Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brunswick, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 5:36PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 2:14 AM EST (07:14 UTC) Moonrise 11:52AMMoonset 12:11AM Illumination 50% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 313 Pm Est Tue Jan 23 2018
Tonight..West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow and rain showers early, then a chance of snow showers from late evening on. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of snow showers.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow overnight.
Thursday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mostly Sunny. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 33 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201801240315;;892023 FZUS51 KCLE 232013 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 313 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-240315-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brunswick, OH
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location: 41.19, -81.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240537
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1237 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
A trough of low pressure will move east across the area tonight as a
low pressure system moves from the central great lakes to maine.

Arctic air will move into the area tonight but will be short lived
through Thursday. Another weak trough of low pressure will move east
across the area Wednesday night. A ridge of high pressure will
build east Thursday and begin to push the arctic air out of the
region. A warm front will lift northeast across the area Thursday
night.

Near term through today
Main change to the forecast with this update is the addition of
patchy freezing drizzle to the forecast for the next several
hours across NE oh and NW pa. Model soundings show a lack of ice
in the cloud ahead of an upstream surface trough, which is
apparent on some Sat imagery products. Surface obs spotter
reports also reporting drizzle changeover mix at times as well,
coincident with some higher clouds seeding the supercooled
layer. With the passage of the trough and colder air moving in,
expecting the drizzle threat to wane in the 05z to 07z time
frame across the area. Trimmed down snow accumulation just a bit
overnight across the snow belt as well, but still in the 1 to 2
inch range.

Original discussion...

cold front is now well east of the area allowing cooler air to
move slowly east into the area. A trough of low pressure will
move east across the area this evening and the best push of cold
air will arrive late tonight. Moisture associated with the
cyclonic flow around the surface low pressure system will wrap
around and affect the local area tonight into Wednesday morning.

Some lake effect snow showers will develop tonight over the
northeast as northwest flow develops. There should be enough
exposed water to allow lake snow showers to develop. Generally 1
to 3 inches of snow is expected in the snowbelt area.

Drier air will push into the local area Wednesday for a brief period
and then another round of moisture will move east into the forecast
area Wednesday night. This moisture will be associated with an upper
level positive vorticity maximum and surface trough. Latest guidance
is hinting at a 25 to 30 percent pop for Wednesday night. I added a
mention of light snow across the area as all of the models show this
feature moving into the region. Only looking at snowfall
accumulations of 2 to 3 tenths at the most Wednesday night.

Temperatures will begin to drop off tonight as colder air arrives
and we should see lows in the lower 20s across the north and upper
20s in the south. Little in the way of recovery expected Wednesday
with highs in the lower 30s in the southwest and lower to middle 20s
in the northeast.

Short term tonight through Friday night
An upper low over newfoundland and labrador will continue to
shift north allowing upper level high pressure to build over the
region. This will result in a warming trend Thursday into
Friday with temperatures between 15 and 20 degrees above normal
Friday and Saturday. Dry weather will prevail across the region
through at least Saturday morning.

An upper trough will approach from the west as an upper low tracks
east into ontario province bringing another chance of precipitation
to the area. The GFS is a little faster drawing precipitation north
into the area early Saturday morning while the ECMWF brings the bulk
of the rain later in the day. Either way... The models are now in
better agreement about much of the area at least seeing some rain on
Saturday. We hope to nail down timing in the next day or two.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Models in better agreement with a cold front moving across the
region Saturday into Sunday. Most locations will start as rain
Saturday night but should transition to snow at some point Sunday
morning. Models hint at some lake effect snow in the wake of the
storm system but confidence is not high on this at this point in
time. However we do believe there will be some snow showers across
the area until the upper level trough moves east of the region on
Monday. High pressure should take control of the region on Tuesday
with dry conditions anticipated.

Highs may be around 40 degrees on Sunday but seasonal temperatures
are expected Monday into Tuesday.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Surface trough just moving south of cle taking heavier snow band
with it. Overnight some light snow will continue in the snowbelt
with MVFR CIGS across entire forecast area.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible late Friday night into Saturday
night.

Marine
Low pressure will track northeast into southern quebec and new
england this evening. Winds will increase out of the southwest on
the lake reaching near 30 knots this evening before turning
northwest and decreasing slowly overnight. Light northwest flow
will turn southwest Thursday increasing out of the south Friday at
around 15 knots. Look for southwest flow 15 to 20 knots Saturday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Greenawalt lombardy
short term... Riley
long term... Mullen
aviation... Djb
marine... Riley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 25 mi45 min NW 15 G 17 30°F 1015.9 hPa24°F
LORO1 31 mi45 min NW 24 G 28 30°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 42 mi90 min W 4.1 31°F 1016 hPa25°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 45 mi75 min WNW 12 G 18 31°F 1015.6 hPa (+2.4)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 47 mi45 min NW 13 G 15 29°F 1015.8 hPa26°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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G7
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G6
W14
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G19
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G12
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S2
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G7

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH18 mi24 minWNW 139.00 miOvercast31°F25°F79%1017.8 hPa
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH18 mi21 minWNW 1010.00 miOvercast32°F27°F82%1016.2 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH23 mi22 minNW 1610.00 miOvercast30°F24°F79%1016.9 hPa
Wooster, Wayne County Airport, OH23 mi79 minWNW 1010.00 miOvercast30°F26°F85%1016.8 hPa

Wind History from CLE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S7S5S4S7W16SW11SW13SW14
G23
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G29
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G20
SW22
G31
SW17
G22
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G28
W17
G25
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G25
W18
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G29
W13W13NW11
G15
NW13
1 day agoS7S5S9S8S9S9S8S12
G23
S14
G19
S14
G23
S17
G24
S14S15
G20
S10S18
G24
S12
G23
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G25
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G23
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G29
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G24
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SW8S9
2 days agoCalmS6S6S7S4CalmS6S4S6S6S7S8S8S5S6S6S5S6S6S6S6S8S7S7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.