Monday, December17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Alpine, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 4:30PM Monday December 17, 2018 12:25 PM EST (17:25 UTC) Moonrise 2:26PMMoonset 2:20AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1149 Am Est Mon Dec 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 pm est this evening...
.gale warning in effect from 6 pm est this evening through Tuesday morning...
This afternoon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..NW winds around 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..S winds around 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 1149 Am Est Mon Dec 17 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure deepens as it moves near nova scotia through tonight. A cold front passes through the waters tonight as well. Deep low pressure over the canadian maritimes Tuesday gives way to high pressure through mid-week. Another low impacts the area Thursday night through Friday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Alpine , NJ
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location: 40.95, -73.92     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 171655
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1155 am est Mon dec 17 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure deepens as it moves near nova scotia through tonight
with a cold front moving across the local region tonight as well.

Deep low pressure over the canadian maritimes Tuesday gives way
to high pressure through mid-week. Another low impacts the area
Thursday night through Saturday. Weak high pressure then
returns for Sunday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Adjusted temperatures to be a little higher in line with current
obs. However, per satellite imagery the front edge of the cold
front is clearly demarcated, and cold advection is expected to
strengthen into the afternoon as the front moves through. It is
likely that high temperatures were achieved early, and that
temperatures will begin to decrease through the remainder of the
day.

Otherwise, despite the strong vorticity maximum passing through
the area, conditions remain too dry to support precipitation,
with no returns observed on radar even with the front at this
time.

Winds are expected to increase significantly into the
afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Tuesday
The pressure gradient will tighten more tonight with low
pressure deepening as it moves into nova scotia in contrast with
the high building to the west of the region into the ohio
valley.

Cold air advection continues as seen with 850mb temperatures.

The 850mb temperatures decrease by about another 6 degrees c
tonight.

Used consensus for min temperatures tonight. Less spatial
variance is seen due to the well mixed boundary layer and
therefore gusty winds.

The high starts to build in from the west on Tuesday. More
subsidence is seen from the ridging trend aloft and negative
vorticity advection seen in the mid levels. This will promote
more sunshine.

However, another gusty day expected as the pressure gradient
remains rather tight. With a well mixed boundary layer,
adiabatically mixing down from much colder 850mb temperatures
will result in much colder surface temperatures compared to the
previous day despite the extra sun.

Long term Tuesday night through Sunday
Deep-layered ridging Tuesday night through Thursday morning will
keep any rain out of the forecast. A surface high approaches during
this period, with its axis shifting through here around Wednesday
morning. High temperatures on Wednesday will be near normal, then
above normal on Thursday. Some rain ahead of the next system may
sneak into the tri-state area by late in the day, but the trend has
been for the likelihood of rain starting Thursday night. Low
pressure is progged to move up along the appalachians Thursday night
night into Friday as it strengthens. Rain is expected here during
this time, and it could potentially be heavy at times on Friday as a
low level jet enhances lift and a fairly strong upper jet streak
approaches. The storm's cold front passes through Friday night with
showers possible, then a drying trend follows for the upcoming
weekend. Still a low chance of a passing shower on Saturday, but
looking dry for Sunday. High temps above normal for Friday and
Saturday, then returning closer to normal on Sunday.

Aviation 18z Monday through Saturday
Intensifying low pressure east of nantucket will move northeast
today and then north into the canadian maritimes tonight. A
cold front will move across from late afternoon into early
evening.

MainlyVFR, although CIGS could be closer to 3000 ft at times
today. Winds still expected to back to around 290-300 true, with
the strongest winds late this afternoon into tonight with the
cold fropa. Sustained winds increase to around 20 kt with gusts
30-35 kt.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 11 mi40 min W 16 G 21 42°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi37 min 42°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 18 mi43 min 46°F 44°F1005.8 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 18 mi40 min WNW 18 G 27 45°F 1 ft35°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 22 mi43 min WNW 20 G 24 46°F 1006.4 hPa
MHRN6 25 mi37 min W 14 G 21
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 25 mi37 min 46°F 43°F1005.9 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 34 mi37 min W 13 G 18 45°F 43°F1007.1 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 42 mi165 min WNW 16 G 21 42°F 1007.8 hPa37°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 42 mi49 min NW 2.9 G 5.1 41°F 44°F1004.4 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ9 mi34 minWNW 13 G 2110.00 miOvercast46°F35°F66%1005.3 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY12 mi34 minWNW 14 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F33°F61%1005.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY12 mi34 minno data10.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F33°F61%1005.4 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY14 mi29 minWNW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F33°F71%1004.8 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ20 mi32 minWNW 14 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F34°F66%1006.5 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ21 mi34 minW 18 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy and Breezy48°F34°F58%1005.6 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi34 minWNW 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy48°F37°F66%1005.6 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7
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N5N8N10N9N10N11
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N10N8NW9
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N9NW3N4NW4NW6W4NW9
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1 day agoNE6N5N6NE5CalmN6N7N6NE7
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2 days agoSE7SE6
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CalmS5SW4S3W4SW4CalmCalmCalmN3NE3CalmN4N4NW4N5N6N6N6N4

Tide / Current Tables for Alpine, New Jersey, Hudson River, New York
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Alpine
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:20 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:25 AM EST     3.33 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:04 AM EST     0.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 04:44 PM EST     3.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:15 PM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.92.63.13.33.332.41.71.20.90.70.91.62.42.93.13.232.41.610.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for George Washington Bridge (Hudson River), New York Current
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George Washington Bridge (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:20 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:40 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:48 AM EST     1.43 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:05 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:36 AM EST     -1.80 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:13 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:11 PM EST     1.21 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:13 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:51 PM EST     -1.93 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-0.60.31.21.41.20.80.1-0.7-1.3-1.7-1.8-1.4-0.9-0.20.71.21.10.80.2-0.7-1.3-1.8-1.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.