Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Manchester, IN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 9:02PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 2:58 AM EDT (06:58 UTC) Moonrise 4:06AMMoonset 5:30PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi-michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 1040 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Overnight..Southwest wind 10 to 20 knots backing south 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South wind 5 to 10 knots backing east in the afternoon. Chance of showers through the day. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.
Tuesday night..Northeast wind 5 to 15 knots. Chance of showers. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..Northeast wind 10 to 20 knots. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off michigan city is 54 degrees...and 50 degrees off st. Joseph.
LMZ046 Expires:201705231015;;057069 FZUS53 KIWX 230240 NSHIWX NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST FOR INDIANA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1040 PM EDT MON MAY 22 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN LMZ043-046-231015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Manchester, IN
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location: 41, -85.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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Fxus63 kiwx 230607
afdiwx
area forecast discussion
national weather service northern indiana
207 am edt Tue may 23 2017

Synopsis
Issued at 150 am edt Tue may 23 2017
chances or rain will increase today roughly northwest of a marion
to fort wayne to hillsdale line. An isolated thunderstorm is also
possible across these locations. Otherwise, partly to mostly
cloudy conditions will be in store today. Rain chances will expand
eastward across the remainder of the area tonight into Wednesday
morning, with rain showers becoming likely Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday.

High temperatures this afternoon will range from the mid to upper
60s across southwest lower michigan to the mid 70s across
northwest ohio. Low temperatures tonight will drop back into the
lower to mid 50s.

Short term (this evening through Tuesday)
issued at 353 pm edt Mon may 22 2017
only token chances for light rain showers clipping northwest cwa
overnight as primary focus will become increasingly displaced
westward as intense shortwave driving southward through eastern sd
aids in refocus of upper level vortex, presently near arrowhead
region, southward through the mississippi valley. Orphaned/elevated
moisture thwarted by dry sub cloud airmass as well as weak/minoring
impulses within westerly mid level flow, to likely result in few
hundredths shra at best. Raised low temps slightly northwest CWA as
cloud deck should thicken/lower radiative losses overnight.

Continued slight chance tsra along with rising shra chances for
Tuesday as upstream system continues southward dig.

Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 403 pm edt Mon may 22 2017
more southerly dig of system over prior runs to provide prodigious
northward onslaught of deep layer moisture flux convergence through
cwa on Wednesday. Sig bump in model blended QPF as well. For now
will withhold esf/hwo mention, however potential for renewed
flooding on the increase and may need to be addressed should later
model runs continue to center upon similar solutions. Final ejection
of system through tn valley into western pa on Thursday to bring
diminished rainfall rates/west to east end of rainfall. Greater
diverging solutions with time into the weekend. Will maintain
consistency with chc shra/lesser chc tsra this weekend amid
minor perturbations within wswly flow into area and northward
advance of probable/diffuse warm front laid out from ok to the
lower ohio valley. Northern stream systems likely to remain in
high belted/blocking pattern.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night)
issued at 150 am edt Tue may 23 2017
several weak perturbations in southwest upper flow will be working
across the southern great lakes region today, downstream of
primary upper level low across northern ia/southern mn. Broad low
level pre-frontal convergence axis should set up from central il
into northern in later this morning which may serve as a focus for
scattered shower activity later this morning/afternoon possibly
affecting ksbn area. Instability will be on the marginal side and
will withhold any thunder mention at this time. Rain shower
chances should be enhanced once again late tonight and beyond this
forecast valid period as sfc trough approaches from the west.

Some sharpening of inverted sfc trough feature west of the area
today will eventually support shift to light east-northeast winds
later this afternoon/early evening. Generally expectingVFR
conditions through this period, although some potential of MVFR
cigs at ksbn toward the end of this forecast valid period.

Iwx watches/warnings/advisories
In... None.

Mi... None.

Oh... None.

Lm... None.

Synopsis... Marsili
short term... Murphy
long term... Murphy
aviation... Marsili
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 78 mi39 min S 13 G 15 61°F 50°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 85 mi59 min SSW 9.9 G 17 61°F 1012.5 hPa (-1.4)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Warsaw, Warsaw Municipal Airport, IN19 mi64 minN 010.00 miOvercast59°F48°F68%1013.5 hPa
Rochester Fulton County Airport, IN22 mi84 minSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy63°F50°F64%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from ASW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6SW7SW8W9W10W11
G17
W11
G17
W9W11
G14
W7
G16
SW8W12
G17
W12
G16
SW5SW8
G15
SW7SW6SW4SW3SW3CalmS3W4Calm
1 day agoSE3SE3SE4S6S5S5S5SW4W9W8
G14
SW10
G15
SW11
G16
W16
G22
W17
G22
W14
G21
W10
G17
W10W9W9W10W13
G22
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W9W7
2 days agoE10
G15
E10
G14
E5E10E12
G17
E14
G17
E8
G19
E11
G16
E11
G15
E9SE5E11
G14
E15
G21
E16
G23
SE11
G19
SE9
G18
SE7E8E7E5E9E8E4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Northern Indiana, IN (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Northern Indiana, IN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.