Tuesday, June25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Laurel, NY

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:28PM Tuesday June 25, 2019 9:38 AM EDT (13:38 UTC) Moonrise 1:06AMMoonset 1:03PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 601 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Slight chance of tstms. Chance of showers early this morning, then showers late this morning and afternoon.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 601 Am Edt Tue Jun 25 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front moves across the waters today and will be followed by a cold front tonight. High pressure builds late this week, followed by a cold front Saturday. A cold front will pass through on Saturday. High pressure builds behind the front.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Laurel, NY
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location: 40.95, -72.51     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 251125
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
725 am edt Tue jun 25 2019

Synopsis
A warm front moves through the area this morning, followed by a cold
front tonight. High pressure builds late this week, followed by
a cold front Saturday. A cold front will pass through on
Saturday. High pressure builds behind the front.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Just some minor adjustments to this morning update to reflect
the latest observations. Otherwise, a warm front approaches the
region this morning. Warm advection ahead of the front coupled
with lowering heights will be enough to support a band of
showers and a few rumbles of thunders to develop across the nyc
metro, hudson river corridor, western long island, and southwest
connecticut during the morning commute. There could be pockets
of moderate to heavy rain. The showers should largely hold off
further east until after the morning commute.

No concerns for severe weather at this time due to lack of surface
instability and no apparent wave along the warm front to enhance low
level shear.

Temperatures today will reach the middle 80s in the nyc nj metro and
the combination of the higher humidity may make it feel closer to
90. Elsewhere the temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the atlantic
ocean beaches today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Wednesday
Forecast soundings indicate significant drying aloft in the
afternoon, so any convective development will be isolated at best.

This chance is further reduced with loss of heating in the evening.

The cold front passage tonight should be dry with no precipitation
forecast. Lows will be in the 60s for much of the region. High
pressure builds toward the area on Wednesday.

There is a moderate risk of rip current development at the
atlantic ocean beaches on Wednesday.

Long term Wednesday night through Monday
With the exception of an upper level disturbance moving across and
possibly sparking an isold TSTM well NW of nyc Wed eve, high
pressure will dominate through the end of the week, with a very warm
but dry air mass remaining in place. Daytime high temps should reach
the upper 80s and lower 90s away from south facing shorelines, a
little above composite gfs ECMWF mos and consistent with both h8
temps +16c and h5-10 thicknesses around 570 dm. With dewpoints in
the lower 60s, apparent temperatures will run very close to air
temperatures.

A closed low dropping SE into eastern canada should drive a cold
front through on sat, with sct showers tstms. With temps still
running on the very warm side, dewpoints increasing to the mid 60s,
and NW flow aloft, would anticipate some of these to be on the
strong side. After fropa, Sat could still be very warm via downslope
nw flow but dry. A return to near seasonable temps not expected
until mon, with highs from the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
A warm front and wave of low pressure will track through the
terminals through this afternoon, with a cold front moving
through this evening into tonight.

First round of tsra exiting the ny terminals this morning. MVFR
to ifr with showers and thunderstorms remains until late this
afternoon when conditions improve toVFR.

Light SE flow this morning. At the outlying terminals winds
will be light and variable. Winds become southerly around 10 kt
midday, then gradually shift to the southwest in the afternoon.

Evening winds become NW with the passage of a cold front.

Sea breeze flow develops by 18z along the immediate coast wed.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 30 mi29 min SSE 14 G 16 1012.1 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 30 mi57 min 67°F 65°F1012.2 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 31 mi51 min SSE 5.1 G 7 69°F 66°F1011.7 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 34 mi44 min ESE 6 G 6 65°F 996.4 hPa64°F
44069 35 mi54 min SSE 9.7 G 12 69°F 72°F67°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 36 mi51 min S 4.1 G 6 69°F 62°F1012 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 39 mi57 min E 4.1 G 5.1 69°F 64°F1010.6 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY10 mi46 minSSE 810.00 miOvercast69°F66°F90%1012 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY21 mi43 minSSE 710.00 miOvercast70°F66°F87%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7N5N4SW9SW10SW8SW6SW5SW6SW7SW4SW4CalmS3S3S3S3S5S6S5S4SE3SE8SE8
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SW11SW8SW5CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5N8
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N7N5NW3CalmN4N4CalmCalmCalmNW3NW5NW5NW9NW10NW14
G17

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Long Island Sound, New York
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:52 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 06:28 AM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:09 PM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.811.41.822.22.221.71.41.10.70.50.71.11.622.32.42.42.11.81.5

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:34 AM EDT     1.07 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:41 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:48 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 07:08 AM EDT     -1.27 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 10:49 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:06 PM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:22 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:14 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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110.80.4-0.2-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.2-0.8-0.50.10.81.110.80.2-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.6-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.