Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Passaic, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 7:15PM Friday March 24, 2017 7:54 PM EDT (23:54 UTC) Moonrise 4:53AMMoonset 3:35PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 716 Pm Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less...then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of light rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less...then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of light rain. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of light rain or drizzle.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft...subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Light rain likely.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain likely.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt...diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Wed..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 716 Pm Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A back door cold front approaches tonight...and moves through the waters Saturday. Low pressure gradually approaches from the west Sunday...and moves across on Monday. Another frontal system may impact the region Tuesday and Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Passaic, NJ
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location: 40.85, -74.12     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 242219
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
619 pm edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
A cold front over southern canada will drift south through the
tri-state region on Saturday. An unsettled weather pattern
continues Sunday into the middle of next week. Cold front to our
south returns to the region Sunday night into Monday and moves
offshore Monday night. Another frontal system approaches on
Tuesday and moves across Tuesday night into Wednesday. High
pressure returns Thursday ahead of the next front on Friday.

Near term /until 6 am Saturday morning/
The rain has ended across the region this afternoon as the bulk
of the theta-e advection has occurred.

Some moisture around 6000 ft remains tonight, but there is no
lift in that moist layer. Despite some colder cloud tops on
infrared satellite over pennsylvania, there is no rainfall
occurring. With the models supporting a dry forecast through the
overnight as well, the weather has been kept dry.

A broad blend of the model data has been used for temperatures,
with mild readings expected due to southwesterly flow and cloud
cover.

Short term /6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night/
A cold front over southern ontario will track south through the
area by late Saturday morning into the afternoon. The timing is
pretty consistent between the NAM and gfs, so the NAM was used
in the grids. This translates into falling temperatures across
the northern half of the forecast area by afternoon, with the
fall in temperatures later in the day across new jersey zones.

Water vapor indicates a moisture stream from the subtropical
pacific into the southeastern united states. This will allow for
some deeper moisture to penetrate into the region during the day
and through the night. The upper jet will be passing from
southern canada into northern new england at this time,
producing some broad lift. With these factors combining, light
rain has been forecast for the area mainly Saturday afternoon
and Saturday night. Easterly component low level flow could
allow for some fog or drizzle development particularly
overnight. Patchy fog has been maintained in the forecast along
with the light rain as a result.

The downscaled NAM was used for temperatures Saturday to account
for the cold frontal passage. A blend of guidance was used
Saturday night.

There is a low chance that temperatures approach freezing late
Saturday night which could result in some pockets of interior
icing. The probability is low at this time, so it has not been
included in this forecast.

Long term /Sunday through Friday/
Unsettled, progressive weather pattern will persist from Sunday
through the upcoming week. Deterministic models and ensembles are in
general agreement with the synoptic scale, with differences arising
in the timing and amplitude of several shortwaves to move across.

Backdoor front will be well to the south on Sunday with high
pressure building south of out of quebec. Warm air overrunning the
stable, cool layer at the surface will keep low clouds throughout
the day and the chance for light rain or drizzle.

Upper level ridging will be in place, so there is not much support
for widespread precipitation. Temperatures will be held down in the
lower and middle 40s due to onshore flow and cloudy conditions.

Cutoff low over the central states on Sunday will open and lift
towards the great lakes Sunday night and then continue to dampen out
as it moves towards the region on Monday. Upper ridge axis gradually
moves offshore allowing for better lift for more widespread
rainfall. Pops increase to likely for much of the area late Sunday
night into Monday morning with categorical across the north closer
to the shortwave energy and best lift.

Shortwave axis quickly moves east Monday afternoon and evening,
which will take the lingering front to the south and east.

Brief ridging moves across Monday night with another shortwave on
its heels for Tuesday. This is where deterministic runs and
ensembles begin to diverge further as the latest 12z ECMWF flattens
this next shortwave out as it passes whereas the 12z GFS and the
gefs are more amplified, bringing a weak low pressure across the
region. Have capped pops off in the chance range due to the
uncertainty on the amplitude of this wave. In either case, mostly
cloudy to overcast skies continue.

An amplifying shortwave across southeast canada sends a shortwave
across new england on Wednesday, but frontal boundary should be well
offshore at this time, so improving conditions are expected. High
pressure than follows on Thursday before another frontal system
approaches for Friday.

Near seasonable temperatures are forecast on Monday with
temperatures returning to above normal levels Tuesday into
Wednesday. Seasonable temperatures are currently expected for the
end of the week.

Aviation /22z Friday through Wednesday/
A cold front approaches from the north tonight, then presses to
the south Saturday morning. High pressure builds down from the
north Saturday afternoon.

Vfr through at least 6z. MVFR conditions develop late
tonight/early Saturday morning from ne-sw across the tri-state.

Exception... Ifr or lower is probable at kgon Saturday morning.

S-sw winds 10-15kt with occasional gusts to 20-25kt early this
evening. Winds diminish to under 10 kt this evening, becoming
light and variable at non-city terminals. Winds become NE at
around 10kt late Saturday morning/early Saturday afternoon.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 12 mi55 min 54°F 41°F1019.6 hPa (-2.0)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 14 mi55 min WSW 8.9 G 11 56°F 1020.1 hPa (-1.7)
MHRN6 15 mi55 min SW 12 G 17
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 15 mi55 min 56°F 41°F1019.7 hPa (-1.6)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 19 mi55 min 11 G 11 46°F 39°F1019.5 hPa (-1.9)
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 27 mi55 min WSW 7 G 8.9 52°F 41°F1019.1 hPa (-1.6)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 30 mi70 min SSE 7.8 G 7.8 44°F 36°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 40 mi65 min SSW 19 G 23 45°F 42°F6 ft1020.1 hPa (-1.8)39°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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W5
SW4
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W1
W11
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G14
SW14
G18
SW12
G16
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G19
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G17
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G16
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G23
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G23
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G16
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G20
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1 day
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NW23
G28
NW20
G28
NW21
G28
NW15
G21
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G20
NW12
G18
N10
G14
NW11
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G15
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G13
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G16
W10
G14
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W11
G14
W5
W6
W6
N7
N6
W4
NW11
N17
G21
NW17
G25
NW18
G26
NW24
G31
NW29
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NW28
G40
NW24
G32
NW26
G36
NW25
G33
NW30
G38
NW24
G33
NW27
G37
NW22
G32
N21
G27
NW22
G28

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ4 mi64 minWSW 10 G 1710.00 miFair56°F36°F47%1019.4 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY9 mi64 minno data10.00 miFair56°F34°F44%1019.6 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ9 mi62 minVar 310.00 miFair54°F34°F47%1020.3 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ10 mi64 minSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy57°F35°F44%1019.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY14 mi64 minSSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F36°F55%1019.6 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ16 mi70 minWSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy54°F35°F51%1020 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY22 mi64 minS 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F39°F77%1020.4 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW11N33CalmNW5CalmCalmS346S6SW7
G17
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G17
S10
G19
S12
G21
S10
G18
SW12
G21
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G19
SW16SW8SW6W10
G17
1 day agoNW21
G34
N16
G26
N12
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NW13NW10NW11
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2 days agoNW8W4W4NW7N4CalmCalmNW8NW8NW10
G18
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G22
NW14
G19
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G34
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G37
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G32
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G30
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G30
NW22
G31
NW19
G37
N22
G31

Tide / Current Tables for East Rutherford, Passaic River, New Jersey
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East Rutherford
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:13 AM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:18 AM EDT     5.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:45 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:50 PM EDT     5.55 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.20.81.22.84.35.35.85.75.24.2321.20.50.41.53.24.55.35.55.24.43.32.2

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:28 AM EDT     1.79 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:57 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:11 AM EDT     -1.47 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:46 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:53 PM EDT     1.81 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:35 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:32 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:34 PM EDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.81.71.71.10.5-0-0.6-1.2-1.5-1.3-1-0.60.21.41.81.40.80.3-0.3-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.