Sunday, June25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Sea, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:28PM Sunday June 25, 2017 11:46 PM EDT (03:46 UTC) Moonrise 7:05AMMoonset 9:52PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 1040 Pm Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
Overnight..W winds around 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less. Isolated showers late this evening and early morning.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1040 Pm Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A series of weak low pressure troughs forming over land each day will move offshore each night through Tuesday night, while strong high pressure remains well to the southwest. The high will eventually build in on Wednesday. A warm front will approach on Thursday and move through at night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Sea, NY
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location: 40.95, -72.42     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 260302
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1102 pm edt Sun jun 25 2017

Synopsis
A weak low pressure troughs will form over land Monday and move
offshore Monday night. A cold front crosses the region Tuesday
afternoon with high pressure building to the south of the region
for Wednesday. A warm front crosses the region late Thursday
followed by warm, humid and unsettled weather on Friday though
the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Monday morning
The fcst is on track with no major changes made.

Latest satellite imagery shows upper low just north of lake
ontario with another shortwave that has kicked off more
scattered showers from bgm down to central pa. Extrapolation of
this suggests arrival is not until just after midnight. The
latest hrrr suggest new activity feeding off the mid level
instability and latest goes-16 visible data support at least
some of this with moderate CU seen over eastern pa. Sounding
shows all instability is below the -20 c level - so only
expecting showers. Have gone with a 20 to 30 pop for now.

Overnight lows fall into the 50s and 60s.

Short term 6 am Monday morning through Monday night
Another weak surface trough develops over the area Monday.

Aloft, heights fall to the west of the area as next shortwave
moves across the great lakes region.

Plenty of sunshine Monday morning, gives way to a some
afternoon clouds especially north and west of nyc. A few
isolated showers will again be possible across the interior.

Dry conditions are expected Monday night.

Temperatures on Monday will climb into the 70s and lower 80s.

Monday night, lows fall into the 50s and 60s.

Long term Tuesday through Sunday
Looks fairly dry with comfortable humidity and slightly below normal
temperatures through mid week. A warm front approaches on Thursday
as low pressure passes across southern canada. In its wake, a cold
front sags south into ny state on Friday. The front becomes
stationary near the region into the weekend - which appears will be
"unsettled."
upper trough axis approaches Tuesday, passing Tuesday night. Perhaps
a tad more instability Tuesday and trof pseudo cold FROPA triggers a
showers and perhaps a TS (instability is limited with dry mid
levels).

Wednesday is dry and then warm advection starts in on Thursday.

Frontal boundary in the region, or just north, on Friday and have
pops in for tsra. Looks to remain unsettled through the holiday
weekend at this time. Li's as low as -5 c with long narrow cape's
and pwat's over 2 inches in a unidirectional flow supports
potential for flash flooding - mainly in urban areas.

Temps come back to near seasonable on Thursday and then go above
Friday into the weekend. No heat issues foreseen though.

Aviation 03z Monday through Friday
High pressure will remain S of the region thru the TAF period.

Sw winds become light wnw overnight, and SW close to 10 kt by
mon afternoon, with coastal sea breeze development by 15z-16z.

An isold shra is possible thru 6z. Outside of any shwrs,VFR
thru the TAF period.

Outlook for 00z Tuesday through Friday
Monday night MainlyVFR. Coastal sea breezes. Slight chance
of an eve shower TSTM NW of nyc metros.

Tuesday MainlyVFR. Chance of a late day shower tstm.

Wednesday Vfr.

Thursday MainlyVFR. Chance of a late day shower TSTM mainly
north of the nyc metros and long island.

Friday MainlyVFR. Chance of a late day shower TSTM at kswf.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain below small craft levels through
Monday night. Ocean seas will likely build to SCA criteria late
Thursday and continue as such into Friday.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts expected through Thursday. There is potential
for localized flash flooding associated with summer convection
Friday through the weekend - mainly in urban areas. River flooding
is not anticipated.

Tides coastal flooding
Astronomical tides are running high, especially during the
nighttime high tide cycles.

Main area to watch would be across the nassau south shore bays,
where water levels should briefly touch or barely exceed minor
thresholds this evening. The times of high tide are from 9-11pm.

Equipment
Observations from kfrg (farmingdale, ny) are not available.

Observations from khpn (white plains ny) and khvn (new haven ct)
are being disseminated through backup methods. All is due to
an faa communication line outage. Return to service time is
unknown.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bc tongue
near term... Bc jmc tongue
short term... Bc
long term... Tongue
aviation... Jmc goodman
marine... Bc tongue
hydrology... Bc tongue
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 25 mi47 min 71°F 68°F1014 hPa (+0.0)
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 26 mi57 min 68°F 67°F3 ft1014.6 hPa (+0.3)65°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 33 mi47 min W 1.9 G 2.9 70°F 64°F1013.6 hPa (+0.0)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi47 min W 7 G 8 70°F 71°F1014.1 hPa (+0.3)
44069 39 mi62 min WSW 16 G 16 72°F 77°F67°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 43 mi47 min W 1.9 G 4.1 71°F 1013.4 hPa (+0.4)

Wind History for New London, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY13 mi54 minN 010.00 miFair61°F57°F87%1014.8 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW3CalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3S7S9SW11SW8S11
G15
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1 day agoSW9
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2 days agoS44SW6SW4SW6SW4SW56SW7SW9SW11SW11
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Tide / Current Tables for New Suffolk, Peconic Bays, New York
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New Suffolk
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:51 AM EDT     3.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:26 AM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:22 PM EDT     3.00 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:32 PM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.73.83.52.921.10.2-0.4-0.40.21.122.632.92.51.81.20.50-00.51.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:52 AM EDT     -2.14 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM EDT     1.63 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 10:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:06 PM EDT     -1.91 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:23 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:06 PM EDT     2.05 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.3-1.9-2.1-1.8-1.2-0.40.61.51.61.40.8-0.1-1-1.6-1.9-1.7-1.1-0.40.71.721.91.40.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.