Monday, June17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, CT

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:17AMSunset 8:29PM Monday June 17, 2019 5:44 PM EDT (21:44 UTC) Moonrise 8:52PMMoonset 5:34AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 329 Pm Edt Mon Jun 17 2019
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with isolated tstms early this evening, then showers likely late this evening and overnight. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Tue night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Fri night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 329 Pm Edt Mon Jun 17 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A nearly stationary front will remain in the vicinity of the waters through Thursday. High pressure builds back into the area Friday and Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford , CT
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location: 41.19, -73.05     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 172002
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
402 pm edt Mon jun 17 2019

Synopsis
A stationary front remains in the vicinity of the region through
much of the upcoming week. Several waves of low pressure will
move along the front, bringing periods of unsettled weather.

High pressure then builds in late in the week into next
weekend. Another frontal system will approach the region early
next week.

Near term through Tuesday
A stationary front remains in the vicinity of the CWA tonight and
Tuesday as several weak shortwaves of low pressure travel along the
front. As each wave moves across the area, it will bring with it
the chance of showers. Forecast models seem to be in somewhat of
agreement that showers will impact the entire region tonight
into portions of Tuesday. Will continue to carry likely pops
across the entire area through the near term period. Instability
and lift remain lacking, so although an isolated thunderstorm
cannot be completely ruled out, will leave it out of the
forecast for now (except for very early this evening).

Rainfall amounts are expected to average between 1 and 1.5 inches
across the cwa, with some locally higher amounts possible across the
southern half of the cwa. Pwats values will generally range between
1.5 and 2 inches, so some of the showers could produce locally heavy
rain. While its impossible to rule out the chance of some isolated
flash flooding, will hold off on a flash flood watch for now with
confidence low for where and when the heavy rain occurs. Right now,
the best chances remaining just south of the cwa.

Lows tonight fall into the lower and middle 60s, while highs on
Tuesday reach the lower to middle 70s.

There is a moderate risk for rip current development at the ocean
beaches through the rest of the evening.

There is a low risk for rip current development at the ocean beaches
on Tuesday.

Short term Tuesday night
The pattern doesn't change much Tuesday night, with the
continued threat of showers across the area. Right now, some of
the 12z forecast guidance is hinting that we could see a short
break in the precipitation. With the pattern the way it is, not
sure I want to go dry, so will continue to keep at least chance
pops in the forecast. Lows fall into the upper 50s and 60s.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
A frontal boundary will remain in close proximity through Thursday
night. There is very good agreement among the global models in the
500 mb large scale features, but the forecast difficulty remains in
the exact timing, precise amplitude, and therefore the exact track
of any mid-level shortwaves. Based on the the 6z and 12z forecast
packages it appears that after Wednesday morning there will be a
better chance at seeing a lull in the shower activity across the
area. For now, have decided to only trim back slightly to 30 percent
pops during the day on Wednesday. The next shortwave will then move
east-northeast out of the ohio valley and bring low pressure into
the region later Thursday and Thursday night. Another slight surge
of precipitable water values approaching 2 inches arrives later
Thursday and Thursday night. On top of that some of the guidance is
showing a good LLJ approaching for this time frame. This may enhance
precipitation amounts and rates by providing just enough added lift,
especially for eastern sections during this timeframe. Depending on
how much rainfall we can get from the previous system in the short
term period, this next system may bring enough rainfall to bring at
least some minor localized rainfall flooding, especially in poor
drainage areas. As we get closer, hopefully the timing and location
of potentially heavier rainfall will come into focus, but for now
there remains a good deal of uncertainty regarding rainfall amounts
for Thursday into early Friday morning.

By 18z Friday the upper level trough axis is forecast to move
through the region, with ridging in its wake setting up into the
weekend. Thus the weekend looks dry with near normal temperatures
for this time of the year. The upper level ridge axis is then
forecast to move through towards 0z Monday. This will lead to an
increase in upper and mid level moisture late Sunday and Sunday
night. A frontal boundary is then forecast to approach from the west
and southwest into Monday. For now, have increased pops during
Sunday night and into Monday based on excellent ensemble agreement
with mass fields between the naefs and ecmwf.

Aviation 20z Monday through Saturday
A stationary front remains to the south of the area today with a
weak wave of low pressure tracking east along the front towards
the terminals.

Showers and a possible thunderstorm will develop between 21-23z
across the city terminals. Any shower could produce brief MVFR
conditions.

Cigs will continue to lower to ifr lifr in fog and stratus
overnight with a light and variable wind. CIGS remain low into
Tuesday.

Winds generally under 5 kt through the TAF period.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 7 mi51 min SSW 7 G 9.9 73°F 64°F1014.8 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi51 min SW 8 G 8.9 69°F 69°F1015.4 hPa
44069 34 mi60 min SW 5.8 G 9.7 69°F 71°F65°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 46 mi51 min ENE 2.9 G 4.1 70°F 64°F1016 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT4 mi53 minSSW 710.00 miFair75°F63°F66%1015.1 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi52 minSSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds76°F64°F67%1015.2 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT20 mi54 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F64°F71%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmE5S3SW7W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5NE8S8SW7E4S7SW5SW7SW8SW7
1 day agoS20
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2 days agoW13NW12W5W5W5W3W4SW4SW5W4W5SW4W4CalmSW6SW8SW10SW7SW6S11S14
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Tide / Current Tables for Milford Harbor, Connecticut
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Milford Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:31 AM EDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:54 AM EDT     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:02 PM EDT     6.68 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:03 PM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.66.653.11.3-0.1-0.50.11.43.14.86.26.76.35.13.620.80.20.71.93.65.46.9

Tide / Current Tables for Bridgeport, Connecticut
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Bridgeport
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:31 AM EDT     Full Moon
Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     -0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:10 PM EDT     6.82 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:13 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.86.95.33.51.60.1-0.6-0.11.22.94.76.16.86.55.43.92.310.30.51.73.45.36.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.