday morning, with a weak shortwave
riding along the top of the ridge, passing across the area Friday.

Winds remain light tonight as they become variable or light s/sw.

With cold airmass in place, temperatures will fall into the 20s
and 30s as high clouds increase. Some locations may radiate
into the teens. Still quite cold.

Increasing moisture riding over the top of the flattening ridge will
approach Friday morning. Light precip associated with warm air
advection is anticipated. Expect a brief period of light
precipitation to push through, with higher coverage NW zones, and
less SE zones per model consensus.

As for ptype, this could be problematic. Depending on when precip
moves in, looks like shortly after 12z, a wintry mix is possible.

Snow, sleet and freezing rain is a good bet, especially away from
the coast. Again, depending on precip onset.

Temps near the coast should be warm enough for plain rain. Qpf
should be under a tenth of an inch, so this is not a big event. But,
slick travel is possible as sfc/road temps may be cold enough for
some light icing.

Long term /Friday night through Wednesday/
Mid levels transition from zonal flow Friday night through Saturday
night to ridging Sunday, which will be followed by an approaching
shortwave on the back end of the ridge. The axis of this trough
moves across on Monday. Behind this shortwave, more quasi-zonal flow
will be established. There will be a larger shortwave approaching
from the northwest for the middle of next week.

At the surface, Friday night through Saturday will be when the
region is in the warm sector. The warm front will be north of the
region. Then, the front will start to shift southwestward, coming
back through the region as a back door cold front Sunday. The front
will stay west of the region and high pressure will stay well east
of the region going through Sunday evening. For late Sunday night,
the front will slide back east with weak low pressure developing
along it. The weak low and front stay near the region Monday and
finally move east of the region Monday night and Tuesday. Another
cold front approaches for the middle of next week.

Overall, an unsettled weather pattern sets up leading to less
diurnal temperature range as the airmass becomes more maritime from
an increasing easterly flow with rounds of light to perhaps moderate
rain at times.

Temperatures are warmest on Saturday with area in the warm sector as
highs are forecast to range from the low 50s to low 60s. Sunday
looks to be the coolest day in the long term with a back door cold
front moving in as highs that day range from the low to mid 40s.

Lows at night through the long term are pretty consistent, in the
upper 30s to low 30s for a majority of the area.

Aviation /08z Thursday through Monday/
Vfr through the TAF period with a mainly clear sky.

Nw winds 15-20kt with gusts 25kt will slowly diminish overnight.

Gusts may die off for a short period for most terminals, with
the exception of the nyc terminals. Winds will pick up again
for a few hours late morning and early afternoon Thursday, then
likely drop off in the evening as high pressure settles across
the area.

Clouds increase late in the TAF period as low pressure passes north
of the region.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http://

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 23 mi47 min NNW 16 G 21 25°F 2 ft
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 28 mi87 min 25°F 42°F6 ft1030.1 hPa (+1.7)7°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 36 mi47 min 24°F 38°F1030.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 37 mi47 min N 7 G 11 23°F 39°F1031.4 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 41 mi47 min NNW 5.1 G 8.9 22°F 1031.2 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 42 mi32 min NW 11 G 14 21°F -5°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 45 mi47 min NNW 2.9 G 6 21°F 40°F1030.2 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N5
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NW17
G22
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G31
NW26
G34
N28
G37
N22
G30
N27
G38
NW23
G34
N28
G37
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G34
N22
G31
N18
G27
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G32
N13
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G26
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S3
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NE1
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G14
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SE3
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SW2
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N3
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N9
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N11
G16
NE8
G11
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G18
N13
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NE6
G11
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G16
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G11
NW5
NE2
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N6
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G6
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W1
NE4
SE2

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY4 mi24 minN 10 G 1410.00 miFair22°F-2°F33%1031.7 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY16 mi21 minNNW 11 G 1910.00 miFair22°F1°F40%1031.6 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7NW14
G20
W15
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W13
G24
NW20
G31
NW23
G29
NW23
G33
NW23
G36
NW24
G47
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G36
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1 day agoCalmW3N3CalmCalmNW4NW4N64SW8SW10SW6SW10SW6SW5SW5SW6CalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmNW3
2 days agoNW8N7NW6N10N12
G19
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G20
NW16
G21
N15
G24
N15
G25
NW16
G22
NW12
G18
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G20
NW8NW8N4NW3NW3CalmCalmNW3NW6NW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Bay entrance, Shinnecock Bay, New York
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Shinnecock Bay entrance
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Thu -- 12:31 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:10 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:25 PM EDT     2.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.40.81.31.82.22.32.11.81.410.70.40.20.40.81.41.8221.81.51.10.7

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:07 AM EDT     1.20 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:41 AM EDT     -1.40 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:25 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:44 PM EDT     1.04 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:46 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:58 PM EDT     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.40.20.91.21.10.90.3-0.4-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.1-0.8-0.30.4110.90.5-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.4-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.