Thursday, November22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Medford, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 4:29PM Thursday November 22, 2018 6:04 AM EST (11:04 UTC) Moonrise 5:32PMMoonset 6:47AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 319 Am Est Thu Nov 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Rain.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of drizzle after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of rain and drizzle in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the evening.
ANZ300 319 Am Est Thu Nov 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in through Friday then shifts offshore Friday night. A complex frontal system approaches Saturday and moves through Saturday night into Sunday morning. Weak high pressure then briefly follows through Sunday night. Another frontal system then affects the waters Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Medford, NY
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location: 40.85, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 220841
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
341 am est Thu nov 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds in through Friday then shifts offshore Friday
night. A complex frontal system approaches Saturday and moves
through Saturday night into Sunday morning. Weak high pressure then
briefly follows through Sunday night. Another frontal system then
affects the region Monday and Monday night, and possibly Tuesday as
well. Weak high pressure returns Wednesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure builds in from the NW with mostly sunny and breezy
conditions. Record low maximum temperatures are expected today with
highs only in the 20s and about 25 degrees below normal. Wind chills
start in the single digits this morning and warm up into the lower
teens this afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
Winds diminish through the night as the axis of high pressure shifts
east, almost reaching us by sunrise. This combined with a clear sky
and an anomalously cold airmass will allow temperatures to radiate
all the way down into the singe digits across the northernmost
suburbs and the pine barrens region. Lows ranging mostly 10-20
elsewhere. Record lows should be approached or surpassed for most of
the climate sites. See the climate section below for details.

Deep-layered ridging on Friday will continue dry and mostly clear
conditions. Although temperatures moderate, highs will still be
around 20 degrees below normal. A southerly flow and cirrus will
then prevent Friday night's lows from dropping as low as they will
tonight, but still in the 20's for most locations.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
Low pressure approaches on Saturday and eventually passes over or
nearby us Saturday night, exiting east early Sunday morning. Light
rain chances begin Saturday afternoon, then with deeper moisture and
good lift from a shortwave and approaching low level jet, moderate
rainfall will move through the area Saturday night and should end by
daybreak for most if not all of the tri-state area. Brief ridging
otherwise keeps Sunday dry. Brief heavy downpours and a thunderstorm
cannot be ruled out Saturday night, but the progressive nature of
the system would appear to be a limiting factor for flooding
potential. Best chances for at least minor flooding would be across
urban poor drainage areas, and the NE nj river basins based on 6-
hour flash flood guidance. Highs for both Saturday and Sunday will
return to near normal.

With the progressive flow in place, there will be only a brief break
in the precipitation chances before the next northern stream
shortwave amplifies into the northeast Sunday night into Monday.

This upper low closes off within the negative trough, and
precipitation may linger into Tuesday, depending on how quickly the
upper trough moves to the northeast. High pressure then looks
to be strong enough to keep Wednesday dry.

Aviation 09z Thursday through Monday
Vfr through the TAF period as high pressure builds in from the
west through Friday.

Nw winds generally 15-20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt possible
through about 21z today. Winds diminish thereafter.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 11 mi35 min NW 18 G 21 25°F 41°F13°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 24 mi41 min NNW 5.1 G 9.9 20°F 50°F1027 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 27 mi35 min NNW 23 G 31 23°F 51°F3 ft
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 30 mi35 min N 14 G 19 19°F 49°F1027.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 32 mi75 min NNW 16 G 25 24°F 1 ft11°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 39 mi35 min WNW 16 G 21 48°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 41 mi35 min N 19 G 22 24°F 46°F1029 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 42 mi75 min NNW 21 G 27 28°F 53°F6 ft1026 hPa (+2.3)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY6 mi69 minNW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy23°F5°F46%1026.1 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY8 mi69 minNNW 710.00 miFair22°F5°F48%1026.2 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY20 mi72 minNW 17 G 2610.00 miA Few Clouds23°F6°F48%1026.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY23 mi72 minNNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds21°F3°F47%1027 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT24 mi73 minNW 910.00 miFair20°F6°F55%1026.6 hPa

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE3N5N5N9N8N7NW8NW12NW13NW12NW13NW8W5W8W6W6NW11
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2 days agoCalmCalmSE3SW5SW6SW10SW10W9SW9SW9N5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE4NE4E5NE5E4NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Patchogue, Long Island, New York
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Patchogue
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:20 AM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:47 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:01 AM EST     0.85 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:04 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:27 PM EST     0.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.30.20-0-00.10.40.60.80.80.80.70.50.30.10-0.100.20.40.60.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Sinai Harbor, Long Island Sound, New York
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Mount Sinai Harbor
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:07 AM EST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:47 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:47 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:03 AM EST     7.05 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:31 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 PM EST     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:31 PM EST     6.32 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.42.91.50.500.41.73.55.26.57.16.65.43.82.10.7-0.3-0.40.423.75.36.26.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.