Friday, February22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Aquebogue, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 5:35PM Friday February 22, 2019 12:10 PM EST (17:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:22PMMoonset 9:38AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 919 Am Est Fri Feb 22 2019
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sun night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt, diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 919 Am Est Fri Feb 22 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds from the great lakes through Saturday, then shifts east of new england Saturday night. A frontal system associated with strong low pressure tracking through the great lakes and southeast canada will impact the waters Saturday night and Sunday. High pressure then begins to build back into the area for Monday and Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aquebogue, NY
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location: 40.93, -72.58     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221426
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
926 am est Fri feb 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds in through Saturday. A deep low passing several
hundred miles northwest of the region will produce unsettled
weather across the area Saturday night and Sunday. A relatively
weak system may impact the area during the middle of next week.

Near term through Saturday
A plume of moisture associated with a subtropical jet will
bring extensive cirrus through the day. The region also lies in
the right entrance region of a 140-160 kt upper jet to the
northeast.

This cloud cover will be the main limiting factor for highs
today and also how much temperature drops tonight. Winds should
continue weakening today with a 1030s high building into the
region.

The 00z model suite suggests mainly a dry day on sat. As a result,
the timing of precip onset has been slowed in the forecast.

Best chance for rain before dark will be roughly south and west
of a line from fire island inlet to newburgh.

Short term Saturday night through Monday
Rain overspreads the entire area Sat ngt. With dewpoints starting
off in the 20s across the interior and a very weak sfc flow away
from the immediate coasts, some pockets of fzra are very possible
especially the NRN third of the cwa. The fzra has been included in
the fcst, and an advy would be needed if the event unfolds as
currently expected. Elsewhere, including nyc, all rain is expected
attm.

The rain tapers off on Sun from SW to ne. Temps approach 60 in nern
nj as the thermal ridge passes and a brief period of SW sfc flow
develops. The associated cdfnt will pass around the Sun eve time
period, kicking up winds and cooling temps down significantly. A
burst of advy lvl winds are possible behind the front, with the
windy wx continuing on mon. H85 winds around 55 kt in the GFS sun
eve.

Long term Monday night through Thursday
The 00z model data indicates that the long term will remain
generally fair and cool. The nbm with some adjustments was used for
temps. The GFS continues to indicate the passage of a sys around
wed. It looks to be a pacific canadian hybrid. The ECMWF is dry, but
the gem supports the gfs. Chance pops have been maintained in the
fcst, with mainly snow or rasn across the interior, and a better chc
to go over to all rain at the coast.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure builds from the great lakes through tonight
resulting inVFR conds.

Nw winds around 10 kt through 22z or so then diminish. Winds
will veer n-ne this evening and overnight.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can
be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 30 mi40 min NNE 16 G 20 39°F 38°F1028 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 33 mi80 min NW 16 G 18 39°F 40°F3 ft1027.1 hPa (+2.0)26°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 34 mi40 min 38°F 38°F1027.4 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi46 min NNW 8 G 15 40°F 36°F1027.9 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 37 mi45 min NNW 9.9 G 13 42°F 1026.4 hPa20°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 40 mi40 min N 5.1 G 9.9 43°F 39°F1027 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY7 mi17 minNNW 14 G 2010.00 miFair43°F21°F42%1028.1 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY17 mi74 minNNW 14 G 1910.00 miFair41°F21°F47%1027.9 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW13W16
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W8W6W8W6CalmCalmCalmW3NW3NW6W6NW5W6W4CalmNW3NW12
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1 day agoSE4S4CalmE3E3NE3E6E6SE7E6E7E6E7E10
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2 days agoNW17
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NW10NW10NW11CalmW6NW4NW3N4N5N5N5N5N6N6N9N6N5N3NE43E3E4

Tide / Current Tables for South Jamesport, Gt. Peconic Bay, New York
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South Jamesport
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:33 AM EST     3.18 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:35 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:06 AM EST     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:38 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:57 PM EST     3.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:30 PM EST     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.63.13.12.721.20.4-0.3-0.6-0.30.41.42.32.83.12.82.21.40.70-0.5-0.50.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:08 AM EST     -2.03 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:32 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:34 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EST     1.81 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:37 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:20 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:32 PM EST     -2.04 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:32 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:00 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:40 PM EST     1.78 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:50 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1-1.7-2-1.8-1.2-0.50.51.41.81.71.30.4-0.7-1.5-2-2-1.5-0.9-011.71.81.50.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.