Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sound Beach, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:35PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 4:43 AM EST (09:43 UTC) Moonrise 1:26PMMoonset 11:35PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 340 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Snow, sleet and rain in the afternoon.
Thu night..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby less than 1 nm, increasing to 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sun..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
ANZ300 340 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds into the area waters today, then moves to to the north on Thursday. Another storm system approaches from the south impacting the waters late Thursday night into Friday. High pressure returns for the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sound Beach, NY
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location: 41.04, -73.01     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 140913
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
413 am est Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis
High pressure builds in from the west through tonight, before
retreating into new england Thursday. An area of low pressure
will develop over the tennessee valley Thursday, with a second
area of low pressure moving up the east coast Thursday night.

The low will likely pass just east of montauk early Friday,
then into the canadian maritimes Friday night. A broad area of
high pressure builds in for the weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Mostly sunny sky expected today as high pressure builds in from
the west through tonight. Seasonably cold air will move into the area,
with highs only in the mid to upper 30s to around 40.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
High shifts towards new england tonight with a continuation of
dry weather. Temperatures will continue to be seasonably cold
with low temperatures tonight in the teens across the northern
suburbs and the pine barrens and low to mid 20s elsewhere. A
freeze warning is in effect for the remaining boroughs where the
growing season has not yet ended. A strengthening low pressure
then rapidly moves northeast up the coast on Thursday with
precipitation developing across the area. A wintry mix is
expected initially, with probably a change over to rain along
the coast around sunset. Temperatures on Thursday will be in the
low 30s inland and mid to upper 30s to near 40 along the coast.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Overall timing of the storm is a bit faster than 24 hours ago, with
good clustering of the low INVOF long island at 12z fri. The low is
then over the gulf of me by 18z.

The increased speed puts Thu eve under the gun for the worst of the
wintry pcpn. Mainly snow or a snow sleet mix can be expected across
the interior during this time, with the coasts transitioning to
rain. By late in the eve overnight, a transition to fzra should
occur over the interior and much of the remaining area will go to
all rain. Ice accretion has been ramped up significantly in the
fcst, to around a quarter inch in the hudson valley where the
predominant ely flow will likely remain backed further to the n.

For snow, a solid burst of mdt to hvy snow appears likely with the
initial surge of waa. Advy lvl snow has been included in the fcst
away from the coasts.

Wind will increase Thu ngt as the gradient tightens ahead of the
low. Strongest flow along the coasts, particularly ERN long island
aft the development and passage of a cstl front. 40 mph gusts
possible in this zone. As the low makes its closes approach possibly
over li, winds across the region would then weaken, before ramping
up again as the low pulls away. Winds on the back side could
approach 50 mph, again mainly ERN coasts, if the more intense nam
verifies.

The pcpn winds down fri, then fair wx is fcst thru sat. Low chcs for
pcpn on Sun thru Mon with a frontal sys potentially impacting the
area. There remain some significant timing and track differences
between the GFS and ecmwf, so a blended approach was used for the
fcst. The model consensus was for dry wx on tue.

Aviation 09z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds over the region into tonight.

Vfr through the TAF period.

Nw winds through early evening. Sustained winds around 10-15 kt.

Gusts resume around 13z with gusts around 20-25kt. Gusts should
abate around 22z with speeds around 10kt. Winds veer to the nnw-n
around with speeds less than 10kt by mid evening, with kswf and kteb
becoming light and variable.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 13 mi49 min WNW 5.1 G 8 37°F 55°F1021.6 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 18 mi43 min NNW 6 G 8 38°F 56°F1022 hPa (+1.9)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 20 mi58 min NW 18 G 23 41°F 56°F4 ft
44069 24 mi43 min WNW 14 G 23 40°F 48°F25°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 40 mi58 min WNW 14 G 21 53°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 43 mi43 min NNW 13 G 17 39°F 53°F1024.4 hPa (+2.1)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT12 mi51 minW 810.00 miFair37°F19°F48%1021.9 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY17 mi47 minNW 17 G 2410.00 miFair39°F18°F43%1022.2 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY17 mi47 minNW 14 G 1910.00 miFair38°F18°F44%1022 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT18 mi50 minWNW 410.00 miFair38°F19°F46%1021.7 hPa
The Gabreski Airport, NY24 mi50 minWNW 17 G 2710.00 miFair39°F17°F41%1022.2 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6NE5NE6NE8NE8NE9N9NW13NW11
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1 day agoN3CalmN4N3CalmSW4SW5SW7W5SW4SW4W4CalmS5S4S4CalmNE3N3N5N5NE8NE7NE6
2 days agoW6W5W7W9W9W8NW9NW6NW9NW7NW6W6W3CalmN7N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford Shoal, Long Island Sound, New York
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Stratford Shoal
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Wed -- 03:30 AM EST     6.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:40 AM EST     1.39 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:46 PM EST     6.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:11 PM EST     0.98 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:35 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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34.35.46.16.15.44.33.22.21.51.423.14.35.56.26.45.94.83.62.41.511.2

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Sinai Harbor, Long Island Sound, New York
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Mount Sinai Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:40 AM EST     5.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:05 AM EST     1.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:56 PM EST     5.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:34 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:35 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:36 PM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.43.64.75.45.65.14.23.22.31.61.21.52.43.64.75.65.85.54.63.62.51.610.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.