Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM Moonrise 5:04 AM   Moonset 7:44 PM

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LMZ046 Expires:202405070815;;757844 Fzus53 Kiwx 070229 Nshiwx
nearshore marine forecast national weather service northern indiana 1029 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan
lmz043-046-070815- new buffalo mi to st joseph mi-michigan city in to new buffalo mi- 1029 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
Overnight - East winds around 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Gusts to 20 knots in the morning. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.Tuesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less. Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 48 degrees and at michigan city is 50 degrees.

LMZ005
No data

FXUS63 KIWX 070435 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1235 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe weather threat for Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Damaging winds, large hail, and even a few tornadoes are possible in any severe storms that develop. Heavy rain and minor flooding is possible.

- Severe weather is possible again late Wednesday afternoon into the overnight, especially south of US 30. Damaging winds, hail, and localized flooding are the primary threats.
Confidence is low at this time.

- Cooler with chances for showers later this week into the weekend. Highs Friday through Sunday will be in the 60s.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 146 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

Powerhouse upper wave over the cntrl Rockies will close off across the wrn Dakotas before spinning out through the Great Lakes Thu-Fri.
Downstream warm sector will broaden north into the OH valley tomorrow and support decaying plains leftovers Tue morning. Cloud debris and potential clearing in wake of morning activity will dictate possible late day svr risk but destabilization likely hindered here and which subdues overall svr risk.

Ewd pinwheeling upper low and attendant cold front will progress into wrn areas Wed evening and ewd overnight. Strong/sharp return flow ahead of this along with proximity of sfc warm frontal zone general south of US24 may pose a resultant higher risk but potential outflow spoiler remnant from dy1 further south may squelch that risk.
Nevertheless high chance to low likely pops retained in more favorable periods.

Thereafter cool and showery as wrn flank of elongating upper low holds back through the srn lakes, reinforced by secondary disturbances digging down across the lakes Sat and again late Sun.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1234 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024

A warm front will lift into northern IN late this morning and afternoon with a couple rounds of convection expected. The first will be associated with a decaying line of convection that will track through from west to east late this morning into the early afternoon. Moisture advection in advance should allow cigs to lower into MVFR or low VFR with an hour or two of showers and embedded thunder expected. Greater concern is for a round of more vigorous surface based convection mid-late afternoon as instability increases just in time for a MCV to track through with scattered strong-severe storms possible. Opted to hold with a VCTS mention for now given lingering uncertainties. VFR/dry otherwise into tonight behind this feature.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

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Northern Indiana, IN,