Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Noyack, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:18AMSunset 8:29PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 3:12 PM EDT (19:12 UTC) Moonrise 10:28AMMoonset 11:54PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 1056 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the daytime. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1056 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure building in this morning will pass to the south this afternoon and tonight. A warm front will pass to the north Thursday night, with bermuda high pressure following Friday into Saturday. A cold front will move across Sunday into Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noyack, NY
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location: 41, -72.33     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 281748
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
148 pm edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds into the region today, and offshore on
Thursday. A warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure then dominates Friday into
Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. The front may then linger just south of the region early
next week.

Near term through tonight
Forecast still on track this morning.

A 1024 mb high was centered over WV late this morning. The high
will drift eastward through tonight. Sct flat CU were starting
to develop in the higher elevations and should become more
widespread this afternoon.

Below normal highs are forecast, mainly in the upper 70s to near
80 degrees. Bumped up highs a couple degrees on long island
since sea breeze (if any) will be arriving late.

Short term Thursday
As the high drifts ewd over the atlantic, the winds will begin
to respond to lowering pres over SRN ontario. This flow, coupled
with the sea breeze circulation, should produce windy conditions
along the coasts by late in the day. Otherwise, all other areas
should have a sly breeze at least. The latest modeling from the
nam, GFS and ECMWF keeps any frontal systems N of the cwa, so
pcpn has been removed from the fcst. Humidity will increase due
to the increasing flow off the ocean, and temps will warm to aoa
average as a thermal ridge begins to build in. The 00z models
have around 14-16c at h85 by the end of the day. If things
unfold as currently expected, dangerous rip currents will be
possible, particularly in the late aftn and eve, requiring a
high risk fcst.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
The main trend in the long term is for warmer and more humid
conditions to take shape over the tri-state.

On the larger scale, a shortwave passes to the north Thursday night
followed by rising heights and western atlantic ridging taking shape
Friday into Saturday. This ridge axis moves offshore Sunday as the
next shortwave trough moves across new england through Sunday night.

Another shortwave trough may follow early next week. Models and
ensembles are in good agreement overall on the large scale through
the weekend, then diverge a bit with the handling of any shortwaves
early next week.

At the surface, a warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure will then influence the weather Friday
into Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. There may be weak surface trough development to the NW of nyc
each day before the cold front moves through Sunday. This front may
then linger to the south early next week.

Shower and thunderstorm chances appear slim Thursday night and
mainly to the north and west of nyc. The same holds true on Friday
into Saturday as ridging and heights build aloft. The best chance of
any convection is mainly from the city north and west. Shower storm
chances increase a bit across the entire area on Sunday with the
passage of the cold front and approaching shortwave. Drier
conditions return on Monday with the next chance at showers and
storms on Tuesday.

Temperatures Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 80s with
increasing humidity levels. A few 90 degree readings are also
possible in the nyc metro and NE nj. MAX heat indices look to stay
in the lower 90s both days at this time at these locations, with
upper 80s elsewhere. Closer to the coast, onshore flow will keep
highs in the lower to middle 80s. Temperatures should be a bit
cooler on Sunday in the lower and middle 80s due to increasing
clouds and higher coverage of showers storms. Highs should gradually
fall back closer to normal early next week.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
High pressure will continue to build into the region today
before drifting offshore on Thursday.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period.

Generally westerly winds this afternoon will continue to back to
the SW through this evening with gusts 15-20 kt. Winds then
diminish overnight before increasing out of the ssw on Thursday.

Gusts to around 25 kt are possible Thursday afternoon,
especially at coastal terminals.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi43 min 70°F 66°F1019.4 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 25 mi28 min WSW 20 G 22 67°F 1018 hPa56°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 26 mi83 min 66°F 66°F2 ft1019.8 hPa (+0.5)57°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 28 mi43 min N 1.9 G 12 75°F 63°F1018.3 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 36 mi43 min NNW 9.9 G 16 73°F 71°F1019.4 hPa
44069 45 mi58 min WSW 12 G 18 71°F 75°F57°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi43 min WNW 6 G 12 74°F 1018.7 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY19 mi20 minW 12 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F46°F32%1020 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi19 minW 10 mi76°F52°F43%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S9SW7SW7
G17
W7W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW11N10NW10NW11NW13NW14
G20
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1 day agoSW9
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SW9SW9SW8SW5S6SW5S4SW4----------NW6NE8E8E7SE5S7S8S8
2 days ago--SW9SW7SW6SW6SW3S3CalmSW3SW9NW10N7----------CalmW6NW93S12
G16
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Tide / Current Tables for Noyack Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Noyack Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:16 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:34 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:58 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:57 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.62.22.72.92.82.41.81.20.50-00.411.62.12.52.62.421.510.50.30.5

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:11 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:22 AM EDT     -1.91 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:04 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:28 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:44 AM EDT     1.47 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:38 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:43 PM EDT     -1.61 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:59 PM EDT     1.56 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.2-0.8-1.5-1.9-1.8-1.4-0.9-0.10.91.41.51.30.6-0.3-1-1.5-1.6-1.3-0.8-0.20.71.41.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.