Thursday, November23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Orient, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 4:24PM Thursday November 23, 2017 11:01 PM EST (04:01 UTC) Moonrise 11:46AMMoonset 9:47PM Illumination 29% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 955 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Overnight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ300 955 Pm Est Thu Nov 23 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will move slowly off the coast through Friday. This will be followed by a cold front late Saturday. High pressure will then follow through Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Orient, NY
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location: 41.15, -72.24     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 240315
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1015 pm est Thu nov 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will move slowly off the coast through Friday.

This will be followed by a cold front late Saturday. High
pressure will then follow through Tuesday. A cold front will
move across the area Wednesday followed by high pressure
Thursday.

Near term through Friday
Mid level trough axis moves across late this evening with some
associated mid level clouds, mostly across the interior
locations. Expect these to diminish later overnight into
daybreak Friday. With light winds, still expecting some decent
radiational cooling. Used 18z mav guidance to better reflect
these lows overnight with more of a range from low 20s to low
30s.

High pressure will remain centered over the mid atlantic states with
a W flow near 10 mph tonight. Temperatures will remain 5 to 10
degrees below normal.

Short term Friday night
Fair weather with increasing temperatures are on tap for the local
area.

Low level warm air advection will develop by Friday afternoon and
increase Friday night as a strong low pressure system moves east
across southeast canada, north of new england.

Southwest winds will transport warmer air northeast across the
region, bringing near normal temperatures during the day Friday then
above normal temperatures Friday night.

Long term Saturday through Thursday
A cold front will be approaching from the ohio valley Saturday.

Models do not have a significant amount of precipitation
forecast with this frontal passage. Temperatures on Saturday
will be in the low 50s along the coast and mid to upper 40s
inland. Pressure gradient will increase behind the front on
Saturday night and into Sunday, which will increase winds to 15
to 20 mph. Temperatures Saturday night will be in the mid to
upper 30 to near 40.

High pressure builds in on Sunday into Tuesday. Temperatures in the
mid to upper 40s Sunday and Monday will begin to rise into the
low to mid 50s by Tuesday, which is above normal for this time
of year.

A cold front is forecast to move across the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Moisture associated with this front is expected to
dissipate as it approaches our area and the frontal passage may
end up being precipitation free. Even with the frontal passage,
temperatures are forecast to be above normal into Wednesday.

High pressure builds back on Thursday with temperatures in the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

Aviation 03z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure will continue to build to the south through
Friday.

Vfr expected through the TAF period. Wnw-w flow gradually
becomes SW Friday afternoon with wind speeds remaining below 10
kt much of the time.

Outlook for 03z Saturday through Tuesday
Friday night Vfr.

Saturday-Saturday night Low chance of -shra and MVFR with
frontal passage. Windshift from SW to NW late afternoon evening.

Sunday BecomingVFR. NW winds g20-30kt forecast.

Monday Vfr. Winds back to more westerly and decrease. Gusts
15-20kt possible.

Tuesday Vfr. SW winds g15-20kt.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain tranquil through the day Friday.

The next chance for reaching SCA levels will be Friday night and
Saturday across the atlantic ocean coastal waters as SW winds
increase to 15-20 kt and seas rebuild to around 5 feet.

Below small craft advisory level conditions continue on all
non-ocean zones on Saturday with small craft conditions likely
over the ocean waters through Sunday behind a frontal system.

As high pressure builds across the area waters Sunday night into
Monday seas will improve. Ocean seas may builds towards small
craft conditions again Tuesday into Tuesday night ahead of next
frontal system and remain above small craft conditions through
the middle of the week.

Hydrology
No significant hydrologic impacts are expected through the next
7 days.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Gc fig
near term... Gc jm
short term... Gc
long term... Fig
aviation... Jm
marine... Gc fig
hydrology... Gc fig


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 16 mi44 min 40°F 51°F1016.3 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 17 mi44 min Calm G 1 33°F 54°F1016.4 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 37 mi44 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 36°F 51°F1017.1 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT16 mi66 minWNW 310.00 miFair30°F23°F75%1016.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi2.1 hrsWSW 5 mi41°F28°F62%1016.2 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT21 mi67 minN 010.00 miFair32°F15°F51%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9W12NW11NW7NW6W6W3NW3CalmCalmW7W6NW6NW10NW4CalmW4W4W4CalmCalmN3NW3NW3
1 day agoSW7W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S10S4S3SE4SE8S9NW11NW16
G20
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2 days agoW7W8W4W4SW11SW13
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SW12SW13SW15SW13SW14SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Plum Gut Harbor, Plum Island, Long Island, New York
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Plum Gut Harbor
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:46 AM EST     2.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:58 PM EST     2.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:24 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:47 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.32.32.11.71.310.80.711.41.92.32.62.72.52.11.510.60.30.40.71.21.7

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:11 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:11 AM EST     -2.32 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:11 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:45 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:05 AM EST     2.22 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:13 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:23 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:33 PM EST     -2.67 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:46 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 08:48 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:37 PM EST     2.20 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.91.10.2-0.9-1.8-2.3-2.1-1.3-0.20.91.82.21.91.20.2-0.8-1.9-2.6-2.6-1.9-0.90.21.32.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.